FIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Sunday, June 14, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
Germany vs Curaçao: 7-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Germany 7-1 Curaçao. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Germany at 78%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (50%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): correct.
Match analysis
Germany and Curaçao met on Sunday, June 14, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston. Before kick-off, our model gave Germany a 78% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Curaçao 7%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.8%), followed by 1-1 (10.9%) and 2-0 (10.7%).
Germany are unbeaten in their last 4 matches (4 wins, 0 draws), scoring 12 and conceding 5. Curaçao have won just one of their last 2 matches (0 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 5 and conceding 4. On average Germany score 3.00 and concede 1.25 goals per game; Curaçao score 2.50 and concede 2.00.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Germany and Curaçao: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Germany or draw" stands at 93%, "Curaçao or draw" at 22% and "no draw" at 85%.
In short : Germany arrives with five consecutive wins in their recent form, while Curaçao shows mixed results with only one win in their last five matches. The significant disparity in recent performance and world ranking suggests a strong advantage for the home side.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Germany – Curaçao. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Germany 1-0 Curaçao | 11.8% |
| Germany 1-1 Curaçao | 10.9% |
| Germany 2-0 Curaçao | 10.7% |
| Germany 2-1 Curaçao | 9.8% |
| Germany 0-0 Curaçao | 6.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.81 expected goals for Germany and 0.92 for Curaçao, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 51% and "both teams to score" at 50%. Germany keep a clean sheet in 40% of scenarios, Curaçao in 16%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Germany expected goals | 1.81 |
| Curaçao expected goals | 0.92 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Germany clean sheet | 40% |
| Curaçao clean sheet | 16% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Germany
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | United States · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| May 31, 2026 | Finland · International Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Ghana · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Switzerland · International Friendlies | 4-3 | W |
Curaçao
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Aruba · International Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
| May 30, 2026 | Scotland · International Friendlies | 1-4 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Curaçao | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Germany and Curaçao: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Germany
No absences reported.
Curaçao
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Qatar 1-1 SwitzerlandJun 13, 2026
- Brazil 1-1 MoroccoJun 13, 2026
- Haiti 0-1 ScotlandJun 14, 2026
- Australia 2-0 TürkiyeJun 14, 2026
- Netherlands 2-2 JapanJun 14, 2026
- Ivory Coast 1-0 EcuadorJun 15, 2026
- Sweden 5-1 TunisiaJun 15, 2026
- Spain 0-0 Cape VerdeJun 15, 2026
- Belgium 1-1 EgyptJun 15, 2026
- Saudi Arabia 1-1 UruguayJun 15, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Germany vs Curaçao prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Germany a 78% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Curaçao 7%. Germany are therefore favourites. Final score: 7-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Germany vs Curaçao?
1-0 (11.8%), followed by 1-1 (10.9%), 2-0 (10.7%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 0-0 (6.5%).
Will both teams score in Germany vs Curaçao?
The probability that both Germany and Curaçao score is 50%. Germany have a 40% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Curaçao 16%.
How many goals should we expect in Germany vs Curaçao?
The model expects 2.73 goals (1.81 for Germany, 0.92 for Curaçao). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.
When and where is Germany vs Curaçao played?
Sunday, June 14, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston.
What form are Germany and Curaçao in?
Germany: 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 4 matches (12 scored, 5 conceded). Curaçao: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 2 matches (5 scored, 4 conceded).
What was the Germany vs Curaçao result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Germany 7-1 Curaçao. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Germany at 78%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (50%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): correct.
How is the Germany vs Curaçao prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.81 for Germany, 0.92 for Curaçao) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Germany predictions
- All Curaçao predictions
- FIFA World Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology