La Liga· Kick-off : Friday, September 18, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Espanyol vs Elche: 1-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Espanyol 1-3 Elche. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Espanyol (54%), while victory for Elche was rated at only 20%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.6%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (36%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (40%): missed.
Match analysis
Espanyol and Elche met on Friday, September 18, 2026, a La Liga, matchday 7 fixture. Venue: RCDE Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat. Before kick-off, our model gave Espanyol a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Elche 20%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (17.2%), followed by 2-0 (14.6%) and 1-1 (10.2%).
Espanyol have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 7. Elche have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 15. Espanyol therefore arrive in far better shape than Elche. On average Espanyol score 1.20 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Elche score 1.40 and concede 3.00. In the table, Espanyol sit 8th with 7 points from 6 games, Elche 20th with 2 points from 6. 12 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Espanyol have averaged 1.19 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.84 for Elche.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Espanyol, 0 for Elche and 1 draw. The most recent ended Elche 2-2 Espanyol (Mar 1, 2026). Espanyol out or doubtful: K. Garcia, A. Gorosabel, Jofre, J. Puado and O. El Hilali. Elche: Y. Santiago. In double chance terms, "Espanyol or draw" stands at 80%, "Elche or draw" at 46% and "no draw" at 74%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Espanyol – Elche. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (17.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 61% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Espanyol 1-0 Elche | 17.2% |
| Espanyol 2-0 Elche | 14.6% |
| Espanyol 1-1 Elche | 10.2% |
| Espanyol 0-0 Elche | 10.1% |
| Espanyol 2-1 Elche | 8.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.70 expected goals for Espanyol and 0.59 for Elche, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 40% and "both teams to score" at 36%. Few goals are expected here. Espanyol keep a clean sheet in 55% of scenarios, Elche in 18%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Espanyol expected goals | 1.70 |
| Elche expected goals | 0.59 |
| Both teams to score | 36% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Espanyol clean sheet | 55% |
| Elche clean sheet | 18% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Espanyol
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano · La Liga | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Osasuna · La Liga | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sevilla · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Real Sociedad · La Liga | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Madrid · La Liga | 1-2 | L |
Elche
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Real Madrid · La Liga | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Athletic Club · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Real Sociedad · La Liga | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Racing Santander · La Liga | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Barcelona · La Liga | 0-5 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| Elche | 20 | 2 | 6 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Elche 2-2 Espanyol | La Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Espanyol 1-0 Elche | La Liga |
Out and doubtful
Espanyol
- K. Garcia (out)
- A. Gorosabel (out)
- Jofre (out)
- J. Puado (out)
- O. El Hilali (out)
Elche
- Y. Santiago (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Real Betis 1-0 GetafeSep 17, 2026
- Malaga 1-3 VillarrealSep 17, 2026
- Osasuna 1-1 Rayo VallecanoSep 19, 2026
- Athletic Club 0-0 AlavesSep 19, 2026
- Celta Vigo 5-0 Racing SantanderSep 19, 2026
- Sevilla 1-3 BarcelonaSep 19, 2026
- Getafe 1-0 MalagaSep 20, 2026
- Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real MadridSep 20, 2026
- Villarreal 3-1 LevanteSep 20, 2026
- Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Real BetisSep 20, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Espanyol vs Elche prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Espanyol a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Elche 20%. Espanyol are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Espanyol vs Elche?
1-0 (17.2%), followed by 2-0 (14.6%), 1-1 (10.2%), 0-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (8.6%).
Will both teams score in Espanyol vs Elche?
The probability that both Espanyol and Elche score is 36%. Espanyol have a 55% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Elche 18%.
How many goals should we expect in Espanyol vs Elche?
The model expects 2.29 goals (1.70 for Espanyol, 0.59 for Elche). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 67%, over 2.5 goals 40%, over 3.5 goals 20%.
When and where is Espanyol vs Elche played?
Friday, September 18, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 7. Venue: RCDE Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat.
What form are Espanyol and Elche in?
Espanyol: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded). Elche: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 15 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Espanyol and Elche?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Espanyol, 0 for Elche and 1 draw. The most recent ended Elche 2-2 Espanyol (Mar 1, 2026).
What was the Espanyol vs Elche result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Espanyol 1-3 Elche. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Espanyol (54%), while victory for Elche was rated at only 20%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.6%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (36%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (40%): missed.
How is the Espanyol vs Elche prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.70 for Espanyol, 0.59 for Elche) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.