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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Monday, June 15, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Belgium vs Egypt: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

BelgiumBelgium1 – 1EgyptEgypt

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Belgium 1-1 Egypt. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Belgium (58%), while a draw was rated at only 22%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (13.3%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (39%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (32%): correct.

Match analysis

Belgium and Egypt met on Monday, June 15, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: Lumen Field, Seattle. Before kick-off, our model gave Belgium a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Egypt 20%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (15.2%), followed by 0-0 (13.5%) and 1-1 (13.3%).

Belgium are unbeaten in their last 4 matches (3 wins, 1 draw), scoring 13 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Egypt have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 2. Belgium therefore arrive in far better shape than Egypt. On average Belgium score 3.25 and concede 0.75 goals per game; Egypt score 1.20 and concede 0.40.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Belgium, 1 for Egypt and 0 draws. In double chance terms, "Belgium or draw" stands at 80%, "Egypt or draw" at 42% and "no draw" at 78%.

In short : Belgium arrives in strong form with four wins in their last five matches and an average of 0.85 xG per game, while Egypt shows inconsistency with mixed results and no available xG data. The head-to-head record is evenly split at 1-1, but Belgium's superior recent form and attacking metrics suggest they enter as clear favorites.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

58%
Belgium (Win)
22%
Draw
20%
Egypt (Win)

Double chance

80%
Belgium or draw
42%
Egypt or draw
78%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Belgium – Egypt. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (15.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 62% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Belgium 1-0 Egypt15.2%
Belgium 0-0 Egypt13.5%
Belgium 1-1 Egypt13.3%
Belgium 0-1 Egypt11.9%
Belgium 2-0 Egypt8.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.12 expected goals for Belgium and 0.88 for Egypt, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 32% and "both teams to score" at 39%. Few goals are expected here. Belgium keep a clean sheet in 42% of scenarios, Egypt in 33%.

Probability
Belgium expected goals1.12
Egypt expected goals0.88
Both teams to score39%
Over 1.5 goals59%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Belgium clean sheet42%
Egypt clean sheet33%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Belgium

DateOpponentScore
Jun 6, 2026Tunisia · International Friendlies5-0W
Jun 2, 2026Croatia · International Friendlies2-0W
Apr 1, 2026Mexico · International Friendlies1-1D
Mar 28, 2026United States · International Friendlies5-2W

Egypt

DateOpponentScore
Jun 6, 2026Brazil · International Friendlies1-2L
May 28, 2026Russia · International Friendlies1-0W
Mar 31, 2026Spain · International Friendlies0-0D
Mar 27, 2026Saudi Arabia · International Friendlies4-0W
Jan 17, 2026Nigeria · Africa Cup of Nations0-0D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Belgium100
Egypt200

Head-to-head

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Belgium, 1 for Egypt and 0 draws.

Out and doubtful

Belgium

No absences reported.

Egypt

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Belgium vs Egypt prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Belgium a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Egypt 20%. Belgium are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Belgium vs Egypt?

1-0 (15.2%), followed by 0-0 (13.5%), 1-1 (13.3%), 0-1 (11.9%) and 2-0 (8.5%).

Will both teams score in Belgium vs Egypt?

The probability that both Belgium and Egypt score is 39%. Belgium have a 42% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Egypt 33%.

How many goals should we expect in Belgium vs Egypt?

The model expects 2.00 goals (1.12 for Belgium, 0.88 for Egypt). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 59%, over 2.5 goals 32%, over 3.5 goals 14%.

When and where is Belgium vs Egypt played?

Monday, June 15, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Lumen Field, Seattle.

What form are Belgium and Egypt in?

Belgium: 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 4 matches (13 scored, 3 conceded). Egypt: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 2 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Belgium and Egypt?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Belgium, 1 for Egypt and 0 draws.

What was the Belgium vs Egypt result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Belgium 1-1 Egypt. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Belgium (58%), while a draw was rated at only 22%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (13.3%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (39%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (32%): correct.

How is the Belgium vs Egypt prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.12 for Belgium, 0.88 for Egypt) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained