FIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Monday, June 15, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Spain vs Cape Verde: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Spain 0-0 Cape Verde. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Spain (72%), while a draw was rated at only 18%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (5.8%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): missed.
Match analysis
Spain and Cape Verde met on Monday, June 15, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta. Before kick-off, our model gave Spain a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Cape Verde 10%. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.8%).
Spain are unbeaten in their last 4 matches (2 wins, 2 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 2. Cape Verde are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 13 and conceding 3. Cape Verde therefore arrive in far better shape than Spain. On average Spain score 1.75 and concede 0.50 goals per game; Cape Verde score 2.60 and concede 0.60.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Spain and Cape Verde: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Spain or draw" stands at 90%, "Cape Verde or draw" at 28% and "no draw" at 82%.
In short : Spain enters as World Cup rank 1 with recent form showing 2 wins and 3 draws across their last 5 matches, while Cape Verde Islands rank 2 with a mixed record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. The significant disparity in FIFA rankings and competitive pedigree heavily favors the Spanish side in this World Cup encounter.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Spain – Cape Verde. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spain 2-0 Cape Verde | 11.9% |
| Spain 1-0 Cape Verde | 11.7% |
| Spain 2-1 Cape Verde | 9.8% |
| Spain 1-1 Cape Verde | 9.6% |
| Spain 3-0 Cape Verde | 8.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.03 expected goals for Spain and 0.82 for Cape Verde, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 54% and "both teams to score" at 49%. Spain keep a clean sheet in 44% of scenarios, Cape Verde in 13%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Spain expected goals | 2.03 |
| Cape Verde expected goals | 0.82 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Spain clean sheet | 44% |
| Cape Verde clean sheet | 13% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Spain
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Peru · International Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Iraq · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Egypt · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Serbia · International Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
Cape Verde
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Bermuda · International Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| May 31, 2026 | Serbia · International Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Eswatini · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Libya · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 3-3 | D |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Cameroon · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Cape Verde | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Spain and Cape Verde: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Spain
No absences reported.
Cape Verde
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Germany 7-1 CuraçaoJun 14, 2026
- Netherlands 2-2 JapanJun 14, 2026
- Ivory Coast 1-0 EcuadorJun 15, 2026
- Sweden 5-1 TunisiaJun 15, 2026
- Belgium 1-1 EgyptJun 15, 2026
- Saudi Arabia 1-1 UruguayJun 15, 2026
- Iran 2-2 New ZealandJun 16, 2026
- France 3-1 SenegalJun 16, 2026
- Iraq 1-4 NorwayJun 16, 2026
- Argentina 3-0 AlgeriaJun 17, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Spain vs Cape Verde prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Spain a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Cape Verde 10%. Spain are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Spain vs Cape Verde?
2-0 (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.7%), 2-1 (9.8%), 1-1 (9.6%) and 3-0 (8.1%).
Will both teams score in Spain vs Cape Verde?
The probability that both Spain and Cape Verde score is 49%. Spain have a 44% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Cape Verde 13%.
How many goals should we expect in Spain vs Cape Verde?
The model expects 2.85 goals (2.03 for Spain, 0.82 for Cape Verde). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 32%.
When and where is Spain vs Cape Verde played?
Monday, June 15, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta.
What form are Spain and Cape Verde in?
Spain: 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 4 matches (7 scored, 2 conceded). Cape Verde: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 3 conceded).
What was the Spain vs Cape Verde result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Spain 0-0 Cape Verde. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Spain (72%), while a draw was rated at only 18%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (5.8%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): missed.
How is the Spain vs Cape Verde prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.03 for Spain, 0.82 for Cape Verde) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Spain predictions
- All Cape Verde predictions
- FIFA World Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology