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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Wednesday, June 24, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Switzerland vs Canada: 2-1 result and AI prediction review

SwitzerlandSwitzerland2 – 1CanadaCanada

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-2

Final score: Switzerland 2-1 Canada. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Switzerland was the model's favourite outcome (38%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (4.4%), behind 2-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (88%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (92%): correct.

Match analysis

Switzerland vs Canada was played on Wednesday, June 24, 2026 (FIFA World Cup). Venue: BC Place, Vancouver. Before kick-off, our model gave Switzerland a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Canada 34%. The most likely correct score is 2-2 (5.7%), ahead of 3-2 (5.6%) and 2-3 (5.0%).

Switzerland are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 10 and conceding 4. Canada are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 10 and conceding 2. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Switzerland score 2.00 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Canada score 2.00 and concede 0.40. In the table, Switzerland sit 2nd with 4 points from 2 games, Canada 1st with 4 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Switzerland have averaged 2.63 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.92 for Canada.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Switzerland and Canada: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Canada: I. Koné and A. Jones. In double chance terms, "Switzerland or draw" stands at 66%, "Canada or draw" at 62% and "no draw" at 72%.

In short : Switzerland and Canada arrive level on 4 points after 2 matches, with Canada holding a superior goal difference of +6 versus Switzerland's +3. Canada's marginally higher expected goals average (2.92 vs 2.63) gives them a slight edge in this World Cup encounter between evenly-matched opponents.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

38%
Switzerland (Win)
28%
Draw
34%
Canada (Win)

Double chance

66%
Switzerland or draw
62%
Canada or draw
72%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Switzerland – Canada. 2-2 is the single most likely scoreline (5.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 26% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Switzerland 2-2 Canada5.7%
Switzerland 3-2 Canada5.6%
Switzerland 2-3 Canada5.0%
Switzerland 3-3 Canada4.9%
Switzerland 2-1 Canada4.4%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 5.56 goals in total (2.95 for Switzerland, 2.61 for Canada): over 2.5 goals has a 92% probability and both teams to score 88%. Everything points to an open game. Switzerland keep a clean sheet in 7% of scenarios, Canada in 5%.

Probability
Switzerland expected goals2.95
Canada expected goals2.61
Both teams to score88%
Over 1.5 goals98%
Over 2.5 goals92%
Over 3.5 goals81%
Switzerland clean sheet7%
Canada clean sheet5%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Switzerland

DateOpponentScore
Jun 18, 2026Bosnia & Herzegovina · FIFA World Cup4-1W
Jun 13, 2026Qatar · FIFA World Cup1-1D
Jun 6, 2026Australia · International Friendlies1-1D
May 31, 2026Jordan · International Friendlies4-1W
Mar 31, 2026Norway · International Friendlies0-0D

Canada

DateOpponentScore
Jun 18, 2026Qatar · FIFA World Cup6-0W
Jun 12, 2026Bosnia & Herzegovina · FIFA World Cup1-1D
Jun 6, 2026Ireland · International Friendlies1-1D
Jun 2, 2026Uzbekistan · International Friendlies2-0W
Apr 1, 2026Tunisia · International Friendlies0-0D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Switzerland242
Canada142

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Switzerland and Canada: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Switzerland

No absences reported.

Canada

  • I. Koné (out)
  • A. Jones (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Switzerland vs Canada prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Switzerland a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Canada 34%. Switzerland are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Switzerland vs Canada?

2-2 (5.7%), followed by 3-2 (5.6%), 2-3 (5.0%), 3-3 (4.9%) and 2-1 (4.4%).

Will both teams score in Switzerland vs Canada?

The probability that both Switzerland and Canada score is 88%. Switzerland have a 7% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Canada 5%.

How many goals should we expect in Switzerland vs Canada?

The model expects 5.56 goals (2.95 for Switzerland, 2.61 for Canada). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 98%, over 2.5 goals 92%, over 3.5 goals 81%.

When and where is Switzerland vs Canada played?

Wednesday, June 24, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: BC Place, Vancouver.

What form are Switzerland and Canada in?

Switzerland: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 4 conceded). Canada: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 2 conceded).

What was the Switzerland vs Canada result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Switzerland 2-1 Canada. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Switzerland was the model's favourite outcome (38%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (4.4%), behind 2-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (88%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (92%): correct.

How is the Switzerland vs Canada prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.95 for Switzerland, 2.61 for Canada) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained