Liga MX· Kick-off : Monday, September 28, 2026, 04:10 (UK time)
Necaxa vs Club America prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Necaxa take on Club America on Monday, September 28, 2026 at 04:10 (UK time), a Liga MX fixture. Venue: Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes. It is a tight call: 30% for Necaxa, 29% for the draw and 41% for Club America. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (13.6%), followed by 1-1 (13.3%) and 0-0 (11.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, Necaxa have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Club America are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 11 and conceding 3. Club America therefore arrive in far better shape than Necaxa. On average Necaxa score 1.20 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Club America score 2.20 and concede 0.60. In the table, Necaxa sit 15th with 8 points from 9 games, Club America 3rd with 17 points from 8. 12 places separate the two sides.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Necaxa, 1 for Club America and 1 draw. The most recent ended Club America 2-0 Necaxa (Jan 31, 2026). In double chance terms, "Necaxa or draw" stands at 59%, "Club America or draw" at 70% and "no draw" at 71%.
In short : Club America are tipped by our AI model in this Necaxa v Club America (41%). In the table, Necaxa (15th, 8 pts) host Club America (3rd, 17 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Necaxa – Club America. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 57% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Necaxa 0-1 Club America | 13.6% |
| Necaxa 1-1 Club America | 13.3% |
| Necaxa 0-0 Club America | 11.3% |
| Necaxa 1-0 Club America | 11.1% |
| Necaxa 0-2 Club America | 8.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.98 expected goals for Necaxa and 1.20 for Club America, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 37% and "both teams to score" at 44%. Few goals are expected here. Necaxa keep a clean sheet in 30% of scenarios, Club America in 38%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Necaxa expected goals | 0.98 |
| Club America expected goals | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | 44% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% |
| Necaxa clean sheet | 30% |
| Club America clean sheet | 38% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Necaxa
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | Philadelphia Union · Leagues Cup | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Chicago Fire · Leagues Cup | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Toluca · Liga MX | 1-3 | L |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Monterrey · Liga MX | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Atlante FC · Liga MX | 2-1 | W |
Club America
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | Monterrey · Leagues Cup | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Puebla · Liga MX | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Columbus Crew · Leagues Cup | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Juarez · Liga MX | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Atletico San Luis · Liga MX | 3-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa | 15 | 8 | 9 |
| Club America | 3 | 17 | 8 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Club America 2-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Necaxa 1-1 Club America | Liga MX |
Out and doubtful
Necaxa
No absences reported.
Club America
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Necaxa
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Leyva5/5
- J. Carranza5/5
- J. Ruiz5/5
- L. Jimenez5/5
- R. Martinez5/5
- A. Oliveros4/5
- C. Vargas4/5
- J. P. Torres Patino4/5
- L. Faravelli4/5
- A. Pena3/5
- E. Rodriguez3/5
Club America
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Raphael Veiga4/5
- A. Cervantes3/5
- H. Martin3/5
- B. Rodriguez2/5
- D. Espinoza2/5
- E. Sanchez2/5
- I. Reyes2/5
- I. Violante2/5
- K. Alvarez2/5
- R. Cota2/5
- Ramón Juárez2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Necaxa vs Club America prediction?
Our AI gives Necaxa a 30% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Club America 41%. Club America are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Necaxa vs Club America?
0-1 (13.6%), followed by 1-1 (13.3%), 0-0 (11.3%), 1-0 (11.1%) and 0-2 (8.1%).
Will both teams score in Necaxa vs Club America?
The probability that both Necaxa and Club America score is 44%. Necaxa have a 30% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Club America 38%.
How many goals should we expect in Necaxa vs Club America?
The model expects 2.18 goals (0.98 for Necaxa, 1.20 for Club America). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 64%, over 2.5 goals 37%, over 3.5 goals 18%.
When and where is Necaxa vs Club America played?
Monday, September 28, 2026 at 04:10 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes.
What form are Necaxa and Club America in?
Necaxa: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 10 conceded). Club America: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 3 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Necaxa and Club America?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Necaxa, 1 for Club America and 1 draw. The most recent ended Club America 2-0 Necaxa (Jan 31, 2026).
How is the Necaxa vs Club America prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.98 for Necaxa, 1.20 for Club America) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Necaxa predictions
- All Club America predictions
- Liga MX predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology