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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Sunday, June 28, 2026, 03:00 (UK time)

Algeria vs Austria: 3-3 result and AI prediction review

AlgeriaAlgeria3 – 3AustriaAustria

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Algeria 3-3 Austria. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Austria (46%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.5%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (38%): missed.

Match analysis

Algeria and Austria met on Sunday, June 28, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City. Before kick-off, our model gave Algeria a 28% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Austria 46%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (13.4%), followed by 0-1 (12.5%) and 1-0 (11.9%).

Over their last 5 matches, Algeria have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Austria have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Algeria score 1.40 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Austria score 2.00 and concede 0.80. In the table, Algeria sit 9th with 3 points from 2 games, Austria 2nd with 3 points from 2. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Algeria have averaged 1.09 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.11 for Austria.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Algeria and Austria: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Algeria out or doubtful: M. Amoura. In double chance terms, "Algeria or draw" stands at 54%, "Austria or draw" at 72% and "no draw" at 74%.

In short : Austria arrives as the stronger ranked side (2nd vs 9th) with superior recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches compared to Algeria's mixed 3-2 record. Both teams have identical xG averages (1.09-1.11) and tournament points (3), but Austria's unbeaten streak and goal difference advantage position them as favorites in this World Cup encounter.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

28%
Algeria (Win)
26%
Draw
46%
Austria (Win)

Double chance

54%
Algeria or draw
72%
Austria or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Algeria – Austria. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 57% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Algeria 1-1 Austria13.4%
Algeria 0-1 Austria12.5%
Algeria 1-0 Austria11.9%
Algeria 0-0 Austria11.1%
Algeria 1-2 Austria7.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.07 expected goals for Algeria and 1.13 for Austria, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 38% and "both teams to score" at 45%. Few goals are expected here. Algeria keep a clean sheet in 32% of scenarios, Austria in 34%.

Probability
Algeria expected goals1.07
Austria expected goals1.13
Both teams to score45%
Over 1.5 goals65%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Over 3.5 goals18%
Algeria clean sheet32%
Austria clean sheet34%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Algeria

DateOpponentScore
Jun 23, 2026Jordan · FIFA World Cup2-1W
Jun 17, 2026Argentina · FIFA World Cup0-3L
Jun 11, 2026Bolivia · International Friendlies4-0W
Jun 3, 2026Netherlands · International Friendlies1-0W
Mar 31, 2026Uruguay · International Friendlies0-0D

Austria

DateOpponentScore
Jun 22, 2026Argentina · FIFA World Cup0-2L
Jun 17, 2026Jordan · FIFA World Cup3-1W
Jun 1, 2026Tunisia · International Friendlies1-0W
Mar 31, 2026South Korea · International Friendlies1-0W
Mar 27, 2026Ghana · International Friendlies5-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Algeria932
Austria232

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Algeria and Austria: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Algeria

  • M. Amoura (out)

Austria

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Algeria vs Austria prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Algeria a 28% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Austria 46%. Austria are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-3.

What is the most likely correct score for Algeria vs Austria?

1-1 (13.4%), followed by 0-1 (12.5%), 1-0 (11.9%), 0-0 (11.1%) and 1-2 (7.6%).

Will both teams score in Algeria vs Austria?

The probability that both Algeria and Austria score is 45%. Algeria have a 32% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Austria 34%.

How many goals should we expect in Algeria vs Austria?

The model expects 2.20 goals (1.07 for Algeria, 1.13 for Austria). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 65%, over 2.5 goals 38%, over 3.5 goals 18%.

When and where is Algeria vs Austria played?

Sunday, June 28, 2026 at 03:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City.

What form are Algeria and Austria in?

Algeria: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded). Austria: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 4 conceded).

What was the Algeria vs Austria result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Algeria 3-3 Austria. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Austria (46%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.5%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (38%): missed.

How is the Algeria vs Austria prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.07 for Algeria, 1.13 for Austria) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained