FIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Sunday, June 21, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Belgium vs Iran: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Belgium 0-0 Iran. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Belgium (48%), while a draw was rated at only 27%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.5%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (46%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (42%): correct.
Match analysis
Belgium and Iran met on Sunday, June 21, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood. Before kick-off, our model gave Belgium a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Iran 25%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (13.4%), followed by 1-1 (12.6%) and 0-0 (9.5%).
Belgium are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 14 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Iran have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Belgium score 2.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Iran score 2.60 and concede 1.00. In the table, Belgium sit 4th with 1 points from 1 games, Iran 2nd with 1 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Belgium have averaged 1.10 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.50 for Iran.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Belgium and Iran: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Belgium or draw" stands at 75%, "Iran or draw" at 52% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : Belgium enters as the higher-ranked side (4th) with superior recent form, though both teams sit on 1 point from their opening matches. Iran shows a slightly higher expected goals average (1.5 vs 1.1), but Belgium's recent record of three wins in their last five games provides an edge in this World Cup encounter.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Belgium – Iran. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 54% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Belgium 1-0 Iran | 13.4% |
| Belgium 1-1 Iran | 12.6% |
| Belgium 0-0 Iran | 9.5% |
| Belgium 2-0 Iran | 9.5% |
| Belgium 0-1 Iran | 9.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.41 expected goals for Belgium and 0.94 for Iran, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 42% and "both teams to score" at 46%. Few goals are expected here. Belgium keep a clean sheet in 39% of scenarios, Iran in 24%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Belgium expected goals | 1.41 |
| Iran expected goals | 0.94 |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% |
| Belgium clean sheet | 39% |
| Iran clean sheet | 24% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Belgium
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2026 | Egypt · FIFA World Cup | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Tunisia · International Friendlies | 5-0 | W |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Croatia · International Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Mexico · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 28, 2026 | United States · International Friendlies | 5-2 | W |
Iran
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2026 | New Zealand · FIFA World Cup | 2-2 | D |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Mali · International Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| May 29, 2026 | Gambia · International Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Costa Rica · International Friendlies | 5-0 | W |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Nigeria · International Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Iran | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Belgium and Iran: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Belgium
No absences reported.
Iran
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Netherlands 5-1 SwedenJun 20, 2026
- Germany 2-1 Ivory CoastJun 20, 2026
- Ecuador 0-0 CuraçaoJun 21, 2026
- Tunisia 0-4 JapanJun 21, 2026
- Spain 4-0 Saudi ArabiaJun 21, 2026
- Uruguay 2-2 Cape VerdeJun 21, 2026
- New Zealand 1-3 EgyptJun 22, 2026
- Argentina 2-0 AustriaJun 22, 2026
- France 3-0 IraqJun 22, 2026
- Norway 3-2 SenegalJun 23, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Belgium vs Iran prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Belgium a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Iran 25%. Belgium are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Belgium vs Iran?
1-0 (13.4%), followed by 1-1 (12.6%), 0-0 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.5%) and 0-1 (9.0%).
Will both teams score in Belgium vs Iran?
The probability that both Belgium and Iran score is 46%. Belgium have a 39% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Iran 24%.
How many goals should we expect in Belgium vs Iran?
The model expects 2.35 goals (1.41 for Belgium, 0.94 for Iran). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 68%, over 2.5 goals 42%, over 3.5 goals 21%.
When and where is Belgium vs Iran played?
Sunday, June 21, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood.
What form are Belgium and Iran in?
Belgium: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 4 conceded). Iran: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 5 conceded).
What was the Belgium vs Iran result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Belgium 0-0 Iran. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Belgium (48%), while a draw was rated at only 27%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.5%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (46%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (42%): correct.
How is the Belgium vs Iran prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.41 for Belgium, 0.94 for Iran) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Belgium predictions
- All Iran predictions
- FIFA World Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology