FIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 02:00 (UK time)
Iran vs New Zealand: 2-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Iran 2-2 New Zealand. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Iran (62%), while a draw was rated at only 23%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): correct.
Match analysis
Iran vs New Zealand was played on Tuesday, June 16, 2026 (FIFA World Cup). Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood. Before kick-off, our model gave Iran a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and New Zealand 15%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.7%), ahead of 1-1 (11.2%) and 2-0 (10.2%).
Over their last 4 matches, Iran have 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 3. New Zealand have not won any of their last 2 matches (0 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 0 and conceding 5. On average Iran score 2.75 and concede 0.75 goals per game; New Zealand score 0.00 and concede 2.50.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Iran and New Zealand: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Iran or draw" stands at 85%, "New Zealand or draw" at 38% and "no draw" at 77%.
In short : Iran arrives with strong recent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches, while New Zealand has struggled with only 1 win in their last 5 outings. The head-to-head record shows no prior meetings between these teams in the provided data.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Iran – New Zealand. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Iran 1-0 New Zealand | 11.7% |
| Iran 1-1 New Zealand | 11.2% |
| Iran 2-0 New Zealand | 10.2% |
| Iran 2-1 New Zealand | 9.8% |
| Iran 0-0 New Zealand | 6.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.70 goals in total (1.74 for Iran, 0.96 for New Zealand): over 2.5 goals has a 51% probability and both teams to score 51%. Iran keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, New Zealand in 18%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Iran expected goals | 1.74 |
| New Zealand expected goals | 0.96 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Iran clean sheet | 38% |
| New Zealand clean sheet | 18% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Iran
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | Mali · International Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| May 29, 2026 | Gambia · International Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Costa Rica · International Friendlies | 5-0 | W |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Nigeria · International Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
New Zealand
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | England · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Haiti · International Friendlies | 0-4 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| New Zealand | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Iran and New Zealand: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Iran
No absences reported.
New Zealand
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Netherlands 2-2 JapanJun 14, 2026
- Ivory Coast 1-0 EcuadorJun 15, 2026
- Sweden 5-1 TunisiaJun 15, 2026
- Spain 0-0 Cape VerdeJun 15, 2026
- Belgium 1-1 EgyptJun 15, 2026
- Saudi Arabia 1-1 UruguayJun 15, 2026
- France 3-1 SenegalJun 16, 2026
- Iraq 1-4 NorwayJun 16, 2026
- Argentina 3-0 AlgeriaJun 17, 2026
- Austria 3-1 JordanJun 17, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Iran vs New Zealand prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Iran a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and New Zealand 15%. Iran are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Iran vs New Zealand?
1-0 (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.2%), 2-0 (10.2%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 0-0 (6.7%).
Will both teams score in Iran vs New Zealand?
The probability that both Iran and New Zealand score is 51%. Iran have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, New Zealand 18%.
How many goals should we expect in Iran vs New Zealand?
The model expects 2.70 goals (1.74 for Iran, 0.96 for New Zealand). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.
When and where is Iran vs New Zealand played?
Tuesday, June 16, 2026 at 02:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood.
What form are Iran and New Zealand in?
Iran: 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches (11 scored, 3 conceded). New Zealand: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 2 matches (0 scored, 5 conceded).
What was the Iran vs New Zealand result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Iran 2-2 New Zealand. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Iran (62%), while a draw was rated at only 23%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): correct.
How is the Iran vs New Zealand prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.74 for Iran, 0.96 for New Zealand) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Iran predictions
- All New Zealand predictions
- FIFA World Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology