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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Sunday, June 28, 2026, 00:30 (UK time)

Colombia vs Portugal: 0-0 result and AI prediction review

ColombiaColombia0 – 0PortugalPortugal

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Colombia 0-0 Portugal. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Colombia (38%), while a draw was rated at only 27%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.4%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (59%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): missed.

Match analysis

Colombia vs Portugal was played on Sunday, June 28, 2026 (FIFA World Cup). Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens. Before kick-off, our model gave Colombia a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Portugal 35%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.5%), ahead of 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.5%).

Over their last 5 matches, Colombia have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Portugal are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 12 and conceding 3. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Colombia score 2.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Portugal score 2.40 and concede 0.60. In the table, Colombia sit 1st with 6 points from 2 games, Portugal 2nd with 4 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Colombia have averaged 1.29 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.63 for Portugal.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Colombia and Portugal: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Colombia or draw" stands at 65%, "Portugal or draw" at 62% and "no draw" at 73%.

In short : Colombia leads Group standings with two wins from two matches and a +3 goal difference, while Portugal sits second with 4 points but boasts a superior +5 goal differential and higher expected goals average of 1.63. This is a first-ever meeting between these nations at World Cup level, with both teams unbeaten so far.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

38%
Colombia (Win)
27%
Draw
35%
Portugal (Win)

Double chance

65%
Colombia or draw
62%
Portugal or draw
73%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Colombia – Portugal. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 44% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Colombia 1-1 Portugal11.5%
Colombia 2-1 Portugal8.9%
Colombia 1-0 Portugal8.5%
Colombia 1-2 Portugal7.7%
Colombia 0-1 Portugal7.4%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.91 goals in total (1.56 for Colombia, 1.35 for Portugal): over 2.5 goals has a 56% probability and both teams to score 59%. Colombia keep a clean sheet in 26% of scenarios, Portugal in 21%.

Probability
Colombia expected goals1.56
Portugal expected goals1.35
Both teams to score59%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Colombia clean sheet26%
Portugal clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Colombia

DateOpponentScore
Jun 24, 2026DR Congo · FIFA World Cup1-0W
Jun 18, 2026Uzbekistan · FIFA World Cup3-1W
Jun 8, 2026Jordan · International Friendlies2-0W
Jun 2, 2026Costa Rica · International Friendlies3-1W
Mar 29, 2026France · International Friendlies1-3L

Portugal

DateOpponentScore
Jun 23, 2026Uzbekistan · FIFA World Cup5-0W
Jun 17, 2026DR Congo · FIFA World Cup1-1D
Jun 10, 2026Nigeria · International Friendlies2-1W
Jun 6, 2026Chile · International Friendlies2-1W
Apr 1, 2026United States · International Friendlies2-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Colombia162
Portugal242

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Colombia and Portugal: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Colombia

No absences reported.

Portugal

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Colombia vs Portugal prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Colombia a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Portugal 35%. Colombia are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Colombia vs Portugal?

1-1 (11.5%), followed by 2-1 (8.9%), 1-0 (8.5%), 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-1 (7.4%).

Will both teams score in Colombia vs Portugal?

The probability that both Colombia and Portugal score is 59%. Colombia have a 26% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Portugal 21%.

How many goals should we expect in Colombia vs Portugal?

The model expects 2.91 goals (1.56 for Colombia, 1.35 for Portugal). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 56%, over 3.5 goals 33%.

When and where is Colombia vs Portugal played?

Sunday, June 28, 2026 at 00:30 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens.

What form are Colombia and Portugal in?

Colombia: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 5 conceded). Portugal: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 3 conceded).

What was the Colombia vs Portugal result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Colombia 0-0 Portugal. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Colombia (38%), while a draw was rated at only 27%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.4%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (59%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): missed.

How is the Colombia vs Portugal prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.56 for Colombia, 1.35 for Portugal) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained