FIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Thursday, June 18, 2026, 00:00 (UK time)
Ghana vs Panama: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Ghana 1-0 Panama. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Ghana was the model's favourite outcome (38%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (8.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (55%): missed.
Match analysis
Ghana vs Panama was played on Thursday, June 18, 2026 (FIFA World Cup). Venue: BMO Field, Toronto. Before kick-off, our model gave Ghana a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Panama 34%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.7%), ahead of 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-0 (8.5%).
Ghana have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Panama have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Recent momentum is clearly with Panama. On average Ghana score 0.80 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Panama score 2.00 and concede 2.20.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Ghana and Panama: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Ghana or draw" stands at 66%, "Panama or draw" at 62% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : Ghana arrives with concerning form (1 draw, 4 losses) and an xG average of 1.79, while Panama shows mixed recent results with 2 wins in their last 5 matches. This World Cup encounter features no prior head-to-head history between the nations.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Ghana – Panama. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 45% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ghana 1-1 Panama | 11.7% |
| Ghana 2-1 Panama | 8.7% |
| Ghana 1-0 Panama | 8.5% |
| Ghana 1-2 Panama | 8.0% |
| Ghana 0-1 Panama | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.87 goals in total (1.50 for Ghana, 1.37 for Panama): over 2.5 goals has a 55% probability and both teams to score 58%. Ghana keep a clean sheet in 25% of scenarios, Panama in 22%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Ghana expected goals | 1.50 |
| Panama expected goals | 1.37 |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Ghana clean sheet | 25% |
| Panama clean sheet | 22% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Ghana
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2026 | Wales · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| May 23, 2026 | Mexico · International Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Germany · International Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Austria · International Friendlies | 1-5 | L |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Comoros · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 1-0 | W |
Panama
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Dominican Republic · International Friendlies | 4-2 | W |
| May 31, 2026 | Brazil · International Friendlies | 2-6 | L |
| Mar 31, 2026 | South Africa · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Mar 27, 2026 | South Africa · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ghana | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Panama | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Ghana and Panama: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Ghana
No absences reported.
Panama
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Iraq 1-4 NorwayJun 16, 2026
- Argentina 3-0 AlgeriaJun 17, 2026
- Austria 3-1 JordanJun 17, 2026
- Portugal 1-1 DR CongoJun 17, 2026
- England 4-2 CroatiaJun 17, 2026
- Uzbekistan 1-3 ColombiaJun 18, 2026
- Czechia 1-1 South AfricaJun 18, 2026
- Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia & HerzegovinaJun 18, 2026
- Canada 6-0 QatarJun 18, 2026
- Mexico 1-0 South KoreaJun 19, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Ghana vs Panama prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Ghana a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Panama 34%. Ghana are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Ghana vs Panama?
1-1 (11.7%), followed by 2-1 (8.7%), 1-0 (8.5%), 1-2 (8.0%) and 0-1 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Ghana vs Panama?
The probability that both Ghana and Panama score is 58%. Ghana have a 25% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Panama 22%.
How many goals should we expect in Ghana vs Panama?
The model expects 2.87 goals (1.50 for Ghana, 1.37 for Panama). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 55%, over 3.5 goals 32%.
When and where is Ghana vs Panama played?
Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 00:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: BMO Field, Toronto.
What form are Ghana and Panama in?
Ghana: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 10 conceded). Panama: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 11 conceded).
What was the Ghana vs Panama result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Ghana 1-0 Panama. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Ghana was the model's favourite outcome (38%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (8.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (55%): missed.
How is the Ghana vs Panama prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.50 for Ghana, 1.37 for Panama) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Ghana predictions
- All Panama predictions
- FIFA World Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology