FIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Saturday, June 13, 2026, 23:00 (UK time)
Brazil vs Morocco: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Brazil 1-1 Morocco. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Brazil (52%), while a draw was rated at only 23%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.8%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
Match analysis
Brazil and Morocco met on Saturday, June 13, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford. Before kick-off, our model gave Brazil a 52% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Morocco 25%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Over their last 4 matches, Brazil have 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Morocco are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 13 and conceding 3. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Brazil score 3.00 and concede 1.50 goals per game; Morocco score 2.60 and concede 0.60.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Brazil, 1 for Morocco and 0 draws. In double chance terms, "Brazil or draw" stands at 75%, "Morocco or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 77%.
In short : Brazil arrives with superior recent form (3 wins in last 5) compared to Morocco's mixed record (2 wins, 2 draws in last 5), though Morocco holds a 1-0 head-to-head advantage. The Seleção's stronger form trajectory positions them as favorites in this World Cup encounter.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Brazil – Morocco. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Brazil 1-1 Morocco | 11.8% |
| Brazil 1-0 Morocco | 11.4% |
| Brazil 2-1 Morocco | 9.5% |
| Brazil 2-0 Morocco | 9.2% |
| Brazil 0-1 Morocco | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.61 expected goals for Brazil and 1.04 for Morocco, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Brazil keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Morocco in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Brazil expected goals | 1.61 |
| Morocco expected goals | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Brazil clean sheet | 35% |
| Morocco clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Brazil
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Egypt · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| May 31, 2026 | Panama · International Friendlies | 6-2 | W |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Croatia · International Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| Mar 26, 2026 | France · International Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
Morocco
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Norway · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Madagascar · International Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
| May 26, 2026 | Burundi · International Friendlies | 5-0 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Paraguay · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Ecuador · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Morocco | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Brazil, 1 for Morocco and 0 draws.
Out and doubtful
Brazil
No absences reported.
Morocco
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Canada 1-1 Bosnia & HerzegovinaJun 12, 2026
- United States 4-1 ParaguayJun 13, 2026
- Qatar 1-1 SwitzerlandJun 13, 2026
- Haiti 0-1 ScotlandJun 14, 2026
- Australia 2-0 TürkiyeJun 14, 2026
- Germany 7-1 CuraçaoJun 14, 2026
- Netherlands 2-2 JapanJun 14, 2026
- Ivory Coast 1-0 EcuadorJun 15, 2026
- Sweden 5-1 TunisiaJun 15, 2026
- Spain 0-0 Cape VerdeJun 15, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Brazil vs Morocco prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Brazil a 52% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Morocco 25%. Brazil are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Brazil vs Morocco?
1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.2%) and 0-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in Brazil vs Morocco?
The probability that both Brazil and Morocco score is 52%. Brazil have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Morocco 20%.
How many goals should we expect in Brazil vs Morocco?
The model expects 2.65 goals (1.61 for Brazil, 1.04 for Morocco). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Brazil vs Morocco played?
Saturday, June 13, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford.
What form are Brazil and Morocco in?
Brazil: 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches (12 scored, 6 conceded). Morocco: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 3 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Brazil and Morocco?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Brazil, 1 for Morocco and 0 draws.
What was the Brazil vs Morocco result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Brazil 1-1 Morocco. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Brazil (52%), while a draw was rated at only 23%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.8%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
How is the Brazil vs Morocco prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.61 for Brazil, 1.04 for Morocco) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Brazil predictions
- All Morocco predictions
- FIFA World Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology