FIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Saturday, June 20, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)
Germany vs Ivory Coast: 2-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Germany 2-1 Ivory Coast. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Germany was the model's favourite outcome (68%). The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (5.3%), behind 3-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (69%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (89%): correct.
Match analysis
Germany vs Ivory Coast was played on Saturday, June 20, 2026 (FIFA World Cup). Venue: BMO Field, Toronto. Before kick-off, our model gave Germany a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Ivory Coast 14%. The most likely correct score is 3-1 (7.0%), ahead of 4-1 (7.0%) and 3-0 (5.8%).
Germany are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 19 and conceding 6. Ivory Coast are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 10 and conceding 1. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Germany score 3.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Ivory Coast score 2.00 and concede 0.20. In the table, Germany sit 1st with 3 points from 1 games, Ivory Coast 2nd with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Germany have averaged 4.22 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.52 for Ivory Coast.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Germany and Ivory Coast: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Germany or draw" stands at 86%, "Ivory Coast or draw" at 32% and "no draw" at 82%.
In short : Germany enters with a dominant 4.22 xG average and a +6 goal differential from their opening win, significantly outgunning Ivory Coast's 1.52 xG and +1 differential. Both sides are unbeaten, but Germany's superior attacking output and higher ranking suggest a commanding performance in this World Cup clash.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Germany – Ivory Coast. 3-1 is the single most likely scoreline (7.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 31% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Germany 3-1 Ivory Coast | 7.0% |
| Germany 4-1 Ivory Coast | 7.0% |
| Germany 3-0 Ivory Coast | 5.8% |
| Germany 4-0 Ivory Coast | 5.8% |
| Germany 5-1 Ivory Coast | 5.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 5.21 goals in total (4.00 for Germany, 1.21 for Ivory Coast): over 2.5 goals has a 89% probability and both teams to score 69%. Everything points to an open game. Germany keep a clean sheet in 30% of scenarios, Ivory Coast in 2%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Germany expected goals | 4.00 |
| Ivory Coast expected goals | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | 69% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 97% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 89% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 76% |
| Germany clean sheet | 30% |
| Ivory Coast clean sheet | 2% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Germany
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Curaçao · FIFA World Cup | 7-1 | W |
| Jun 6, 2026 | United States · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| May 31, 2026 | Finland · International Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Ghana · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Switzerland · International Friendlies | 4-3 | W |
Ivory Coast
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2026 | Ecuador · FIFA World Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Philadelphia Union II · International Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 4, 2026 | France · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Scotland · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Mar 28, 2026 | South Korea · International Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Ivory Coast | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Germany and Ivory Coast: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Germany
No absences reported.
Ivory Coast
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Canada 6-0 QatarJun 18, 2026
- Mexico 1-0 South KoreaJun 19, 2026
- Netherlands 5-1 SwedenJun 20, 2026
- Ecuador 0-0 CuraçaoJun 21, 2026
- Tunisia 0-4 JapanJun 21, 2026
- Spain 4-0 Saudi ArabiaJun 21, 2026
- Belgium 0-0 IranJun 21, 2026
- Uruguay 2-2 Cape VerdeJun 21, 2026
- New Zealand 1-3 EgyptJun 22, 2026
- Argentina 2-0 AustriaJun 22, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Germany vs Ivory Coast prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Germany a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Ivory Coast 14%. Germany are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Germany vs Ivory Coast?
3-1 (7.0%), followed by 4-1 (7.0%), 3-0 (5.8%), 4-0 (5.8%) and 5-1 (5.6%).
Will both teams score in Germany vs Ivory Coast?
The probability that both Germany and Ivory Coast score is 69%. Germany have a 30% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Ivory Coast 2%.
How many goals should we expect in Germany vs Ivory Coast?
The model expects 5.21 goals (4.00 for Germany, 1.21 for Ivory Coast). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 97%, over 2.5 goals 89%, over 3.5 goals 76%.
When and where is Germany vs Ivory Coast played?
Saturday, June 20, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: BMO Field, Toronto.
What form are Germany and Ivory Coast in?
Germany: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (19 scored, 6 conceded). Ivory Coast: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 1 conceded).
What was the Germany vs Ivory Coast result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Germany 2-1 Ivory Coast. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Germany was the model's favourite outcome (68%). The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (5.3%), behind 3-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (69%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (89%): correct.
How is the Germany vs Ivory Coast prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (4.00 for Germany, 1.21 for Ivory Coast) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Germany predictions
- All Ivory Coast predictions
- FIFA World Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology