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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Tuesday, June 23, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)

England vs Ghana: 0-0 result and AI prediction review

EnglandEngland0 – 0GhanaGhana

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 3-1

Final score: England 0-0 Ghana. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for England (68%), while a draw was rated at only 18%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (64%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (88%): missed.

Match analysis

England vs Ghana was played on Tuesday, June 23, 2026 (FIFA World Cup). Venue: Gillette Stadium, Boston. Before kick-off, our model gave England a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Ghana 14%. The most likely correct score is 3-1 (7.2%), ahead of 4-1 (7.2%) and 3-0 (6.8%).

Over their last 5 matches, England have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Ghana have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 10. Recent momentum is clearly with England. On average England score 1.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Ghana score 0.80 and concede 2.00. In the table, England sit 1st with 3 points from 1 games, Ghana 2nd with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, England have averaged 3.20 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.55 for Ghana.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between England and Ghana: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "England or draw" stands at 86%, "Ghana or draw" at 32% and "no draw" at 82%.

In short : England arrives with superior recent form (3 consecutive wins) and a significantly higher expected goals average of 3.2 compared to Ghana's 1.55, suggesting a dominant attacking threat. Ghana's inconsistent recent record (1 win, 3 losses in last 5) contrasts sharply with England's momentum, positioning the home side as clear favorites despite both teams currently holding identical World Cup group points.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

68%
England (Win)
18%
Draw
14%
Ghana (Win)

Double chance

86%
England or draw
32%
Ghana or draw
82%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as England – Ghana. 3-1 is the single most likely scoreline (7.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 34% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
England 3-1 Ghana7.2%
England 4-1 Ghana7.2%
England 3-0 Ghana6.8%
England 4-0 Ghana6.8%
England 5-1 Ghana5.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 5.05 goals in total (4.00 for England, 1.05 for Ghana): over 2.5 goals has a 88% probability and both teams to score 64%. Everything points to an open game. England keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Ghana in 2%.

Probability
England expected goals4.00
Ghana expected goals1.05
Both teams to score64%
Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals88%
Over 3.5 goals74%
England clean sheet35%
Ghana clean sheet2%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

England

DateOpponentScore
Jun 17, 2026Croatia · FIFA World Cup4-2W
Jun 10, 2026Costa Rica · International Friendlies3-0W
Jun 6, 2026New Zealand · International Friendlies1-0W
Mar 31, 2026Japan · International Friendlies0-1L
Mar 27, 2026Uruguay · International Friendlies1-1D

Ghana

DateOpponentScore
Jun 18, 2026Panama · FIFA World Cup1-0W
Jun 2, 2026Wales · International Friendlies1-1D
May 23, 2026Mexico · International Friendlies0-2L
Mar 30, 2026Germany · International Friendlies1-2L
Mar 27, 2026Austria · International Friendlies1-5L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
England131
Ghana231

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between England and Ghana: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

England

No absences reported.

Ghana

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the England vs Ghana prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave England a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Ghana 14%. England are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.

What is the most likely correct score for England vs Ghana?

3-1 (7.2%), followed by 4-1 (7.2%), 3-0 (6.8%), 4-0 (6.8%) and 5-1 (5.7%).

Will both teams score in England vs Ghana?

The probability that both England and Ghana score is 64%. England have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Ghana 2%.

How many goals should we expect in England vs Ghana?

The model expects 5.05 goals (4.00 for England, 1.05 for Ghana). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 96%, over 2.5 goals 88%, over 3.5 goals 74%.

When and where is England vs Ghana played?

Tuesday, June 23, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Gillette Stadium, Boston.

What form are England and Ghana in?

England: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 4 conceded). Ghana: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 10 conceded).

What was the England vs Ghana result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: England 0-0 Ghana. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for England (68%), while a draw was rated at only 18%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (64%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (88%): missed.

How is the England vs Ghana prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (4.00 for England, 1.05 for Ghana) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained