UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 23, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
Tromso vs Hradec Králové: 0-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Tromso 0-1 Hradec Králové. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Tromso (53%), while victory for Hradec Králové was rated at only 23%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.9%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
Match analysis
Tromso and Hradec Králové met on Thursday, July 23, 2026, a UEFA Europa League fixture. Venue: Alfheim, Tromso. Before kick-off, our model gave Tromso a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hradec Králové 23%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.6%) and 2-0 (9.7%).
Tromso are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 2. Hradec Králové are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 12 and conceding 5. Hradec Králové therefore arrive in far better shape than Tromso. On average Tromso score 1.40 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Hradec Králové score 2.40 and concede 1.00.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Tromso and Hradec Králové: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Tromso out or doubtful: V. Ekblom. In double chance terms, "Tromso or draw" stands at 77%, "Hradec Králové or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Tromso – Hradec Králové. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Tromso 1-0 Hradec Králové | 11.6% |
| Tromso 1-1 Hradec Králové | 11.6% |
| Tromso 2-0 Hradec Králové | 9.7% |
| Tromso 2-1 Hradec Králové | 9.7% |
| Tromso 0-0 Hradec Králové | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.67 expected goals for Tromso and 1.00 for Hradec Králové, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Tromso keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Hradec Králové in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Tromso expected goals | 1.67 |
| Hradec Králové expected goals | 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Tromso clean sheet | 37% |
| Hradec Králové clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Tromso
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2026 | Orgryte IS · Club Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Start · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Lillestrom · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Viking · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Bryne · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
Hradec Králové
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Sparta Praha II · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Chrudim · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka · Club Friendlies | 4-3 | W |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Tromso and Hradec Králové: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Tromso
- V. Ekblom (out)
Hradec Králové
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Qarabag 0-0 CSKA SofiaJul 23, 2026
- Dynamo Kyiv 2-3 PAOKJul 23, 2026
- Hammarby FF 1-1 AnderlechtJul 23, 2026
- Sheriff Tiraspol 0-5 Maccabi Tel AvivJul 23, 2026
- FC ST. Gallen 2-1 BenficaJul 23, 2026
- Beşiktaş 1-0 FC MidtjyllandJul 23, 2026
- Twente 1-2 Ferencvarosi TCJul 23, 2026
- HNK Hajduk Split 2-0 PafosJul 23, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Tromso vs Hradec Králové prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Tromso a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hradec Králové 23%. Tromso are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Tromso vs Hradec Králové?
1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.6%), 2-0 (9.7%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Tromso vs Hradec Králové?
The probability that both Tromso and Hradec Králové score is 51%. Tromso have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Hradec Králové 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Tromso vs Hradec Králové?
The model expects 2.67 goals (1.67 for Tromso, 1.00 for Hradec Králové). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Tromso vs Hradec Králové played?
Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Alfheim, Tromso.
What form are Tromso and Hradec Králové in?
Tromso: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 2 conceded). Hradec Králové: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 5 conceded).
What was the Tromso vs Hradec Králové result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Tromso 0-1 Hradec Králové. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Tromso (53%), while victory for Hradec Králové was rated at only 23%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.9%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
How is the Tromso vs Hradec Králové prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.67 for Tromso, 1.00 for Hradec Králové) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Tromso predictions
- All Hradec Králové predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology