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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Saturday, June 13, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Qatar vs Switzerland: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-1

Final score: Qatar 1-1 Switzerland. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Switzerland (40%), while a draw was rated at only 32%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (13.3%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (36%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (29%): correct.

Match analysis

Qatar and Switzerland met on Saturday, June 13, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara. Before kick-off, our model gave Qatar a 28% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Switzerland 40%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (16.2%), followed by 0-0 (15.6%) and 1-1 (13.3%).

Qatar have not won any of their last 2 matches (1 draw, 1 defeat), scoring 0 and conceding 1. Switzerland have won just one of their last 4 matches (2 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 8 and conceding 6. On average Qatar score 0.00 and concede 0.50 goals per game; Switzerland score 2.00 and concede 1.50.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Qatar, 0 for Switzerland and 0 draws. In double chance terms, "Qatar or draw" stands at 60%, "Switzerland or draw" at 72% and "no draw" at 68%.

In short : Switzerland arrives with superior recent form (1W-3D-1L) compared to Qatar's struggling record (0W-2D-3L), though Qatar holds a 1-0 head-to-head advantage. The Swiss's higher FIFA ranking and more balanced form sheet position them as favorites in this World Cup encounter.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

28%
Qatar (Win)
32%
Draw
40%
Switzerland (Win)

Double chance

60%
Qatar or draw
72%
Switzerland or draw
68%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Qatar – Switzerland. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (16.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 66% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Qatar 0-1 Switzerland16.2%
Qatar 0-0 Switzerland15.6%
Qatar 1-1 Switzerland13.3%
Qatar 1-0 Switzerland12.8%
Qatar 0-2 Switzerland8.4%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.82 expected goals for Qatar and 1.04 for Switzerland, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 29% and "both teams to score" at 36%. Few goals are expected here. Qatar keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Switzerland in 44%.

Probability
Qatar expected goals0.82
Switzerland expected goals1.04
Both teams to score36%
Over 1.5 goals56%
Over 2.5 goals29%
Over 3.5 goals12%
Qatar clean sheet35%
Switzerland clean sheet44%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Qatar

DateOpponentScore
Jun 6, 2026El Salvador · International Friendlies0-0D
May 28, 2026Ireland · International Friendlies0-1L

Switzerland

DateOpponentScore
Jun 6, 2026Australia · International Friendlies1-1D
May 31, 2026Jordan · International Friendlies4-1W
Mar 31, 2026Norway · International Friendlies0-0D
Mar 27, 2026Germany · International Friendlies3-4L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Qatar700
Switzerland400

Head-to-head

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Qatar, 0 for Switzerland and 0 draws.

Out and doubtful

Qatar

No absences reported.

Switzerland

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Qatar vs Switzerland prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Qatar a 28% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Switzerland 40%. Switzerland are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Qatar vs Switzerland?

0-1 (16.2%), followed by 0-0 (15.6%), 1-1 (13.3%), 1-0 (12.8%) and 0-2 (8.4%).

Will both teams score in Qatar vs Switzerland?

The probability that both Qatar and Switzerland score is 36%. Qatar have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Switzerland 44%.

How many goals should we expect in Qatar vs Switzerland?

The model expects 1.86 goals (0.82 for Qatar, 1.04 for Switzerland). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 56%, over 2.5 goals 29%, over 3.5 goals 12%.

When and where is Qatar vs Switzerland played?

Saturday, June 13, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara.

What form are Qatar and Switzerland in?

Qatar: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 2 matches (0 scored, 1 conceded). Switzerland: 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Qatar and Switzerland?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Qatar, 0 for Switzerland and 0 draws.

What was the Qatar vs Switzerland result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Qatar 1-1 Switzerland. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Switzerland (40%), while a draw was rated at only 32%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (13.3%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (36%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (29%): correct.

How is the Qatar vs Switzerland prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.82 for Qatar, 1.04 for Switzerland) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained