FIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Wednesday, June 17, 2026, 02:00 (UK time)
Argentina vs Algeria: 3-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Argentina 3-0 Algeria. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Argentina at 68%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (50%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (53%): correct.
Match analysis
Argentina and Algeria met on Wednesday, June 17, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City. Before kick-off, our model gave Argentina a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Algeria 14%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.8%), followed by 2-0 (11.2%) and 1-1 (10.4%).
Argentina are unbeaten in their last 4 matches (4 wins, 0 draws), scoring 12 and conceding 1. Over their last 5 matches, Algeria have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 2. Argentina therefore arrive in far better shape than Algeria. On average Argentina score 3.00 and concede 0.25 goals per game; Algeria score 2.40 and concede 0.40.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Argentina and Algeria: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Argentina or draw" stands at 86%, "Algeria or draw" at 32% and "no draw" at 82%.
In short : Argentina arrives with five consecutive wins and top-ranked status, while Algeria shows mixed recent form with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. The hosts' perfect winning streak and superior ranking position them as clear favorites in this World Cup encounter.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Argentina – Algeria. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Argentina 1-0 Algeria | 11.8% |
| Argentina 2-0 Algeria | 11.2% |
| Argentina 1-1 Algeria | 10.4% |
| Argentina 2-1 Algeria | 9.9% |
| Argentina 3-0 Algeria | 7.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.90 expected goals for Argentina and 0.88 for Algeria, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 53% and "both teams to score" at 50%. Argentina keep a clean sheet in 42% of scenarios, Algeria in 15%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Argentina expected goals | 1.90 |
| Algeria expected goals | 0.88 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% |
| Argentina clean sheet | 42% |
| Algeria clean sheet | 15% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Argentina
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2026 | Iceland · International Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Honduras · International Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Zambia · International Friendlies | 5-0 | W |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Mauritania · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Algeria
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2026 | Bolivia · International Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Netherlands · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Uruguay · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Guatemala · International Friendlies | 7-0 | W |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Nigeria · Africa Cup of Nations | 0-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Algeria | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Argentina and Algeria: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Argentina
No absences reported.
Algeria
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Belgium 1-1 EgyptJun 15, 2026
- Saudi Arabia 1-1 UruguayJun 15, 2026
- Iran 2-2 New ZealandJun 16, 2026
- France 3-1 SenegalJun 16, 2026
- Iraq 1-4 NorwayJun 16, 2026
- Austria 3-1 JordanJun 17, 2026
- Portugal 1-1 DR CongoJun 17, 2026
- England 4-2 CroatiaJun 17, 2026
- Ghana 1-0 PanamaJun 18, 2026
- Uzbekistan 1-3 ColombiaJun 18, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Argentina vs Algeria prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Argentina a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Algeria 14%. Argentina are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Argentina vs Algeria?
1-0 (11.8%), followed by 2-0 (11.2%), 1-1 (10.4%), 2-1 (9.9%) and 3-0 (7.1%).
Will both teams score in Argentina vs Algeria?
The probability that both Argentina and Algeria score is 50%. Argentina have a 42% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Algeria 15%.
How many goals should we expect in Argentina vs Algeria?
The model expects 2.78 goals (1.90 for Argentina, 0.88 for Algeria). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 53%, over 3.5 goals 30%.
When and where is Argentina vs Algeria played?
Wednesday, June 17, 2026 at 02:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City.
What form are Argentina and Algeria in?
Argentina: 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 4 matches (12 scored, 1 conceded). Algeria: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 2 conceded).
What was the Argentina vs Algeria result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Argentina 3-0 Algeria. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Argentina at 68%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (50%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (53%): correct.
How is the Argentina vs Algeria prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.90 for Argentina, 0.88 for Algeria) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Argentina predictions
- All Algeria predictions
- FIFA World Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology