FIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Thursday, June 18, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina: 4-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Switzerland was the model's favourite outcome (62%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.0%), behind 3-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (56%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (82%): correct.
Match analysis
Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina was played on Thursday, June 18, 2026 (FIFA World Cup). Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood. Before kick-off, our model gave Switzerland a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bosnia & Herzegovina 14%. The most likely correct score is 3-0 (9.1%), ahead of 4-0 (8.2%) and 3-1 (7.7%).
Switzerland have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 9 and conceding 7. Bosnia & Herzegovina have not won any of their last 3 matches (3 draws, 0 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 2. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Switzerland score 1.80 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Bosnia & Herzegovina score 0.67 and concede 0.67. In the table, Switzerland sit 1st with 1 points from 1 games, Bosnia & Herzegovina 4th with 1 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Switzerland have averaged 3.20 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.96 for Bosnia & Herzegovina.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Switzerland and Bosnia & Herzegovina: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Switzerland or draw" stands at 86%, "Bosnia & Herzegovina or draw" at 38% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Switzerland enters with superior expected goals (3.2 vs 0.96 xG) and a more varied recent form, while Bosnia & Herzegovina arrives with five consecutive draws and minimal attacking output. Both teams sit level on points after their opening matches, but Switzerland's attacking threat and creative advantage make them clear favorites in this World Cup encounter.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Switzerland – Bosnia & Herzegovina. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (9.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 40% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Switzerland 3-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina | 9.1% |
| Switzerland 4-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina | 8.2% |
| Switzerland 3-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina | 7.7% |
| Switzerland 2-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina | 7.5% |
| Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.47 goals in total (3.62 for Switzerland, 0.85 for Bosnia & Herzegovina): over 2.5 goals has a 82% probability and both teams to score 56%. Everything points to an open game. Switzerland keep a clean sheet in 43% of scenarios, Bosnia & Herzegovina in 3%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Switzerland expected goals | 3.62 |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina expected goals | 0.85 |
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 65% |
| Switzerland clean sheet | 43% |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina clean sheet | 3% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Switzerland
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Qatar · FIFA World Cup | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Australia · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| May 31, 2026 | Jordan · International Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Norway · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Germany · International Friendlies | 3-4 | L |
Bosnia & Herzegovina
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | Canada · FIFA World Cup | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Panama · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| May 29, 2026 | North Macedonia · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Switzerland and Bosnia & Herzegovina: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Switzerland
No absences reported.
Bosnia & Herzegovina
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Iraq 1-4 NorwayJun 16, 2026
- Argentina 3-0 AlgeriaJun 17, 2026
- Austria 3-1 JordanJun 17, 2026
- Portugal 1-1 DR CongoJun 17, 2026
- England 4-2 CroatiaJun 17, 2026
- Ghana 1-0 PanamaJun 18, 2026
- Uzbekistan 1-3 ColombiaJun 18, 2026
- Czechia 1-1 South AfricaJun 18, 2026
- Canada 6-0 QatarJun 18, 2026
- Mexico 1-0 South KoreaJun 19, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Switzerland a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bosnia & Herzegovina 14%. Switzerland are therefore favourites. Final score: 4-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
3-0 (9.1%), followed by 4-0 (8.2%), 3-1 (7.7%), 2-0 (7.5%) and 4-1 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
The probability that both Switzerland and Bosnia & Herzegovina score is 56%. Switzerland have a 43% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Bosnia & Herzegovina 3%.
How many goals should we expect in Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
The model expects 4.47 goals (3.62 for Switzerland, 0.85 for Bosnia & Herzegovina). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 94%, over 2.5 goals 82%, over 3.5 goals 65%.
When and where is Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina played?
Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood.
What form are Switzerland and Bosnia & Herzegovina in?
Switzerland: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 7 conceded). Bosnia & Herzegovina: 0 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 3 matches (2 scored, 2 conceded).
What was the Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Switzerland was the model's favourite outcome (62%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.0%), behind 3-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (56%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (82%): correct.
How is the Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.62 for Switzerland, 0.85 for Bosnia & Herzegovina) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Switzerland predictions
- All Bosnia & Herzegovina predictions
- FIFA World Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology