FIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Monday, June 15, 2026, 23:00 (UK time)
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Saudi Arabia 1-1 Uruguay. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Uruguay (47%), while a draw was rated at only 28%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (12.9%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (38%): correct.
Match analysis
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay was played on Monday, June 15, 2026 (FIFA World Cup). Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens. Before kick-off, our model gave Saudi Arabia a 25% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Uruguay 47%. The most likely correct score is 0-1 (14.4%), ahead of 1-1 (12.9%) and 0-0 (10.9%).
Saudi Arabia have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 8. Uruguay have not won any of their last 2 matches (2 draws, 0 defeats), scoring 1 and conceding 1. On average Saudi Arabia score 1.00 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Uruguay score 0.50 and concede 0.50.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Saudi Arabia and Uruguay: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Saudi Arabia or draw" stands at 53%, "Uruguay or draw" at 75% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : Uruguay arrives with a superior ranking (4th vs 8th) and more consistent recent form, showing 2 draws and 1 win in their last 5 matches compared to Saudi Arabia's 1 win and 3 losses. Saudi Arabia's recent form has been notably poor with three consecutive losses before their most recent result.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Saudi Arabia – Uruguay. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (14.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 58% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia 0-1 Uruguay | 14.4% |
| Saudi Arabia 1-1 Uruguay | 12.9% |
| Saudi Arabia 0-0 Uruguay | 10.9% |
| Saudi Arabia 1-0 Uruguay | 9.7% |
| Saudi Arabia 0-2 Uruguay | 9.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.22 goals in total (0.89 for Saudi Arabia, 1.33 for Uruguay): over 2.5 goals has a 38% probability and both teams to score 43%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Saudi Arabia keep a clean sheet in 26% of scenarios, Uruguay in 41%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia expected goals | 0.89 |
| Uruguay expected goals | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | 43% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% |
| Saudi Arabia clean sheet | 26% |
| Uruguay clean sheet | 41% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Saudi Arabia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2026 | Senegal · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Puerto Rico · International Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| May 31, 2026 | Ecuador · International Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Serbia · International Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Egypt · International Friendlies | 0-4 | L |
Uruguay
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Algeria · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Mar 27, 2026 | England · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Uruguay | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Saudi Arabia and Uruguay: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Saudi Arabia
No absences reported.
Uruguay
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Germany 7-1 CuraçaoJun 14, 2026
- Netherlands 2-2 JapanJun 14, 2026
- Ivory Coast 1-0 EcuadorJun 15, 2026
- Sweden 5-1 TunisiaJun 15, 2026
- Spain 0-0 Cape VerdeJun 15, 2026
- Belgium 1-1 EgyptJun 15, 2026
- Iran 2-2 New ZealandJun 16, 2026
- France 3-1 SenegalJun 16, 2026
- Iraq 1-4 NorwayJun 16, 2026
- Argentina 3-0 AlgeriaJun 17, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Saudi Arabia a 25% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Uruguay 47%. Uruguay are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?
0-1 (14.4%), followed by 1-1 (12.9%), 0-0 (10.9%), 1-0 (9.7%) and 0-2 (9.6%).
Will both teams score in Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?
The probability that both Saudi Arabia and Uruguay score is 43%. Saudi Arabia have a 26% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Uruguay 41%.
How many goals should we expect in Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?
The model expects 2.22 goals (0.89 for Saudi Arabia, 1.33 for Uruguay). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 65%, over 2.5 goals 38%, over 3.5 goals 19%.
When and where is Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay played?
Monday, June 15, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens.
What form are Saudi Arabia and Uruguay in?
Saudi Arabia: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 8 conceded). Uruguay: 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 2 matches (1 scored, 1 conceded).
What was the Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Saudi Arabia 1-1 Uruguay. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Uruguay (47%), while a draw was rated at only 28%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (12.9%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (38%): correct.
How is the Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.89 for Saudi Arabia, 1.33 for Uruguay) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Saudi Arabia predictions
- All Uruguay predictions
- FIFA World Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology