FIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Saturday, June 27, 2026, 04:00 (UK time)
Egypt vs Iran: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Egypt 1-1 Iran. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Egypt (52%), while a draw was rated at only 28%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.5%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (53%): missed.
Match analysis
Egypt and Iran met on Saturday, June 27, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: Lumen Field, Seattle. Before kick-off, our model gave Egypt a 52% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Iran 20%. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (12.5%), followed by 1-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Egypt have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Iran are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 12 and conceding 3. Iran therefore arrive in far better shape than Egypt. On average Egypt score 1.20 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Iran score 2.40 and concede 0.60. In the table, Egypt sit 1st with 4 points from 2 games, Iran 2nd with 2 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Egypt have averaged 1.48 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.06 for Iran.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Egypt and Iran: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Egypt or draw" stands at 80%, "Iran or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : Egypt leads Group standings with 4 points from 2 matches and a superior expected goals average of 1.48 compared to Iran's 1.06. Iran remains unbeaten but has drawn both World Cup matches so far, while Egypt has won one and drawn one.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Egypt – Iran. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 52% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Egypt 2-0 Iran | 12.5% |
| Egypt 1-0 Iran | 12.3% |
| Egypt 2-1 Iran | 9.6% |
| Egypt 1-1 Iran | 9.5% |
| Egypt 3-0 Iran | 8.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.04 expected goals for Egypt and 0.77 for Iran, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 53% and "both teams to score" at 47%. Egypt keep a clean sheet in 46% of scenarios, Iran in 13%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Egypt expected goals | 2.04 |
| Iran expected goals | 0.77 |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Egypt clean sheet | 46% |
| Iran clean sheet | 13% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Egypt
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2026 | New Zealand · FIFA World Cup | 3-1 | W |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Belgium · FIFA World Cup | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Brazil · International Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| May 28, 2026 | Russia · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Spain · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
Iran
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Belgium · FIFA World Cup | 0-0 | D |
| Jun 16, 2026 | New Zealand · FIFA World Cup | 2-2 | D |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Mali · International Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| May 29, 2026 | Gambia · International Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Costa Rica · International Friendlies | 5-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Iran | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Egypt and Iran: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Egypt
No absences reported.
Iran
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Senegal 5-0 IraqJun 26, 2026
- Norway 1-4 FranceJun 26, 2026
- Uruguay 0-1 SpainJun 27, 2026
- Cape Verde 0-0 Saudi ArabiaJun 27, 2026
- New Zealand 1-5 BelgiumJun 27, 2026
- Croatia 2-1 GhanaJun 27, 2026
- Panama 0-2 EnglandJun 27, 2026
- DR Congo 3-1 UzbekistanJun 28, 2026
- Colombia 0-0 PortugalJun 28, 2026
- Algeria 3-3 AustriaJun 28, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Egypt vs Iran prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Egypt a 52% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Iran 20%. Egypt are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Egypt vs Iran?
2-0 (12.5%), followed by 1-0 (12.3%), 2-1 (9.6%), 1-1 (9.5%) and 3-0 (8.5%).
Will both teams score in Egypt vs Iran?
The probability that both Egypt and Iran score is 47%. Egypt have a 46% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Iran 13%.
How many goals should we expect in Egypt vs Iran?
The model expects 2.81 goals (2.04 for Egypt, 0.77 for Iran). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 53%, over 3.5 goals 31%.
When and where is Egypt vs Iran played?
Saturday, June 27, 2026 at 04:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Lumen Field, Seattle.
What form are Egypt and Iran in?
Egypt: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded). Iran: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 3 conceded).
What was the Egypt vs Iran result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Egypt 1-1 Iran. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Egypt (52%), while a draw was rated at only 28%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.5%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (53%): missed.
How is the Egypt vs Iran prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.04 for Egypt, 0.77 for Iran) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Egypt predictions
- All Iran predictions
- FIFA World Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology