FIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Wednesday, June 24, 2026, 00:00 (UK time)
Panama vs Croatia: 0-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Panama 0-1 Croatia. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Croatia at 48%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): missed.
Match analysis
Panama and Croatia met on Wednesday, June 24, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: BMO Field, Toronto. Before kick-off, our model gave Panama a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Croatia 48%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.3%), followed by 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-1 (9.2%).
Over their last 5 matches, Panama have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, Croatia have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Panama score 1.80 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Croatia score 1.40 and concede 2.20. In the table, Panama sit 11th with 0 points from 1 games, Croatia 4th with 0 points from 1. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Panama have averaged 0.73 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.56 for Croatia.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Panama and Croatia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Panama or draw" stands at 52%, "Croatia or draw" at 72% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Croatia enters as the higher-ranked side (4th vs 11th) with superior recent form, though both teams suffered opening-match defeats in the tournament. Panama's higher expected goals average (0.73 vs 0.56) suggests attacking intent, but Croatia's defensive record and pedigree favor the away side.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Panama – Croatia. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 45% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Panama 1-1 Croatia | 11.3% |
| Panama 1-2 Croatia | 9.5% |
| Panama 0-1 Croatia | 9.2% |
| Panama 0-2 Croatia | 7.7% |
| Panama 2-1 Croatia | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.23 expected goals for Panama and 1.68 for Croatia, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 56% and "both teams to score" at 58%. Panama keep a clean sheet in 19% of scenarios, Croatia in 29%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Panama expected goals | 1.23 |
| Croatia expected goals | 1.68 |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Panama clean sheet | 19% |
| Croatia clean sheet | 29% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Panama
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Ghana · FIFA World Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Dominican Republic · International Friendlies | 4-2 | W |
| May 31, 2026 | Brazil · International Friendlies | 2-6 | L |
| Mar 31, 2026 | South Africa · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Croatia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | England · FIFA World Cup | 2-4 | L |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Slovenia · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Belgium · International Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Brazil · International Friendlies | 1-3 | L |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Colombia · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panama | 11 | 0 | 1 |
| Croatia | 4 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Panama and Croatia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Panama
No absences reported.
Croatia
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Norway 3-2 SenegalJun 23, 2026
- Jordan 1-2 AlgeriaJun 23, 2026
- Portugal 5-0 UzbekistanJun 23, 2026
- England 0-0 GhanaJun 23, 2026
- Colombia 1-0 DR CongoJun 24, 2026
- Bosnia & Herzegovina 3-1 QatarJun 24, 2026
- Switzerland 2-1 CanadaJun 24, 2026
- Morocco 4-2 HaitiJun 24, 2026
- Scotland 0-3 BrazilJun 24, 2026
- Czechia 0-3 MexicoJun 25, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Panama vs Croatia prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Panama a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Croatia 48%. Croatia are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Panama vs Croatia?
1-1 (11.3%), followed by 1-2 (9.5%), 0-1 (9.2%), 0-2 (7.7%) and 2-1 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Panama vs Croatia?
The probability that both Panama and Croatia score is 58%. Panama have a 19% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Croatia 29%.
How many goals should we expect in Panama vs Croatia?
The model expects 2.91 goals (1.23 for Panama, 1.68 for Croatia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 56%, over 3.5 goals 33%.
When and where is Panama vs Croatia played?
Wednesday, June 24, 2026 at 00:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: BMO Field, Toronto.
What form are Panama and Croatia in?
Panama: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 11 conceded). Croatia: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 11 conceded).
What was the Panama vs Croatia result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Panama 0-1 Croatia. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Croatia at 48%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): missed.
How is the Panama vs Croatia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.23 for Panama, 1.68 for Croatia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Panama predictions
- All Croatia predictions
- FIFA World Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology