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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Wednesday, June 24, 2026, 23:00 (UK time)

Scotland vs Brazil: 0-3 result and AI prediction review

ScotlandScotland0 – 3BrazilBrazil

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-1

Final score: Scotland 0-3 Brazil. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Brazil at 60%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.7%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (42%): missed.

Match analysis

Scotland and Brazil met on Wednesday, June 24, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens. Before kick-off, our model gave Scotland a 22% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Brazil 60%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (15.5%), followed by 0-2 (12.5%) and 1-1 (11.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, Scotland have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 3. Brazil are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 15 and conceding 5. Brazil therefore arrive in far better shape than Scotland. On average Scotland score 1.80 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Brazil score 3.00 and concede 1.00. In the table, Scotland sit 2nd with 3 points from 2 games, Brazil 1st with 4 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Scotland have averaged 0.78 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.50 for Brazil.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Scotland and Brazil: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Brazil: Neymar and Raphinha. In double chance terms, "Scotland or draw" stands at 40%, "Brazil or draw" at 78% and "no draw" at 82%.

In short : Brazil arrives unbeaten with a +3 goal differential and significantly higher expected goals (1.5 vs 0.78), while Scotland sits second in the group with a neutral goal difference after mixed recent form. The visitors' dominant attacking metrics and superior standings position them as clear favorites in this World Cup encounter.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

22%
Scotland (Win)
18%
Draw
60%
Brazil (Win)

Double chance

40%
Scotland or draw
78%
Brazil or draw
82%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Scotland – Brazil. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (15.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 58% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Scotland 0-1 Brazil15.5%
Scotland 0-2 Brazil12.5%
Scotland 1-1 Brazil11.3%
Scotland 0-0 Brazil9.6%
Scotland 1-2 Brazil9.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.73 expected goals for Scotland and 1.61 for Brazil, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 42% and "both teams to score" at 42%. Few goals are expected here. Scotland keep a clean sheet in 20% of scenarios, Brazil in 48%.

Probability
Scotland expected goals0.73
Brazil expected goals1.61
Both teams to score42%
Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Scotland clean sheet20%
Brazil clean sheet48%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Scotland

DateOpponentScore
Jun 19, 2026Morocco · FIFA World Cup0-1L
Jun 14, 2026Haiti · FIFA World Cup1-0W
Jun 6, 2026Bolivia · International Friendlies4-0W
May 30, 2026Curaçao · International Friendlies4-1W
Mar 31, 2026Ivory Coast · International Friendlies0-1L

Brazil

DateOpponentScore
Jun 20, 2026Haiti · FIFA World Cup3-0W
Jun 13, 2026Morocco · FIFA World Cup1-1D
Jun 6, 2026Egypt · International Friendlies2-1W
May 31, 2026Panama · International Friendlies6-2W
Apr 1, 2026Croatia · International Friendlies3-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Scotland232
Brazil142

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Scotland and Brazil: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Scotland

No absences reported.

Brazil

  • Neymar (out)
  • Raphinha (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Scotland vs Brazil prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Scotland a 22% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Brazil 60%. Brazil are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-3.

What is the most likely correct score for Scotland vs Brazil?

0-1 (15.5%), followed by 0-2 (12.5%), 1-1 (11.3%), 0-0 (9.6%) and 1-2 (9.1%).

Will both teams score in Scotland vs Brazil?

The probability that both Scotland and Brazil score is 42%. Scotland have a 20% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Brazil 48%.

How many goals should we expect in Scotland vs Brazil?

The model expects 2.34 goals (0.73 for Scotland, 1.61 for Brazil). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 68%, over 2.5 goals 42%, over 3.5 goals 21%.

When and where is Scotland vs Brazil played?

Wednesday, June 24, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens.

What form are Scotland and Brazil in?

Scotland: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 3 conceded). Brazil: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (15 scored, 5 conceded).

What was the Scotland vs Brazil result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Scotland 0-3 Brazil. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Brazil at 60%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.7%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (42%): missed.

How is the Scotland vs Brazil prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.73 for Scotland, 1.61 for Brazil) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained