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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Thursday, June 18, 2026, 23:00 (UK time)

Canada vs Qatar: 6-0 result and AI prediction review

CanadaCanada6 – 0QatarQatar

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Canada 6-0 Qatar. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Canada at 58%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.2%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (31%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (31%): missed.

Match analysis

Canada and Qatar met on Thursday, June 18, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: BC Place, Vancouver. Before kick-off, our model gave Canada a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Qatar 18%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (20.5%), followed by 2-0 (14.8%) and 0-0 (14.2%).

Canada are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (1 win, 4 draws), scoring 6 and conceding 4. Qatar have not won any of their last 3 matches (2 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 1 and conceding 2. Canada therefore arrive in far better shape than Qatar. On average Canada score 1.20 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Qatar score 0.33 and concede 0.67. In the table, Canada sit 2nd with 1 points from 1 games, Qatar 4th with 1 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Canada have averaged 1.23 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.60 for Qatar.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Canada, 0 for Qatar and 0 draws. In double chance terms, "Canada or draw" stands at 82%, "Qatar or draw" at 42% and "no draw" at 76%.

In short : Canada enters with superior recent form and a 1.23 xG average compared to Qatar's 0.6, plus a head-to-head advantage with one previous win. Both teams sit on 1 point from their opening matches, but Canada's more consistent attacking output suggests they hold the edge in this World Cup encounter.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

58%
Canada (Win)
24%
Draw
18%
Qatar (Win)

Double chance

82%
Canada or draw
42%
Qatar or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Canada – Qatar. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (20.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 67% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Canada 1-0 Qatar20.5%
Canada 2-0 Qatar14.8%
Canada 0-0 Qatar14.2%
Canada 1-1 Qatar10.4%
Canada 2-1 Qatar7.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.44 expected goals for Canada and 0.51 for Qatar, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 31% and "both teams to score" at 31%. Few goals are expected here. Canada keep a clean sheet in 60% of scenarios, Qatar in 24%.

Probability
Canada expected goals1.44
Qatar expected goals0.51
Both teams to score31%
Over 1.5 goals58%
Over 2.5 goals31%
Over 3.5 goals13%
Canada clean sheet60%
Qatar clean sheet24%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Canada

DateOpponentScore
Jun 12, 2026Bosnia & Herzegovina · FIFA World Cup1-1D
Jun 6, 2026Ireland · International Friendlies1-1D
Jun 2, 2026Uzbekistan · International Friendlies2-0W
Apr 1, 2026Tunisia · International Friendlies0-0D
Mar 28, 2026Iceland · International Friendlies2-2D

Qatar

DateOpponentScore
Jun 13, 2026Switzerland · FIFA World Cup1-1D
Jun 6, 2026El Salvador · International Friendlies0-0D
May 28, 2026Ireland · International Friendlies0-1L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Canada211
Qatar411

Head-to-head

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Canada, 0 for Qatar and 0 draws.

Out and doubtful

Canada

No absences reported.

Qatar

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Canada vs Qatar prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Canada a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Qatar 18%. Canada are therefore favourites. Final score: 6-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Canada vs Qatar?

1-0 (20.5%), followed by 2-0 (14.8%), 0-0 (14.2%), 1-1 (10.4%) and 2-1 (7.5%).

Will both teams score in Canada vs Qatar?

The probability that both Canada and Qatar score is 31%. Canada have a 60% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Qatar 24%.

How many goals should we expect in Canada vs Qatar?

The model expects 1.95 goals (1.44 for Canada, 0.51 for Qatar). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 58%, over 2.5 goals 31%, over 3.5 goals 13%.

When and where is Canada vs Qatar played?

Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: BC Place, Vancouver.

What form are Canada and Qatar in?

Canada: 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded). Qatar: 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches (1 scored, 2 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Canada and Qatar?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Canada, 0 for Qatar and 0 draws.

What was the Canada vs Qatar result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Canada 6-0 Qatar. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Canada at 58%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.2%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (31%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (31%): missed.

How is the Canada vs Qatar prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.44 for Canada, 0.51 for Qatar) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained