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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Thursday, June 18, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)

Czechia vs South Africa: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

CzechiaCzechia1 – 1South AfricaSouth Africa

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Czechia 1-1 South Africa. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Czechia (58%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (7.0%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (16%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (18%): correct.

Match analysis

Czechia vs South Africa was played on Thursday, June 18, 2026 (FIFA World Cup). Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta. Before kick-off, our model gave Czechia a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and South Africa 18%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (28.1%), ahead of 0-0 (23.2%) and 2-0 (17.0%).

Over their last 3 matches, Czechia have 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 4. South Africa have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Czechia. On average Czechia score 2.00 and concede 1.33 goals per game; South Africa score 0.60 and concede 1.20. In the table, Czechia sit 8th with 0 points from 1 games, South Africa 4th with 0 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Czechia have averaged 0.83 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.07 for South Africa.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Czechia and South Africa: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Czechia or draw" stands at 82%, "South Africa or draw" at 42% and "no draw" at 76%.

In short : Czech Republic enters with superior attacking intent (0.83 xG vs 0.07), though both sides suffered opening losses in the tournament. South Africa's defensive struggles and minimal creative output suggest the home side holds a clear advantage in this World Cup encounter.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

58%
Czechia (Win)
24%
Draw
18%
South Africa (Win)

Double chance

82%
Czechia or draw
42%
South Africa or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Czechia – South Africa. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (28.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 82% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Czechia 1-0 South Africa28.1%
Czechia 0-0 South Africa23.2%
Czechia 2-0 South Africa17.0%
Czechia 1-1 South Africa7.0%
Czechia 3-0 South Africa6.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 1.46 goals in total (1.21 for Czechia, 0.25 for South Africa): over 2.5 goals has a 18% probability and both teams to score 16%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Czechia keep a clean sheet in 78% of scenarios, South Africa in 30%.

Probability
Czechia expected goals1.21
South Africa expected goals0.25
Both teams to score16%
Over 1.5 goals43%
Over 2.5 goals18%
Over 3.5 goals6%
Czechia clean sheet78%
South Africa clean sheet30%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Czechia

DateOpponentScore
Jun 12, 2026South Korea · FIFA World Cup1-2L
Jun 5, 2026Guatemala · International Friendlies3-1W
May 31, 2026Kosovo · International Friendlies2-1W

South Africa

DateOpponentScore
Jun 11, 2026Mexico · FIFA World Cup0-2L
Jun 6, 2026Jamaica · International Friendlies1-1D
May 29, 2026Nicaragua · International Friendlies0-0D
Mar 31, 2026Panama · International Friendlies1-2L
Mar 27, 2026Panama · International Friendlies1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Czechia801
South Africa401

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Czechia and South Africa: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Czechia

No absences reported.

South Africa

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Czechia vs South Africa prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Czechia a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and South Africa 18%. Czechia are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Czechia vs South Africa?

1-0 (28.1%), followed by 0-0 (23.2%), 2-0 (17.0%), 1-1 (7.0%) and 3-0 (6.9%).

Will both teams score in Czechia vs South Africa?

The probability that both Czechia and South Africa score is 16%. Czechia have a 78% chance of keeping a clean sheet, South Africa 30%.

How many goals should we expect in Czechia vs South Africa?

The model expects 1.46 goals (1.21 for Czechia, 0.25 for South Africa). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 43%, over 2.5 goals 18%, over 3.5 goals 6%.

When and where is Czechia vs South Africa played?

Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta.

What form are Czechia and South Africa in?

Czechia: 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded). South Africa: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 6 conceded).

What was the Czechia vs South Africa result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Czechia 1-1 South Africa. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Czechia (58%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (7.0%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (16%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (18%): correct.

How is the Czechia vs South Africa prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.21 for Czechia, 0.25 for South Africa) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained