La Liga· Kick-off : Saturday, September 19, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander: 5-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Celta Vigo 5-0 Racing Santander. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Racing Santander (49%), while victory for Celta Vigo was rated at only 26%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
Match analysis
Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander was played on Saturday, September 19, 2026 (La Liga, matchday 7). Venue: Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo. Before kick-off, our model gave Celta Vigo a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Racing Santander 49%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.0%), ahead of 0-1 (11.2%) and 1-2 (9.4%).
Celta Vigo have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Racing Santander have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 14. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Celta Vigo score 0.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Racing Santander score 1.80 and concede 2.80. In the table, Celta Vigo sit 18th with 4 points from 6 games, Racing Santander 10th with 7 points from 6. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Celta Vigo have averaged 1.21 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.38 for Racing Santander.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Celta Vigo, 0 for Racing Santander and 0 draws. Celta Vigo out or doubtful: A. Antanon and I. Aspas. Racing Santander: A. Almeida, S. Eriksson and A. Martin. In double chance terms, "Celta Vigo or draw" stands at 51%, "Racing Santander or draw" at 74% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Celta Vigo – Racing Santander. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Celta Vigo 1-1 Racing Santander | 12.0% |
| Celta Vigo 0-1 Racing Santander | 11.2% |
| Celta Vigo 1-2 Racing Santander | 9.4% |
| Celta Vigo 0-2 Racing Santander | 8.8% |
| Celta Vigo 1-0 Racing Santander | 7.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.64 goals in total (1.07 for Celta Vigo, 1.57 for Racing Santander): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Celta Vigo keep a clean sheet in 21% of scenarios, Racing Santander in 34%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Celta Vigo expected goals | 1.07 |
| Racing Santander expected goals | 1.57 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Celta Vigo clean sheet | 21% |
| Racing Santander clean sheet | 34% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Celta Vigo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia · UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Malaga · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Getafe · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Real Sociedad · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Athletic Club · La Liga | 0-2 | L |
Racing Santander
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Barcelona · La Liga | 2-7 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Alaves · La Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano · La Liga | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Elche · La Liga | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Getafe · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 18 | 4 | 6 |
| Racing Santander | 10 | 7 | 6 |
Head-to-head
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Celta Vigo, 0 for Racing Santander and 0 draws.
Out and doubtful
Celta Vigo
- A. Antanon (out)
- I. Aspas (out)
Racing Santander
- A. Almeida (out)
- S. Eriksson (out)
- A. Martin (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Malaga 1-3 VillarrealSep 17, 2026
- Espanyol 1-3 ElcheSep 18, 2026
- Osasuna 1-1 Rayo VallecanoSep 19, 2026
- Athletic Club 0-0 AlavesSep 19, 2026
- Sevilla 1-3 BarcelonaSep 19, 2026
- Getafe 1-0 MalagaSep 20, 2026
- Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real MadridSep 20, 2026
- Villarreal 3-1 LevanteSep 20, 2026
- Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Real BetisSep 20, 2026
- Valencia 2-3 Real SociedadSep 20, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Celta Vigo a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Racing Santander 49%. Racing Santander are therefore favourites. Final score: 5-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?
1-1 (12.0%), followed by 0-1 (11.2%), 1-2 (9.4%), 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-0 (7.6%).
Will both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?
The probability that both Celta Vigo and Racing Santander score is 52%. Celta Vigo have a 21% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Racing Santander 34%.
How many goals should we expect in Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?
The model expects 2.64 goals (1.07 for Celta Vigo, 1.57 for Racing Santander). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander played?
Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 7. Venue: Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo.
What form are Celta Vigo and Racing Santander in?
Celta Vigo: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 5 conceded). Racing Santander: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 14 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Celta Vigo and Racing Santander?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Celta Vigo, 0 for Racing Santander and 0 draws.
What was the Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Celta Vigo 5-0 Racing Santander. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Racing Santander (49%), while victory for Celta Vigo was rated at only 26%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
How is the Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.07 for Celta Vigo, 1.57 for Racing Santander) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Celta Vigo predictions
- All Racing Santander predictions
- La Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology