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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Wednesday, June 24, 2026, 23:00 (UK time)

Morocco vs Haiti: 4-2 result and AI prediction review

MoroccoMorocco4 – 2HaitiHaiti

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-0

Final score: Morocco 4-2 Haiti. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Morocco was the model's favourite outcome (72%). The model considered this score unlikely (0.5%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (25%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.

Match analysis

Morocco vs Haiti was played on Wednesday, June 24, 2026 (FIFA World Cup). Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta. Before kick-off, our model gave Morocco a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Haiti 10%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (19.1%), ahead of 1-0 (16.8%) and 3-0 (14.5%).

Morocco are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 12 and conceding 2. Haiti have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Morocco. On average Morocco score 2.40 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Haiti score 1.20 and concede 1.40. In the table, Morocco sit 2nd with 4 points from 2 games, Haiti 4th with 0 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Morocco have averaged 1.18 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.64 for Haiti.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Morocco and Haiti: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Morocco or draw" stands at 90%, "Haiti or draw" at 28% and "no draw" at 82%.

In short : Morocco enters as clear favorites with 4 points from 2 matches and a 1.18 xG average, while Haiti sits pointless after two losses with just 0.64 xG per game. The Atlas Lions' superior form, ranking, and attacking output suggest a dominant performance is likely against a struggling Haiti side.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

72%
Morocco (Win)
18%
Draw
10%
Haiti (Win)

Double chance

90%
Morocco or draw
28%
Haiti or draw
82%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Morocco – Haiti. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (19.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 66% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Morocco 2-0 Haiti19.1%
Morocco 1-0 Haiti16.8%
Morocco 3-0 Haiti14.5%
Morocco 4-0 Haiti8.3%
Morocco 0-0 Haiti7.4%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.61 goals in total (2.28 for Morocco, 0.33 for Haiti): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 25%. Morocco keep a clean sheet in 72% of scenarios, Haiti in 10%.

Probability
Morocco expected goals2.28
Haiti expected goals0.33
Both teams to score25%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Morocco clean sheet72%
Haiti clean sheet10%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Morocco

DateOpponentScore
Jun 19, 2026Scotland · FIFA World Cup1-0W
Jun 13, 2026Brazil · FIFA World Cup1-1D
Jun 7, 2026Norway · International Friendlies1-1D
Jun 2, 2026Madagascar · International Friendlies4-0W
May 26, 2026Burundi · International Friendlies5-0W

Haiti

DateOpponentScore
Jun 20, 2026Brazil · FIFA World Cup0-3L
Jun 14, 2026Scotland · FIFA World Cup0-1L
Jun 6, 2026Peru · International Friendlies1-2L
Jun 3, 2026New Zealand · International Friendlies4-0W
Mar 31, 2026Iceland · International Friendlies1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Morocco242
Haiti402

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Morocco and Haiti: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Morocco

No absences reported.

Haiti

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Morocco vs Haiti prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Morocco a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Haiti 10%. Morocco are therefore favourites. Final score: 4-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Morocco vs Haiti?

2-0 (19.1%), followed by 1-0 (16.8%), 3-0 (14.5%), 4-0 (8.3%) and 0-0 (7.4%).

Will both teams score in Morocco vs Haiti?

The probability that both Morocco and Haiti score is 25%. Morocco have a 72% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Haiti 10%.

How many goals should we expect in Morocco vs Haiti?

The model expects 2.61 goals (2.28 for Morocco, 0.33 for Haiti). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Morocco vs Haiti played?

Wednesday, June 24, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta.

What form are Morocco and Haiti in?

Morocco: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 2 conceded). Haiti: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded).

What was the Morocco vs Haiti result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Morocco 4-2 Haiti. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Morocco was the model's favourite outcome (72%). The model considered this score unlikely (0.5%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (25%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.

How is the Morocco vs Haiti prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.28 for Morocco, 0.33 for Haiti) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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