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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Sunday, June 28, 2026, 00:30 (UK time)

DR Congo vs Uzbekistan: 3-1 result and AI prediction review

DR CongoDR Congo3 – 1UzbekistanUzbekistan

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: DR Congo 3-1 Uzbekistan. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for DR Congo at 42%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (3.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (41%): missed.

Match analysis

DR Congo and Uzbekistan met on Sunday, June 28, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta. Before kick-off, our model gave DR Congo a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Uzbekistan 30%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (13.1%), followed by 1-0 (12.6%) and 0-1 (10.2%).

DR Congo have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 4. Uzbekistan have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 14. Both sides come in with similar form. On average DR Congo score 0.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Uzbekistan score 1.20 and concede 2.80. In the table, DR Congo sit 12th with 1 points from 2 games, Uzbekistan 4th with 0 points from 2. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, DR Congo have averaged 0.62 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.70 for Uzbekistan.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between DR Congo and Uzbekistan: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "DR Congo or draw" stands at 70%, "Uzbekistan or draw" at 58% and "no draw" at 72%.

In short : Congo DR holds a slight advantage despite ranking lower, having earned 1 point from 2 matches compared to Uzbekistan's winless record with a concerning -7 goal difference. Both teams show weak attacking output (0.62 and 0.70 xG respectively), suggesting a low-scoring encounter where Congo DR's marginally better form could prove decisive.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

42%
DR Congo (Win)
28%
Draw
30%
Uzbekistan (Win)

Double chance

70%
DR Congo or draw
58%
Uzbekistan or draw
72%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as DR Congo – Uzbekistan. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 54% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
DR Congo 1-1 Uzbekistan13.1%
DR Congo 1-0 Uzbekistan12.6%
DR Congo 0-1 Uzbekistan10.2%
DR Congo 0-0 Uzbekistan9.8%
DR Congo 2-1 Uzbekistan8.4%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.28 expected goals for DR Congo and 1.04 for Uzbekistan, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 41% and "both teams to score" at 47%. Few goals are expected here. DR Congo keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Uzbekistan in 28%.

Probability
DR Congo expected goals1.28
Uzbekistan expected goals1.04
Both teams to score47%
Over 1.5 goals67%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Over 3.5 goals21%
DR Congo clean sheet35%
Uzbekistan clean sheet28%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

DR Congo

DateOpponentScore
Jun 24, 2026Colombia · FIFA World Cup0-1L
Jun 17, 2026Portugal · FIFA World Cup1-1D
Jun 9, 2026Chile · International Friendlies1-2L
Jun 3, 2026Denmark · International Friendlies0-0D
Mar 25, 2026Bermuda · International Friendlies2-0W

Uzbekistan

DateOpponentScore
Jun 23, 2026Portugal · FIFA World Cup0-5L
Jun 18, 2026Colombia · FIFA World Cup1-3L
Jun 8, 2026Netherlands · International Friendlies1-2L
Jun 2, 2026Canada · International Friendlies0-2L
Jan 30, 2026FC Urartu · International Friendlies4-2W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
DR Congo1212
Uzbekistan402

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between DR Congo and Uzbekistan: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

DR Congo

No absences reported.

Uzbekistan

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the DR Congo vs Uzbekistan prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave DR Congo a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Uzbekistan 30%. DR Congo are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 3-1.

What is the most likely correct score for DR Congo vs Uzbekistan?

1-1 (13.1%), followed by 1-0 (12.6%), 0-1 (10.2%), 0-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (8.4%).

Will both teams score in DR Congo vs Uzbekistan?

The probability that both DR Congo and Uzbekistan score is 47%. DR Congo have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Uzbekistan 28%.

How many goals should we expect in DR Congo vs Uzbekistan?

The model expects 2.32 goals (1.28 for DR Congo, 1.04 for Uzbekistan). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 67%, over 2.5 goals 41%, over 3.5 goals 21%.

When and where is DR Congo vs Uzbekistan played?

Sunday, June 28, 2026 at 00:30 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta.

What form are DR Congo and Uzbekistan in?

DR Congo: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 4 conceded). Uzbekistan: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 14 conceded).

What was the DR Congo vs Uzbekistan result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: DR Congo 3-1 Uzbekistan. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for DR Congo at 42%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (3.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (41%): missed.

How is the DR Congo vs Uzbekistan prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.28 for DR Congo, 1.04 for Uzbekistan) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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