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Liga MXLiga MX· Kick-off : Sunday, September 27, 2026, 00:07 (UK time)

Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro prediction: correct score and AI tips

Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas–Club QueretaroClub Queretaro

Match analysis

Liga MX: the Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro match is scheduled on Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 00:07 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Akron, Guadalajara. Guadalajara Chivas start as favourites with a 58% chance of victory; Club Queretaro are given 19% and the draw 23%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.8%), followed by 1-1 (11.0%) and 2-0 (10.6%).

Guadalajara Chivas have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 5. Club Queretaro have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Guadalajara Chivas score 0.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Club Queretaro score 0.40 and concede 1.60. In the table, Guadalajara Chivas sit 2nd with 18 points from 9 games, Club Queretaro 5th with 14 points from 8. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Guadalajara Chivas, 1 for Club Queretaro and 0 draws. The most recent ended Guadalajara Chivas 2-1 Club Queretaro (Jan 17, 2026). In double chance terms, "Guadalajara Chivas or draw" stands at 81%, "Club Queretaro or draw" at 42% and "no draw" at 77%.

In short : Our model backs Guadalajara Chivas to edge Club Queretaro (58% probability). On recent form, Guadalajara Chivas have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Club Queretaro have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 50%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

58%
Guadalajara Chivas (Win)
23%
Draw
19%
Club Queretaro (Win)

Double chance

81%
Guadalajara Chivas or draw
42%
Club Queretaro or draw
77%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Guadalajara Chivas – Club Queretaro. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Guadalajara Chivas 1-0 Club Queretaro11.8%
Guadalajara Chivas 1-1 Club Queretaro11.0%
Guadalajara Chivas 2-0 Club Queretaro10.6%
Guadalajara Chivas 2-1 Club Queretaro9.8%
Guadalajara Chivas 0-0 Club Queretaro6.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.79 expected goals for Guadalajara Chivas and 0.93 for Club Queretaro, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 51% and "both teams to score" at 50%. Guadalajara Chivas keep a clean sheet in 40% of scenarios, Club Queretaro in 17%.

Probability
Guadalajara Chivas expected goals1.79
Club Queretaro expected goals0.93
Both teams to score50%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Guadalajara Chivas clean sheet40%
Club Queretaro clean sheet17%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Guadalajara Chivas

DateOpponentScore
Aug 9, 2026FC Dallas · Leagues Cup0-1L
Aug 6, 2026Los Angeles FC · Leagues Cup1-1D
Aug 1, 2026Puebla · Liga MX1-1D
Jul 26, 2026FC Juarez · Liga MX1-0W
Jul 19, 2026Toluca · Liga MX0-2L

Club Queretaro

DateOpponentScore
Aug 22, 2026Toluca · Liga MX1-2L
Aug 16, 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas · Liga MX0-0D
Aug 13, 2026Los Angeles FC · Leagues Cup1-1D
Aug 9, 2026Seattle Sounders · Leagues Cup0-3L
Aug 6, 2026FC Dallas · Leagues Cup0-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Guadalajara Chivas2189
Club Queretaro5148

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 17, 2026Guadalajara Chivas 2-1 Club QueretaroLiga MX
Oct 23, 2025Club Queretaro 1-0 Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX

Out and doubtful

Guadalajara Chivas

No absences reported.

Club Queretaro

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Guadalajara Chivas

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Gonzalez4/5
  • D. Aguirre4/5
  • F. Gonzalez4/5
  • L. Romo4/5
  • R. Alvarado4/5
  • R. Ledezma4/5
  • R. Rangel4/5
  • A. Gonzalez3/5
  • J. Castillo3/5
  • B. Gutierrez2/5
  • J. Carrillo2/5

Club Queretaro

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Reyes5/5
  • A. Avila4/5
  • B. Duarte4/5
  • C. Garcia4/5
  • D. Parra4/5
  • E. Gimenez4/5
  • G. Allison4/5
  • L. Abascia4/5
  • Paulo Victor4/5
  • S. Homenchenko4/5
  • A. Alcala3/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro prediction?

Our AI gives Guadalajara Chivas a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Club Queretaro 19%. Guadalajara Chivas are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro?

1-0 (11.8%), followed by 1-1 (11.0%), 2-0 (10.6%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 0-0 (6.6%).

Will both teams score in Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro?

The probability that both Guadalajara Chivas and Club Queretaro score is 50%. Guadalajara Chivas have a 40% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Club Queretaro 17%.

How many goals should we expect in Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro?

The model expects 2.72 goals (1.79 for Guadalajara Chivas, 0.93 for Club Queretaro). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.

When and where is Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro played?

Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 00:07 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio Akron, Guadalajara.

What form are Guadalajara Chivas and Club Queretaro in?

Guadalajara Chivas: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 5 conceded). Club Queretaro: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Guadalajara Chivas and Club Queretaro?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Guadalajara Chivas, 1 for Club Queretaro and 0 draws. The most recent ended Guadalajara Chivas 2-1 Club Queretaro (Jan 17, 2026).

How is the Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.79 for Guadalajara Chivas, 0.93 for Club Queretaro) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained