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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Saturday, June 27, 2026, 22:00 (UK time)

Panama vs England: 0-2 result and AI prediction review

PanamaPanama0 – 2EnglandEngland

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-3

Final score: Panama 0-2 England. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for England at 78%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (12.2%), behind 0-3. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (33%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (75%): missed.

Match analysis

Panama and England met on Saturday, June 27, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford. Before kick-off, our model gave Panama a 8% chance of winning, the draw 14% and England 78%. On the correct score, 0-3 comes out on top (14.2%), followed by 0-4 (12.4%) and 0-2 (12.2%).

Panama have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, England have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 3. England therefore arrive in far better shape than Panama. On average Panama score 1.40 and concede 2.20 goals per game; England score 1.60 and concede 0.60. In the table, Panama sit 4th with 0 points from 2 games, England 1st with 4 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Panama have averaged 0.64 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.28 for England.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Panama, 1 for England and 0 draws. In double chance terms, "Panama or draw" stands at 22%, "England or draw" at 92% and "no draw" at 86%.

In short : England arrives with a dominant 1-0 head-to-head record against Panama and significantly superior expected goals (2.28 vs 0.64 per match). Panama sits winless after two group matches with a -2 goal differential, while England leads the standings with 4 points from 2 games.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

8%
Panama (Win)
14%
Draw
78%
England (Win)

Double chance

22%
Panama or draw
92%
England or draw
86%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Panama – England. 0-3 is the single most likely scoreline (14.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 54% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Panama 0-3 England14.2%
Panama 0-4 England12.4%
Panama 0-2 England12.2%
Panama 0-5 England8.6%
Panama 0-1 England7.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.42 expected goals for Panama and 3.49 for England, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 75% and "both teams to score" at 33%. Goals look likely in this one. Panama keep a clean sheet in 3% of scenarios, England in 66%.

Probability
Panama expected goals0.42
England expected goals3.49
Both teams to score33%
Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Over 3.5 goals55%
Panama clean sheet3%
England clean sheet66%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Panama

DateOpponentScore
Jun 24, 2026Croatia · FIFA World Cup0-1L
Jun 18, 2026Ghana · FIFA World Cup0-1L
Jun 6, 2026Bosnia & Herzegovina · International Friendlies1-1D
Jun 4, 2026Dominican Republic · International Friendlies4-2W
May 31, 2026Brazil · International Friendlies2-6L

England

DateOpponentScore
Jun 23, 2026Ghana · FIFA World Cup0-0D
Jun 17, 2026Croatia · FIFA World Cup4-2W
Jun 10, 2026Costa Rica · International Friendlies3-0W
Jun 6, 2026New Zealand · International Friendlies1-0W
Mar 31, 2026Japan · International Friendlies0-1L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Panama402
England142

Head-to-head

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Panama, 1 for England and 0 draws.

Out and doubtful

Panama

No absences reported.

England

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Panama vs England prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Panama a 8% chance of winning, the draw 14% and England 78%. England are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Panama vs England?

0-3 (14.2%), followed by 0-4 (12.4%), 0-2 (12.2%), 0-5 (8.6%) and 0-1 (7.0%).

Will both teams score in Panama vs England?

The probability that both Panama and England score is 33%. Panama have a 3% chance of keeping a clean sheet, England 66%.

How many goals should we expect in Panama vs England?

The model expects 3.91 goals (0.42 for Panama, 3.49 for England). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 90%, over 2.5 goals 75%, over 3.5 goals 55%.

When and where is Panama vs England played?

Saturday, June 27, 2026 at 22:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford.

What form are Panama and England in?

Panama: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 11 conceded). England: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 3 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Panama and England?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Panama, 1 for England and 0 draws.

What was the Panama vs England result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Panama 0-2 England. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for England at 78%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (12.2%), behind 0-3. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (33%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (75%): missed.

How is the Panama vs England prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.42 for Panama, 3.49 for England) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained