Skip to content
Elofoot

FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Wednesday, June 24, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar: 3-1 result and AI prediction review

Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina3 – 1QatarQatar

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Bosnia & Herzegovina 3-1 Qatar. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Bosnia & Herzegovina at 48%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (3.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (38%): missed.

Match analysis

Bosnia & Herzegovina and Qatar met on Wednesday, June 24, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: Lumen Field, Seattle. Before kick-off, our model gave Bosnia & Herzegovina a 48% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Qatar 24%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (14.8%), followed by 1-1 (12.8%) and 0-0 (11.1%).

Bosnia & Herzegovina have not won any of their last 4 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 3 and conceding 6. Qatar have not won any of their last 4 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 1 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Bosnia & Herzegovina score 0.75 and concede 1.50 goals per game; Qatar score 0.25 and concede 2.00. In the table, Bosnia & Herzegovina sit 11th with 1 points from 2 games, Qatar 4th with 1 points from 2. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Bosnia & Herzegovina have averaged 0.59 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.41 for Qatar.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Bosnia & Herzegovina and Qatar: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Bosnia & Herzegovina out or doubtful: T. Muharemović. Qatar: Homam Ahmed and Assim Madibo. In double chance terms, "Bosnia & Herzegovina or draw" stands at 76%, "Qatar or draw" at 52% and "no draw" at 72%.

In short : Bosnia & Herzegovina enters with superior recent form (four draws in last five) and a higher expected goals average of 0.59 compared to Qatar's 0.41, despite both teams sitting on just 1 point from 2 matches. Qatar arrives with a concerning -6 goal differential and three losses in their last five outings, making the home side slight favorites in this World Cup encounter.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

48%
Bosnia & Herzegovina (Win)
28%
Draw
24%
Qatar (Win)

Double chance

76%
Bosnia & Herzegovina or draw
52%
Qatar or draw
72%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Bosnia & Herzegovina – Qatar. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (14.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 58% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Bosnia & Herzegovina 1-0 Qatar14.8%
Bosnia & Herzegovina 1-1 Qatar12.8%
Bosnia & Herzegovina 0-0 Qatar11.1%
Bosnia & Herzegovina 2-0 Qatar9.9%
Bosnia & Herzegovina 0-1 Qatar9.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.34 expected goals for Bosnia & Herzegovina and 0.86 for Qatar, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 38% and "both teams to score" at 43%. Few goals are expected here. Bosnia & Herzegovina keep a clean sheet in 42% of scenarios, Qatar in 26%.

Probability
Bosnia & Herzegovina expected goals1.34
Qatar expected goals0.86
Both teams to score43%
Over 1.5 goals65%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Over 3.5 goals18%
Bosnia & Herzegovina clean sheet42%
Qatar clean sheet26%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Bosnia & Herzegovina

DateOpponentScore
Jun 18, 2026Switzerland · FIFA World Cup1-4L
Jun 12, 2026Canada · FIFA World Cup1-1D
Jun 6, 2026Panama · International Friendlies1-1D
May 29, 2026North Macedonia · International Friendlies0-0D

Qatar

DateOpponentScore
Jun 18, 2026Canada · FIFA World Cup0-6L
Jun 13, 2026Switzerland · FIFA World Cup1-1D
Jun 6, 2026El Salvador · International Friendlies0-0D
May 28, 2026Ireland · International Friendlies0-1L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Bosnia & Herzegovina1112
Qatar412

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Bosnia & Herzegovina and Qatar: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Bosnia & Herzegovina

  • T. Muharemović (out)

Qatar

  • Homam Ahmed (out)
  • Assim Madibo (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Bosnia & Herzegovina a 48% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Qatar 24%. Bosnia & Herzegovina are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar?

1-0 (14.8%), followed by 1-1 (12.8%), 0-0 (11.1%), 2-0 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.5%).

Will both teams score in Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar?

The probability that both Bosnia & Herzegovina and Qatar score is 43%. Bosnia & Herzegovina have a 42% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Qatar 26%.

How many goals should we expect in Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar?

The model expects 2.20 goals (1.34 for Bosnia & Herzegovina, 0.86 for Qatar). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 65%, over 2.5 goals 38%, over 3.5 goals 18%.

When and where is Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar played?

Wednesday, June 24, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Lumen Field, Seattle.

What form are Bosnia & Herzegovina and Qatar in?

Bosnia & Herzegovina: 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches (3 scored, 6 conceded). Qatar: 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches (1 scored, 8 conceded).

What was the Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Bosnia & Herzegovina 3-1 Qatar. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Bosnia & Herzegovina at 48%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (3.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (38%): missed.

How is the Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.34 for Bosnia & Herzegovina, 0.86 for Qatar) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained