La Liga· Kick-off : Sunday, September 20, 2026, 13:00 (UK time)
Getafe vs Malaga: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Getafe 1-0 Malaga. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Getafe at 47%. The exact score 1-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (18.7%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (33%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (27%): correct.
Match analysis
Getafe and Malaga met on Sunday, September 20, 2026, a La Liga, matchday 7 fixture. Venue: Coliseum, Getafe. Before kick-off, our model gave Getafe a 47% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Malaga 22%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (18.7%), followed by 0-0 (16.5%) and 1-1 (12.5%).
Getafe have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 6. Malaga have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 9. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Getafe score 0.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Malaga score 0.60 and concede 1.80. In the table, Getafe sit 17th with 5 points from 6 games, Malaga 20th with 3 points from 6. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Getafe have averaged 0.70 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.14 for Malaga.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Getafe, 2 for Malaga and 0 draws. Getafe out or doubtful: A. Abqar, Juanmi, Kiko Femenia, B. Mayoral and R. Terrats. Malaga: A. Aznou, J. Cajuste, F. Calero, M. Diarra and J. Lobete. In double chance terms, "Getafe or draw" stands at 78%, "Malaga or draw" at 54% and "no draw" at 68%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Getafe – Malaga. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (18.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 69% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Getafe 1-0 Malaga | 18.7% |
| Getafe 0-0 Malaga | 16.5% |
| Getafe 1-1 Malaga | 12.5% |
| Getafe 0-1 Malaga | 11.1% |
| Getafe 2-0 Malaga | 10.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.13 expected goals for Getafe and 0.67 for Malaga, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 27% and "both teams to score" at 33%. Few goals are expected here. Getafe keep a clean sheet in 51% of scenarios, Malaga in 32%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Getafe expected goals | 1.13 |
| Malaga expected goals | 0.67 |
| Both teams to score | 33% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11% |
| Getafe clean sheet | 51% |
| Malaga clean sheet | 32% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Getafe
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Real Betis · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Celta Vigo · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Osasuna · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 27, 2026 | FK Partizan · UEFA Conference League | 1-2 | L |
Malaga
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Villarreal · La Liga | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Celta Vigo · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Levante · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Real Madrid · La Liga | 0-4 | L |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | 17 | 5 | 6 |
| Malaga | 20 | 3 | 6 |
Head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Getafe, 2 for Malaga and 0 draws.
Out and doubtful
Getafe
- A. Abqar (out)
- Juanmi (out)
- Kiko Femenia (out)
- B. Mayoral (out)
- R. Terrats (out)
Malaga
- A. Aznou (out)
- J. Cajuste (out)
- F. Calero (out)
- M. Diarra (out)
- J. Lobete (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Malaga 1-3 VillarrealSep 17, 2026
- Espanyol 1-3 ElcheSep 18, 2026
- Osasuna 1-1 Rayo VallecanoSep 19, 2026
- Athletic Club 0-0 AlavesSep 19, 2026
- Celta Vigo 5-0 Racing SantanderSep 19, 2026
- Sevilla 1-3 BarcelonaSep 19, 2026
- Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real MadridSep 20, 2026
- Villarreal 3-1 LevanteSep 20, 2026
- Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Real BetisSep 20, 2026
- Valencia 2-3 Real SociedadSep 20, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Getafe vs Malaga prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Getafe a 47% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Malaga 22%. Getafe are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Getafe vs Malaga?
1-0 (18.7%), followed by 0-0 (16.5%), 1-1 (12.5%), 0-1 (11.1%) and 2-0 (10.6%).
Will both teams score in Getafe vs Malaga?
The probability that both Getafe and Malaga score is 33%. Getafe have a 51% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Malaga 32%.
How many goals should we expect in Getafe vs Malaga?
The model expects 1.80 goals (1.13 for Getafe, 0.67 for Malaga). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 54%, over 2.5 goals 27%, over 3.5 goals 11%.
When and where is Getafe vs Malaga played?
Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 13:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 7. Venue: Coliseum, Getafe.
What form are Getafe and Malaga in?
Getafe: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 6 conceded). Malaga: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 9 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Getafe and Malaga?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Getafe, 2 for Malaga and 0 draws.
What was the Getafe vs Malaga result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Getafe 1-0 Malaga. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Getafe at 47%. The exact score 1-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (18.7%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (33%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (27%): correct.
How is the Getafe vs Malaga prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.13 for Getafe, 0.67 for Malaga) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.