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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Tuesday, June 23, 2026, 04:00 (UK time)

Jordan vs Algeria: 1-2 result and AI prediction review

JordanJordan1 – 2AlgeriaAlgeria

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Jordan 1-2 Algeria. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Algeria at 48%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (9.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): correct.

Match analysis

Jordan and Algeria met on Tuesday, June 23, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara. Before kick-off, our model gave Jordan a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Algeria 48%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.3%), followed by 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-1 (9.2%).

Jordan have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 13. Over their last 5 matches, Algeria have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 3. Algeria therefore arrive in far better shape than Jordan. On average Jordan score 1.20 and concede 2.60 goals per game; Algeria score 2.40 and concede 0.60. In the table, Jordan sit 12th with 0 points from 1 games, Algeria 4th with 0 points from 1. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Jordan have averaged 1.15 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.30 for Algeria.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Jordan and Algeria: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Jordan or draw" stands at 52%, "Algeria or draw" at 72% and "no draw" at 76%.

In short : Algeria arrives as the higher-ranked team (4th vs 12th) with superior recent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches compared to Jordan's three consecutive losses. However, both teams enter this fixture winless in their opening World Cup match, with Jordan showing nearly 4x the expected goals output (1.15 xG vs 0.30 xG), suggesting they may pose a more direct attacking threat despite their poor results.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

28%
Jordan (Win)
24%
Draw
48%
Algeria (Win)

Double chance

52%
Jordan or draw
72%
Algeria or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Jordan – Algeria. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 45% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Jordan 1-1 Algeria11.3%
Jordan 1-2 Algeria9.5%
Jordan 0-1 Algeria9.2%
Jordan 0-2 Algeria7.7%
Jordan 2-1 Algeria6.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.23 expected goals for Jordan and 1.68 for Algeria, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 56% and "both teams to score" at 58%. Jordan keep a clean sheet in 19% of scenarios, Algeria in 29%.

Probability
Jordan expected goals1.23
Algeria expected goals1.68
Both teams to score58%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Jordan clean sheet19%
Algeria clean sheet29%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Jordan

DateOpponentScore
Jun 17, 2026Austria · FIFA World Cup1-3L
Jun 8, 2026Colombia · International Friendlies0-2L
May 31, 2026Switzerland · International Friendlies1-4L
Mar 31, 2026Nigeria · International Friendlies2-2D
Mar 27, 2026Costa Rica · International Friendlies2-2D

Algeria

DateOpponentScore
Jun 17, 2026Argentina · FIFA World Cup0-3L
Jun 11, 2026Bolivia · International Friendlies4-0W
Jun 3, 2026Netherlands · International Friendlies1-0W
Mar 31, 2026Uruguay · International Friendlies0-0D
Mar 27, 2026Guatemala · International Friendlies7-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Jordan1201
Algeria401

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Jordan and Algeria: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Jordan

No absences reported.

Algeria

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Jordan vs Algeria prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Jordan a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Algeria 48%. Algeria are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Jordan vs Algeria?

1-1 (11.3%), followed by 1-2 (9.5%), 0-1 (9.2%), 0-2 (7.7%) and 2-1 (6.9%).

Will both teams score in Jordan vs Algeria?

The probability that both Jordan and Algeria score is 58%. Jordan have a 19% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Algeria 29%.

How many goals should we expect in Jordan vs Algeria?

The model expects 2.91 goals (1.23 for Jordan, 1.68 for Algeria). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 56%, over 3.5 goals 33%.

When and where is Jordan vs Algeria played?

Tuesday, June 23, 2026 at 04:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara.

What form are Jordan and Algeria in?

Jordan: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 13 conceded). Algeria: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 3 conceded).

What was the Jordan vs Algeria result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Jordan 1-2 Algeria. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Algeria at 48%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (9.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): correct.

How is the Jordan vs Algeria prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.23 for Jordan, 1.68 for Algeria) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained