FIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Sunday, June 14, 2026, 02:00 (UK time)
Haiti vs Scotland: 0-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Haiti 0-1 Scotland. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Scotland at 70%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (10.5%), behind 0-2. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (50%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (59%): missed.
Match analysis
Haiti and Scotland met on Sunday, June 14, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: Gillette Stadium, Boston. Before kick-off, our model gave Haiti a 12% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Scotland 70%. On the correct score, 0-2 comes out on top (11.9%), followed by 0-1 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.6%).
Haiti have won just one of their last 4 matches (1 draw, 2 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 4. Over their last 4 matches, Scotland have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Haiti score 1.50 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Scotland score 2.00 and concede 0.75.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Haiti and Scotland: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Haiti or draw" stands at 30%, "Scotland or draw" at 88% and "no draw" at 82%.
In short : Scotland arrives as the clear favorite, ranked 4th globally compared to Haiti's 11th ranking, and brings superior recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Haiti's inconsistent form (2 wins, 2 losses, 1 draw in recent games) suggests they will struggle against a more established World Cup competitor.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Haiti – Scotland. 0-2 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Haiti 0-2 Scotland | 11.9% |
| Haiti 0-1 Scotland | 10.5% |
| Haiti 1-2 Scotland | 9.6% |
| Haiti 0-3 Scotland | 8.9% |
| Haiti 1-1 Scotland | 8.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.81 expected goals for Haiti and 2.25 for Scotland, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 59% and "both teams to score" at 50%. Goals look likely in this one. Haiti keep a clean sheet in 11% of scenarios, Scotland in 45%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Haiti expected goals | 0.81 |
| Scotland expected goals | 2.25 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% |
| Haiti clean sheet | 11% |
| Scotland clean sheet | 45% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Haiti
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Peru · International Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 3, 2026 | New Zealand · International Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Iceland · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Tunisia · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
Scotland
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Bolivia · International Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
| May 30, 2026 | Curaçao · International Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Ivory Coast · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Japan · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Haiti | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| Scotland | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Haiti and Scotland: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Haiti
No absences reported.
Scotland
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Canada 1-1 Bosnia & HerzegovinaJun 12, 2026
- United States 4-1 ParaguayJun 13, 2026
- Qatar 1-1 SwitzerlandJun 13, 2026
- Brazil 1-1 MoroccoJun 13, 2026
- Australia 2-0 TürkiyeJun 14, 2026
- Germany 7-1 CuraçaoJun 14, 2026
- Netherlands 2-2 JapanJun 14, 2026
- Ivory Coast 1-0 EcuadorJun 15, 2026
- Sweden 5-1 TunisiaJun 15, 2026
- Spain 0-0 Cape VerdeJun 15, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Haiti vs Scotland prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Haiti a 12% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Scotland 70%. Scotland are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Haiti vs Scotland?
0-2 (11.9%), followed by 0-1 (10.5%), 1-2 (9.6%), 0-3 (8.9%) and 1-1 (8.5%).
Will both teams score in Haiti vs Scotland?
The probability that both Haiti and Scotland score is 50%. Haiti have a 11% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Scotland 45%.
How many goals should we expect in Haiti vs Scotland?
The model expects 3.06 goals (0.81 for Haiti, 2.25 for Scotland). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 81%, over 2.5 goals 59%, over 3.5 goals 37%.
When and where is Haiti vs Scotland played?
Sunday, June 14, 2026 at 02:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Gillette Stadium, Boston.
What form are Haiti and Scotland in?
Haiti: 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded). Scotland: 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches (8 scored, 3 conceded).
What was the Haiti vs Scotland result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Haiti 0-1 Scotland. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Scotland at 70%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (10.5%), behind 0-2. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (50%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (59%): missed.
How is the Haiti vs Scotland prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.81 for Haiti, 2.25 for Scotland) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Haiti predictions
- All Scotland predictions
- FIFA World Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology