UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 23, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
Hammarby FF vs Anderlecht: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Hammarby FF 1-1 Anderlecht. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Hammarby FF (59%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (13.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (40%): correct.
Match analysis
Hammarby FF and Anderlecht met on Thursday, July 23, 2026, a UEFA Europa League fixture. Venue: 3Arena, Stockholm. Before kick-off, our model gave Hammarby FF a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Anderlecht 17%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (13.3%), followed by 1-1 (13.1%) and 0-0 (10.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, Hammarby FF have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, Anderlecht have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Hammarby FF score 2.80 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Anderlecht score 1.40 and concede 1.60.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Hammarby FF and Anderlecht: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Hammarby FF out or doubtful: V. Eriksson and S. Kone. In double chance terms, "Hammarby FF or draw" stands at 83%, "Anderlecht or draw" at 41% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Hammarby FF – Anderlecht. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 55% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Hammarby FF 1-0 Anderlecht | 13.3% |
| Hammarby FF 1-1 Anderlecht | 13.1% |
| Hammarby FF 0-0 Anderlecht | 10.3% |
| Hammarby FF 0-1 Anderlecht | 10.1% |
| Hammarby FF 2-0 Anderlecht | 8.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.29 expected goals for Hammarby FF and 0.98 for Anderlecht, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 40% and "both teams to score" at 45%. Few goals are expected here. Hammarby FF keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Anderlecht in 28%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Hammarby FF expected goals | 1.29 |
| Anderlecht expected goals | 0.98 |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Hammarby FF clean sheet | 38% |
| Anderlecht clean sheet | 28% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Hammarby FF
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | BK Hacken · Club Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Kongsvinger · Club Friendlies | 3-3 | D |
| Feb 13, 2026 | HJK Helsinki · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv · Club Friendlies | 4-3 | W |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Seattle Sounders · Club Friendlies | 1-3 | L |
Anderlecht
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 11, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen · Club Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Dunkerque · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Boulogne · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| May 24, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise · Jupiler Pro League | 1-5 | L |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Hammarby FF and Anderlecht: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Hammarby FF
- V. Eriksson (out)
- S. Kone (out)
Anderlecht
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Qarabag 0-0 CSKA SofiaJul 23, 2026
- Dynamo Kyiv 2-3 PAOKJul 23, 2026
- Tromso 0-1 Hradec KrálovéJul 23, 2026
- Sheriff Tiraspol 0-5 Maccabi Tel AvivJul 23, 2026
- FC ST. Gallen 2-1 BenficaJul 23, 2026
- Beşiktaş 1-0 FC MidtjyllandJul 23, 2026
- Twente 1-2 Ferencvarosi TCJul 23, 2026
- HNK Hajduk Split 2-0 PafosJul 23, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Hammarby FF vs Anderlecht prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Hammarby FF a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Anderlecht 17%. Hammarby FF are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Hammarby FF vs Anderlecht?
1-0 (13.3%), followed by 1-1 (13.1%), 0-0 (10.3%), 0-1 (10.1%) and 2-0 (8.6%).
Will both teams score in Hammarby FF vs Anderlecht?
The probability that both Hammarby FF and Anderlecht score is 45%. Hammarby FF have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Anderlecht 28%.
How many goals should we expect in Hammarby FF vs Anderlecht?
The model expects 2.27 goals (1.29 for Hammarby FF, 0.98 for Anderlecht). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 66%, over 2.5 goals 40%, over 3.5 goals 20%.
When and where is Hammarby FF vs Anderlecht played?
Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: 3Arena, Stockholm.
What form are Hammarby FF and Anderlecht in?
Hammarby FF: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 11 conceded). Anderlecht: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded).
What was the Hammarby FF vs Anderlecht result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Hammarby FF 1-1 Anderlecht. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Hammarby FF (59%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (13.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (40%): correct.
How is the Hammarby FF vs Anderlecht prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.29 for Hammarby FF, 0.98 for Anderlecht) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Hammarby FF predictions
- All Anderlecht predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology