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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Thursday, June 25, 2026, 02:00 (UK time)

Czechia vs Mexico: 0-3 result and AI prediction review

CzechiaCzechia0 – 3MexicoMexico

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-1

Final score: Czechia 0-3 Mexico. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Mexico at 58%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (8.3%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (35%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (38%): missed.

Match analysis

Czechia and Mexico met on Thursday, June 25, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: Estadio Banorte, Mexico City. Before kick-off, our model gave Czechia a 22% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mexico 58%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (18.0%), followed by 0-2 (15.0%) and 0-0 (10.9%).

Over their last 4 matches, Czechia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Mexico are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 11 and conceding 1. Mexico therefore arrive in far better shape than Czechia. On average Czechia score 1.75 and concede 1.25 goals per game; Mexico score 2.20 and concede 0.20. In the table, Czechia sit 8th with 1 points from 2 games, Mexico 1st with 6 points from 2. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Czechia have averaged 0.93 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.99 for Mexico.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Czechia and Mexico: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Czechia out or doubtful: D. Jurásek. In double chance terms, "Czechia or draw" stands at 42%, "Mexico or draw" at 78% and "no draw" at 80%.

In short : Mexico arrives unbeaten with 2 wins from 2 matches and a +3 goal difference, while Czech Republic sits bottom of the group with just 1 point from 2 games. The visitors' perfect form and superior xG (0.99 vs 0.93) position them as clear favorites in this World Cup encounter.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

22%
Czechia (Win)
20%
Draw
58%
Mexico (Win)

Double chance

42%
Czechia or draw
78%
Mexico or draw
80%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Czechia – Mexico. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (18.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 62% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Czechia 0-1 Mexico18.0%
Czechia 0-2 Mexico15.0%
Czechia 0-0 Mexico10.9%
Czechia 1-1 Mexico10.1%
Czechia 1-2 Mexico8.4%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.56 expected goals for Czechia and 1.66 for Mexico, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 38% and "both teams to score" at 35%. Few goals are expected here. Czechia keep a clean sheet in 19% of scenarios, Mexico in 57%.

Probability
Czechia expected goals0.56
Mexico expected goals1.66
Both teams to score35%
Over 1.5 goals65%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Czechia clean sheet19%
Mexico clean sheet57%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Czechia

DateOpponentScore
Jun 18, 2026South Africa · FIFA World Cup1-1D
Jun 12, 2026South Korea · FIFA World Cup1-2L
Jun 5, 2026Guatemala · International Friendlies3-1W
May 31, 2026Kosovo · International Friendlies2-1W

Mexico

DateOpponentScore
Jun 19, 2026South Korea · FIFA World Cup1-0W
Jun 11, 2026South Africa · FIFA World Cup2-0W
Jun 5, 2026Serbia · International Friendlies5-1W
May 31, 2026Australia · International Friendlies1-0W
May 23, 2026Ghana · International Friendlies2-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Czechia812
Mexico162

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Czechia and Mexico: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Czechia

  • D. Jurásek (out)

Mexico

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Czechia vs Mexico prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Czechia a 22% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mexico 58%. Mexico are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-3.

What is the most likely correct score for Czechia vs Mexico?

0-1 (18.0%), followed by 0-2 (15.0%), 0-0 (10.9%), 1-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (8.4%).

Will both teams score in Czechia vs Mexico?

The probability that both Czechia and Mexico score is 35%. Czechia have a 19% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Mexico 57%.

How many goals should we expect in Czechia vs Mexico?

The model expects 2.22 goals (0.56 for Czechia, 1.66 for Mexico). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 65%, over 2.5 goals 38%, over 3.5 goals 19%.

When and where is Czechia vs Mexico played?

Thursday, June 25, 2026 at 02:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Estadio Banorte, Mexico City.

What form are Czechia and Mexico in?

Czechia: 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded). Mexico: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 1 conceded).

What was the Czechia vs Mexico result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Czechia 0-3 Mexico. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Mexico at 58%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (8.3%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (35%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (38%): missed.

How is the Czechia vs Mexico prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.56 for Czechia, 1.66 for Mexico) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained