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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Friday, June 12, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

CanadaCanada1 – 1Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Canada 1-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Canada (42%), while a draw was rated at only 32%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.5%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

Match analysis

Canada and Bosnia & Herzegovina met on Friday, June 12, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: BMO Field, Toronto. Before kick-off, our model gave Canada a 42% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Bosnia & Herzegovina 26%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.5%) and 2-0 (9.8%).

Canada are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 6 and conceding 3. Bosnia & Herzegovina have not won any of their last 2 matches (2 draws, 0 defeats), scoring 1 and conceding 1. On average Canada score 1.20 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Bosnia & Herzegovina score 0.50 and concede 0.50.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Canada and Bosnia & Herzegovina: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Canada or draw" stands at 74%, "Bosnia & Herzegovina or draw" at 58% and "no draw" at 68%.

In short : Canada enters with a mixed recent form of two wins and three draws, while Bosnia & Herzegovina has drawn all five of their last matches, suggesting a cautious approach. This World Cup fixture features no prior head-to-head history between the nations, making recent form the primary indicator of competitive intent.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

42%
Canada (Win)
32%
Draw
26%
Bosnia & Herzegovina (Win)

Double chance

74%
Canada or draw
58%
Bosnia & Herzegovina or draw
68%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Canada – Bosnia & Herzegovina. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Canada 1-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina11.6%
Canada 1-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina11.5%
Canada 2-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina9.8%
Canada 2-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina9.7%
Canada 0-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina6.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.69 expected goals for Canada and 0.99 for Bosnia & Herzegovina, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Canada keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Bosnia & Herzegovina in 19%.

Probability
Canada expected goals1.69
Bosnia & Herzegovina expected goals0.99
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Canada clean sheet37%
Bosnia & Herzegovina clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Canada

DateOpponentScore
Jun 6, 2026Ireland · International Friendlies1-1D
Jun 2, 2026Uzbekistan · International Friendlies2-0W
Apr 1, 2026Tunisia · International Friendlies0-0D
Mar 28, 2026Iceland · International Friendlies2-2D
Jan 18, 2026Guatemala · International Friendlies1-0W

Bosnia & Herzegovina

DateOpponentScore
Jun 6, 2026Panama · International Friendlies1-1D
May 29, 2026North Macedonia · International Friendlies0-0D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Canada100
Bosnia & Herzegovina200

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Canada and Bosnia & Herzegovina: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Canada

No absences reported.

Bosnia & Herzegovina

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Canada a 42% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Bosnia & Herzegovina 26%. Canada are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.5%), 2-0 (9.8%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).

Will both teams score in Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

The probability that both Canada and Bosnia & Herzegovina score is 51%. Canada have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Bosnia & Herzegovina 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

The model expects 2.68 goals (1.69 for Canada, 0.99 for Bosnia & Herzegovina). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina played?

Friday, June 12, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: BMO Field, Toronto.

What form are Canada and Bosnia & Herzegovina in?

Canada: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 3 conceded). Bosnia & Herzegovina: 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 2 matches (1 scored, 1 conceded).

What was the Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Canada 1-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Canada (42%), while a draw was rated at only 32%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.5%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

How is the Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.69 for Canada, 0.99 for Bosnia & Herzegovina) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained