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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Monday, June 15, 2026, 00:00 (UK time)

Ivory Coast vs Ecuador: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

Ivory CoastIvory Coast1 – 0EcuadorEcuador

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Ivory Coast 1-0 Ecuador. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Ivory Coast at 42%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (10.8%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

Match analysis

Ivory Coast and Ecuador met on Monday, June 15, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia. Before kick-off, our model gave Ivory Coast a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ecuador 30%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.3%), followed by 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.1%).

Over their last 5 matches, Ivory Coast have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 4. Ecuador are unbeaten in their last 4 matches (2 wins, 2 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 3. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Ivory Coast score 2.20 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Ecuador score 1.75 and concede 0.75.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Ivory Coast and Ecuador: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Ivory Coast or draw" stands at 70%, "Ecuador or draw" at 58% and "no draw" at 72%.

In short : Ivory Coast arrives with four consecutive wins in recent form and a higher seeding (rank 2), giving them an edge in this World Cup encounter. Ecuador counters with a solid record of three wins in their last five matches, though their recent form includes two draws that suggest defensive solidity.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

42%
Ivory Coast (Win)
28%
Draw
30%
Ecuador (Win)

Double chance

70%
Ivory Coast or draw
58%
Ecuador or draw
72%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Ivory Coast – Ecuador. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Ivory Coast 1-1 Ecuador12.3%
Ivory Coast 1-0 Ecuador10.8%
Ivory Coast 2-1 Ecuador9.1%
Ivory Coast 0-1 Ecuador8.4%
Ivory Coast 2-0 Ecuador7.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.47 expected goals for Ivory Coast and 1.14 for Ecuador, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Ivory Coast keep a clean sheet in 32% of scenarios, Ecuador in 23%.

Probability
Ivory Coast expected goals1.47
Ecuador expected goals1.14
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Ivory Coast clean sheet32%
Ecuador clean sheet23%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Ivory Coast

DateOpponentScore
Jun 9, 2026Philadelphia Union II · International Friendlies2-0W
Jun 4, 2026France · International Friendlies2-1W
Mar 31, 2026Scotland · International Friendlies1-0W
Mar 28, 2026South Korea · International Friendlies4-0W
Jan 10, 2026Egypt · Africa Cup of Nations2-3L

Ecuador

DateOpponentScore
Jun 7, 2026Guatemala · International Friendlies3-0W
May 31, 2026Saudi Arabia · International Friendlies2-1W
Mar 31, 2026Netherlands · International Friendlies1-1D
Mar 27, 2026Morocco · International Friendlies1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Ivory Coast200
Ecuador300

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Ivory Coast and Ecuador: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Ivory Coast

No absences reported.

Ecuador

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Ivory Coast vs Ecuador prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Ivory Coast a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ecuador 30%. Ivory Coast are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?

1-1 (12.3%), followed by 1-0 (10.8%), 2-1 (9.1%), 0-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.9%).

Will both teams score in Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?

The probability that both Ivory Coast and Ecuador score is 52%. Ivory Coast have a 32% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Ecuador 23%.

How many goals should we expect in Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?

The model expects 2.61 goals (1.47 for Ivory Coast, 1.14 for Ecuador). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Ivory Coast vs Ecuador played?

Monday, June 15, 2026 at 00:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia.

What form are Ivory Coast and Ecuador in?

Ivory Coast: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 4 conceded). Ecuador: 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 4 matches (7 scored, 3 conceded).

What was the Ivory Coast vs Ecuador result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Ivory Coast 1-0 Ecuador. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Ivory Coast at 42%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (10.8%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

How is the Ivory Coast vs Ecuador prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.47 for Ivory Coast, 1.14 for Ecuador) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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