FIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Sunday, June 14, 2026, 05:00 (UK time)
Australia vs Türkiye: 2-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Australia 2-0 Türkiye. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Türkiye (48%), while victory for Australia was rated at only 28%. The model considered this score unlikely (4.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): missed.
Match analysis
Australia and Türkiye met on Sunday, June 14, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: BC Place, Vancouver. Before kick-off, our model gave Australia a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Türkiye 48%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.3%), followed by 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-1 (9.2%).
Australia have not won any of their last 2 matches (1 draw, 1 defeat), scoring 1 and conceding 2. Over their last 2 matches, Türkiye have 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 1. On average Australia score 0.50 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Türkiye score 3.00 and concede 0.50.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Australia and Türkiye: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Australia or draw" stands at 52%, "Türkiye or draw" at 72% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Türkiye arrives in exceptional form with four consecutive wins in their last five matches, while Australia shows mixed recent results with two losses among their last five outings. The visitors' superior recent momentum and winning streak position them as clear favorites in this World Cup encounter.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Australia – Türkiye. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 45% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Australia 1-1 Türkiye | 11.3% |
| Australia 1-2 Türkiye | 9.5% |
| Australia 0-1 Türkiye | 9.2% |
| Australia 0-2 Türkiye | 7.7% |
| Australia 2-1 Türkiye | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.23 expected goals for Australia and 1.68 for Türkiye, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 56% and "both teams to score" at 58%. Australia keep a clean sheet in 19% of scenarios, Türkiye in 29%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Australia expected goals | 1.23 |
| Türkiye expected goals | 1.68 |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Australia clean sheet | 19% |
| Türkiye clean sheet | 29% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Australia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Switzerland · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| May 31, 2026 | Mexico · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
Türkiye
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Venezuela · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jun 1, 2026 | North Macedonia · International Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Australia | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Türkiye | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Australia and Türkiye: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Australia
No absences reported.
Türkiye
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Canada 1-1 Bosnia & HerzegovinaJun 12, 2026
- United States 4-1 ParaguayJun 13, 2026
- Qatar 1-1 SwitzerlandJun 13, 2026
- Brazil 1-1 MoroccoJun 13, 2026
- Haiti 0-1 ScotlandJun 14, 2026
- Germany 7-1 CuraçaoJun 14, 2026
- Netherlands 2-2 JapanJun 14, 2026
- Ivory Coast 1-0 EcuadorJun 15, 2026
- Sweden 5-1 TunisiaJun 15, 2026
- Spain 0-0 Cape VerdeJun 15, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Australia vs Türkiye prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Australia a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Türkiye 48%. Türkiye are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Australia vs Türkiye?
1-1 (11.3%), followed by 1-2 (9.5%), 0-1 (9.2%), 0-2 (7.7%) and 2-1 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Australia vs Türkiye?
The probability that both Australia and Türkiye score is 58%. Australia have a 19% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Türkiye 29%.
How many goals should we expect in Australia vs Türkiye?
The model expects 2.91 goals (1.23 for Australia, 1.68 for Türkiye). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 56%, over 3.5 goals 33%.
When and where is Australia vs Türkiye played?
Sunday, June 14, 2026 at 05:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: BC Place, Vancouver.
What form are Australia and Türkiye in?
Australia: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 2 matches (1 scored, 2 conceded). Türkiye: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 2 matches (6 scored, 1 conceded).
What was the Australia vs Türkiye result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Australia 2-0 Türkiye. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Türkiye (48%), while victory for Australia was rated at only 28%. The model considered this score unlikely (4.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): missed.
How is the Australia vs Türkiye prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.23 for Australia, 1.68 for Türkiye) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Australia predictions
- All Türkiye predictions
- FIFA World Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology