Skip to content
Elofoot

FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Wednesday, June 24, 2026, 03:00 (UK time)

Colombia vs DR Congo: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

ColombiaColombia1 – 0DR CongoDR Congo

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 3-0

Final score: Colombia 1-0 DR Congo. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Colombia was the model's favourite outcome (68%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.2%), behind 3-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (32%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (74%): missed.

Match analysis

Colombia vs DR Congo was played on Wednesday, June 24, 2026 (FIFA World Cup). Venue: Estadio Akron, Zapopan. Before kick-off, our model gave Colombia a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and DR Congo 14%. The most likely correct score is 3-0 (14.5%), ahead of 4-0 (12.6%) and 2-0 (12.5%).

Over their last 5 matches, Colombia have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 7. DR Congo have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with Colombia. On average Colombia score 2.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; DR Congo score 0.80 and concede 0.80. In the table, Colombia sit 1st with 3 points from 1 games, DR Congo 2nd with 1 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Colombia have averaged 1.61 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.87 for DR Congo.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Colombia and DR Congo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Colombia or draw" stands at 86%, "DR Congo or draw" at 32% and "no draw" at 82%.

In short : Colombia enters as group leaders with a perfect start (1W, +2 goal difference) and superior attacking threat (1.61 xG), while Congo DR drew their opener with minimal offensive output (0.87 xG). The hosts' recent form shows three consecutive wins and they hold a significant quality advantage in this World Cup encounter.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

68%
Colombia (Win)
18%
Draw
14%
DR Congo (Win)

Double chance

86%
Colombia or draw
32%
DR Congo or draw
82%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Colombia – DR Congo. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (14.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 56% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Colombia 3-0 DR Congo14.5%
Colombia 4-0 DR Congo12.6%
Colombia 2-0 DR Congo12.5%
Colombia 5-0 DR Congo8.8%
Colombia 1-0 DR Congo7.2%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.88 goals in total (3.48 for Colombia, 0.40 for DR Congo): over 2.5 goals has a 74% probability and both teams to score 32%. Everything points to an open game. Colombia keep a clean sheet in 67% of scenarios, DR Congo in 3%.

Probability
Colombia expected goals3.48
DR Congo expected goals0.40
Both teams to score32%
Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals54%
Colombia clean sheet67%
DR Congo clean sheet3%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Colombia

DateOpponentScore
Jun 18, 2026Uzbekistan · FIFA World Cup3-1W
Jun 8, 2026Jordan · International Friendlies2-0W
Jun 2, 2026Costa Rica · International Friendlies3-1W
Mar 29, 2026France · International Friendlies1-3L
Mar 26, 2026Croatia · International Friendlies1-2L

DR Congo

DateOpponentScore
Jun 17, 2026Portugal · FIFA World Cup1-1D
Jun 9, 2026Chile · International Friendlies1-2L
Jun 3, 2026Denmark · International Friendlies0-0D
Mar 25, 2026Bermuda · International Friendlies2-0W
Jan 6, 2026Algeria · Africa Cup of Nations0-1L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Colombia131
DR Congo211

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Colombia and DR Congo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Colombia

No absences reported.

DR Congo

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Colombia vs DR Congo prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Colombia a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and DR Congo 14%. Colombia are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Colombia vs DR Congo?

3-0 (14.5%), followed by 4-0 (12.6%), 2-0 (12.5%), 5-0 (8.8%) and 1-0 (7.2%).

Will both teams score in Colombia vs DR Congo?

The probability that both Colombia and DR Congo score is 32%. Colombia have a 67% chance of keeping a clean sheet, DR Congo 3%.

How many goals should we expect in Colombia vs DR Congo?

The model expects 3.88 goals (3.48 for Colombia, 0.40 for DR Congo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 90%, over 2.5 goals 74%, over 3.5 goals 54%.

When and where is Colombia vs DR Congo played?

Wednesday, June 24, 2026 at 03:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Estadio Akron, Zapopan.

What form are Colombia and DR Congo in?

Colombia: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded). DR Congo: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 4 conceded).

What was the Colombia vs DR Congo result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Colombia 1-0 DR Congo. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Colombia was the model's favourite outcome (68%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.2%), behind 3-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (32%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (74%): missed.

How is the Colombia vs DR Congo prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.48 for Colombia, 0.40 for DR Congo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained