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La LigaLa Liga· Kick-off : Saturday, September 19, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Sevilla vs Barcelona: 1-3 result and AI prediction review

SevillaSevilla1 – 3BarcelonaBarcelona

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-3

Final score: Sevilla 1-3 Barcelona. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Barcelona at 85%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.5%), behind 0-3. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (44%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (72%): correct.

Match analysis

Sevilla and Barcelona met on Saturday, September 19, 2026, a La Liga, matchday 7 fixture. Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Sevilla. Before kick-off, our model gave Sevilla a 5% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Barcelona 85%. On the correct score, 0-3 comes out on top (12.0%), followed by 0-2 (11.7%) and 0-4 (9.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, Sevilla have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Barcelona are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 26 and conceding 7. Barcelona therefore arrive in far better shape than Sevilla. On average Sevilla score 1.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Barcelona score 5.20 and concede 1.40. In the table, Sevilla sit 5th with 13 points from 6 games, Barcelona 1st with 18 points from 6. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Sevilla have averaged 0.61 xG (expected goals) per match, against 3.16 for Barcelona.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Sevilla, 1 for Barcelona and 0 draws. The most recent ended Barcelona 5-2 Sevilla (Mar 15, 2026). Sevilla out or doubtful: A. Sangante, R. Vargas and L. Stassin. Barcelona: R. Bardghji, F. de Jong and J. Garcia. In double chance terms, "Sevilla or draw" stands at 15%, "Barcelona or draw" at 95% and "no draw" at 90%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

5%
Sevilla (Win)
10%
Draw
85%
Barcelona (Win)

Double chance

15%
Sevilla or draw
95%
Barcelona or draw
90%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Sevilla – Barcelona. 0-3 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Sevilla 0-3 Barcelona12.0%
Sevilla 0-2 Barcelona11.7%
Sevilla 0-4 Barcelona9.3%
Sevilla 0-1 Barcelona7.6%
Sevilla 1-3 Barcelona7.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.62 expected goals for Sevilla and 3.09 for Barcelona, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 72% and "both teams to score" at 44%. Goals look likely in this one. Sevilla keep a clean sheet in 5% of scenarios, Barcelona in 54%.

Probability
Sevilla expected goals0.62
Barcelona expected goals3.09
Both teams to score44%
Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Sevilla clean sheet5%
Barcelona clean sheet54%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Sevilla

DateOpponentScore
Sep 16, 2026Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga1-0W
Sep 11, 2026Valencia · La Liga1-0W
Sep 6, 2026Espanyol · La Liga1-1D
Aug 29, 2026Atletico Madrid · La Liga1-3L
Aug 22, 2026Athletic Club · La Liga3-1W

Barcelona

DateOpponentScore
Sep 16, 2026Racing Santander · La Liga7-2W
Sep 13, 2026Levante · La Liga4-2W
Sep 9, 2026Feyenoord · UEFA Champions League5-1W
Sep 6, 2026Valencia · La Liga5-0W
Aug 31, 2026Rayo Vallecano · La Liga5-2W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Sevilla5136
Barcelona1186

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2026Barcelona 5-2 SevillaLa Liga
Oct 5, 2025Sevilla 4-1 BarcelonaLa Liga

Out and doubtful

Sevilla

  • A. Sangante (out)
  • R. Vargas (out)
  • L. Stassin (out)

Barcelona

  • R. Bardghji (out)
  • F. de Jong (out)
  • J. Garcia (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Sevilla vs Barcelona prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Sevilla a 5% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Barcelona 85%. Barcelona are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-3.

What is the most likely correct score for Sevilla vs Barcelona?

0-3 (12.0%), followed by 0-2 (11.7%), 0-4 (9.3%), 0-1 (7.6%) and 1-3 (7.5%).

Will both teams score in Sevilla vs Barcelona?

The probability that both Sevilla and Barcelona score is 44%. Sevilla have a 5% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Barcelona 54%.

How many goals should we expect in Sevilla vs Barcelona?

The model expects 3.71 goals (0.62 for Sevilla, 3.09 for Barcelona). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 89%, over 2.5 goals 72%, over 3.5 goals 51%.

When and where is Sevilla vs Barcelona played?

Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 7. Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Sevilla.

What form are Sevilla and Barcelona in?

Sevilla: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded). Barcelona: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (26 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Sevilla and Barcelona?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Sevilla, 1 for Barcelona and 0 draws. The most recent ended Barcelona 5-2 Sevilla (Mar 15, 2026).

What was the Sevilla vs Barcelona result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Sevilla 1-3 Barcelona. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Barcelona at 85%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.5%), behind 0-3. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (44%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (72%): correct.

How is the Sevilla vs Barcelona prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.62 for Sevilla, 3.09 for Barcelona) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained