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La LigaLa Liga· Kick-off : Sunday, September 20, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)

Villarreal vs Levante: 3-1 result and AI prediction review

VillarrealVillarreal3 – 1LevanteLevante

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Villarreal 3-1 Levante. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Levante (39%), while victory for Villarreal was rated at only 36%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (60%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (57%): correct.

Match analysis

Villarreal and Levante met on Sunday, September 20, 2026, a La Liga, matchday 7 fixture. Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal. Before kick-off, our model gave Villarreal a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Levante 39%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.4%), followed by 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.2%).

Villarreal have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 10. Levante have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 9. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Villarreal score 1.60 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Levante score 1.40 and concede 1.80. In the table, Villarreal sit 15th with 5 points from 6 games, Levante 16th with 5 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Villarreal have averaged 1.44 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.51 for Levante.

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Villarreal, 0 for Levante and 0 draws. The most recent ended Villarreal 1-0 Levante (Aug 5, 2026). Villarreal out or doubtful: J. Foyth and S. Comesana. Levante: K. Etta Eyong, A. Primo and H. Sotelo. In double chance terms, "Villarreal or draw" stands at 61%, "Levante or draw" at 64% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

36%
Villarreal (Win)
25%
Draw
39%
Levante (Win)

Double chance

61%
Villarreal or draw
64%
Levante or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Villarreal – Levante. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 44% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Villarreal 1-1 Levante11.4%
Villarreal 1-2 Levante8.6%
Villarreal 2-1 Levante8.2%
Villarreal 0-1 Levante7.9%
Villarreal 1-0 Levante7.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.44 expected goals for Villarreal and 1.51 for Levante, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 57% and "both teams to score" at 60%. Villarreal keep a clean sheet in 22% of scenarios, Levante in 24%.

Probability
Villarreal expected goals1.44
Levante expected goals1.51
Both teams to score60%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Villarreal clean sheet22%
Levante clean sheet24%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Villarreal

DateOpponentScore
Sep 17, 2026Malaga · La Liga3-1W
Sep 14, 2026Real Betis · La Liga1-2L
Sep 8, 2026Borussia Dortmund · UEFA Champions League2-3L
Sep 5, 2026Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga2-3L
Aug 28, 2026Alaves · La Liga0-1L

Levante

DateOpponentScore
Sep 13, 2026Barcelona · La Liga2-4L
Sep 6, 2026Malaga · La Liga0-0D
Aug 29, 2026Real Betis · La Liga5-2W
Aug 24, 2026Osasuna · La Liga0-0D
Aug 16, 2026Espanyol · La Liga0-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Villarreal1556
Levante1655

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 5, 2026Villarreal 1-0 LevanteClub Friendlies
May 2, 2026Villarreal 5-1 LevanteLa Liga
Feb 18, 2026Levante 0-1 VillarrealLa Liga

Out and doubtful

Villarreal

  • J. Foyth (out)
  • S. Comesana (out)

Levante

  • K. Etta Eyong (out)
  • A. Primo (out)
  • H. Sotelo (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Villarreal vs Levante prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Villarreal a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Levante 39%. Levante are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 3-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Villarreal vs Levante?

1-1 (11.4%), followed by 1-2 (8.6%), 2-1 (8.2%), 0-1 (7.9%) and 1-0 (7.5%).

Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Levante?

The probability that both Villarreal and Levante score is 60%. Villarreal have a 22% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Levante 24%.

How many goals should we expect in Villarreal vs Levante?

The model expects 2.95 goals (1.44 for Villarreal, 1.51 for Levante). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 57%, over 3.5 goals 34%.

When and where is Villarreal vs Levante played?

Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 7. Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal.

What form are Villarreal and Levante in?

Villarreal: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 10 conceded). Levante: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 9 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Villarreal and Levante?

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Villarreal, 0 for Levante and 0 draws. The most recent ended Villarreal 1-0 Levante (Aug 5, 2026).

What was the Villarreal vs Levante result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Villarreal 3-1 Levante. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Levante (39%), while victory for Villarreal was rated at only 36%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (60%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (57%): correct.

How is the Villarreal vs Levante prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.44 for Villarreal, 1.51 for Levante) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained