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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Wednesday, June 17, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Portugal vs DR Congo: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

PortugalPortugal1 – 1DR CongoDR Congo

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-0

Final score: Portugal 1-1 DR Congo. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Portugal (72%), while a draw was rated at only 18%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.1%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): missed.

Match analysis

Portugal vs DR Congo was played on Wednesday, June 17, 2026 (FIFA World Cup). Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston. Before kick-off, our model gave Portugal a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and DR Congo 10%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (12.4%), ahead of 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.6%).

Portugal are unbeaten in their last 4 matches (3 wins, 1 draw), scoring 6 and conceding 2. Over their last 5 matches, DR Congo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 3. Recent momentum is clearly with Portugal. On average Portugal score 1.50 and concede 0.50 goals per game; DR Congo score 1.20 and concede 0.60.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Portugal and DR Congo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Portugal or draw" stands at 90%, "DR Congo or draw" at 28% and "no draw" at 82%.

In short : Portugal enters this World Cup clash with impressive recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches including three consecutive victories. Congo DR's inconsistent record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five outings suggests they will struggle against Portugal's strong momentum.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

72%
Portugal (Win)
18%
Draw
10%
DR Congo (Win)

Double chance

90%
Portugal or draw
28%
DR Congo or draw
82%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Portugal – DR Congo. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Portugal 2-0 DR Congo12.4%
Portugal 1-0 DR Congo11.6%
Portugal 2-1 DR Congo9.6%
Portugal 1-1 DR Congo9.1%
Portugal 3-0 DR Congo8.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.91 goals in total (2.13 for Portugal, 0.78 for DR Congo): over 2.5 goals has a 56% probability and both teams to score 48%. Portugal keep a clean sheet in 46% of scenarios, DR Congo in 12%.

Probability
Portugal expected goals2.13
DR Congo expected goals0.78
Both teams to score48%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Portugal clean sheet46%
DR Congo clean sheet12%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Portugal

DateOpponentScore
Jun 10, 2026Nigeria · International Friendlies2-1W
Jun 6, 2026Chile · International Friendlies2-1W
Apr 1, 2026United States · International Friendlies2-0W
Mar 29, 2026Mexico · International Friendlies0-0D

DR Congo

DateOpponentScore
Jun 9, 2026Chile · International Friendlies1-2L
Jun 3, 2026Denmark · International Friendlies0-0D
Mar 25, 2026Bermuda · International Friendlies2-0W
Jan 6, 2026Algeria · Africa Cup of Nations0-1L
Dec 30, 2025Botswana · Africa Cup of Nations3-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Portugal100
DR Congo200

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Portugal and DR Congo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Portugal

No absences reported.

DR Congo

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Portugal vs DR Congo prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Portugal a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and DR Congo 10%. Portugal are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Portugal vs DR Congo?

2-0 (12.4%), followed by 1-0 (11.6%), 2-1 (9.6%), 1-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (8.8%).

Will both teams score in Portugal vs DR Congo?

The probability that both Portugal and DR Congo score is 48%. Portugal have a 46% chance of keeping a clean sheet, DR Congo 12%.

How many goals should we expect in Portugal vs DR Congo?

The model expects 2.91 goals (2.13 for Portugal, 0.78 for DR Congo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 56%, over 3.5 goals 33%.

When and where is Portugal vs DR Congo played?

Wednesday, June 17, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston.

What form are Portugal and DR Congo in?

Portugal: 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 4 matches (6 scored, 2 conceded). DR Congo: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 3 conceded).

What was the Portugal vs DR Congo result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Portugal 1-1 DR Congo. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Portugal (72%), while a draw was rated at only 18%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.1%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): missed.

How is the Portugal vs DR Congo prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.13 for Portugal, 0.78 for DR Congo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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