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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Friday, June 26, 2026, 03:00 (UK time)

Paraguay vs Australia: 0-0 result and AI prediction review

ParaguayParaguay0 – 0AustraliaAustralia

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Paraguay 0-0 Australia. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Australia (48%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.4%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): missed.

Match analysis

Paraguay and Australia met on Friday, June 26, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara. Before kick-off, our model gave Paraguay a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Australia 48%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.3%), followed by 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-1 (9.2%).

Over their last 5 matches, Paraguay have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Australia have won just one of their last 4 matches (1 draw, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 4. Paraguay therefore arrive in far better shape than Australia. On average Paraguay score 1.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Australia score 0.75 and concede 1.00. In the table, Paraguay sit 6th with 3 points from 2 games, Australia 2nd with 3 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Paraguay have averaged 0.43 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.76 for Australia.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Paraguay and Australia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Paraguay out or doubtful: M. Almirón. In double chance terms, "Paraguay or draw" stands at 52%, "Australia or draw" at 72% and "no draw" at 76%.

In short : Australia arrives as the stronger side with a superior xG average of 0.76 compared to Paraguay's 0.43, and currently sits 4 places higher in the standings. Both teams have identical 3-point records after 2 matches, but Australia's attacking prowess gives them the edge in this World Cup encounter.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

28%
Paraguay (Win)
24%
Draw
48%
Australia (Win)

Double chance

52%
Paraguay or draw
72%
Australia or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Paraguay – Australia. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 45% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Paraguay 1-1 Australia11.3%
Paraguay 1-2 Australia9.5%
Paraguay 0-1 Australia9.2%
Paraguay 0-2 Australia7.7%
Paraguay 2-1 Australia6.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.23 expected goals for Paraguay and 1.68 for Australia, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 56% and "both teams to score" at 58%. Paraguay keep a clean sheet in 19% of scenarios, Australia in 29%.

Probability
Paraguay expected goals1.23
Australia expected goals1.68
Both teams to score58%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Paraguay clean sheet19%
Australia clean sheet29%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Paraguay

DateOpponentScore
Jun 20, 2026Türkiye · FIFA World Cup1-0W
Jun 13, 2026United States · FIFA World Cup1-4L
Jun 5, 2026Nicaragua · International Friendlies4-0W
Mar 31, 2026Morocco · International Friendlies1-2L
Mar 27, 2026Greece · International Friendlies1-0W

Australia

DateOpponentScore
Jun 19, 2026United States · FIFA World Cup0-2L
Jun 14, 2026Türkiye · FIFA World Cup2-0W
Jun 6, 2026Switzerland · International Friendlies1-1D
May 31, 2026Mexico · International Friendlies0-1L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Paraguay632
Australia232

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Paraguay and Australia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Paraguay

  • M. Almirón (out)

Australia

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Paraguay vs Australia prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Paraguay a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Australia 48%. Australia are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Paraguay vs Australia?

1-1 (11.3%), followed by 1-2 (9.5%), 0-1 (9.2%), 0-2 (7.7%) and 2-1 (6.9%).

Will both teams score in Paraguay vs Australia?

The probability that both Paraguay and Australia score is 58%. Paraguay have a 19% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Australia 29%.

How many goals should we expect in Paraguay vs Australia?

The model expects 2.91 goals (1.23 for Paraguay, 1.68 for Australia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 56%, over 3.5 goals 33%.

When and where is Paraguay vs Australia played?

Friday, June 26, 2026 at 03:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara.

What form are Paraguay and Australia in?

Paraguay: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded). Australia: 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches (3 scored, 4 conceded).

What was the Paraguay vs Australia result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Paraguay 0-0 Australia. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Australia (48%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.4%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): missed.

How is the Paraguay vs Australia prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.23 for Paraguay, 1.68 for Australia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained