Liga MX· Kick-off : Sunday, September 27, 2026, 04:05 (UK time)
Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Liga MX: Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca kicks off on Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 04:05 (UK time). Venue: Estadio TSM Corona, Torreon. It is a tight call: 34% for Santos Laguna, 27% for the draw and 39% for CF Pachuca. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.6%), followed by 0-1 (10.2%) and 1-0 (9.4%).
Santos Laguna have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 9. CF Pachuca have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Santos Laguna score 0.60 and concede 1.80 goals per game; CF Pachuca score 1.20 and concede 1.60. In the table, Santos Laguna sit 17th with 7 points from 9 games, CF Pachuca 11th with 12 points from 9. 6 places separate the two sides.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Santos Laguna, 1 for CF Pachuca and 0 draws. The most recent ended CF Pachuca 4-2 Santos Laguna (Apr 12, 2026). In double chance terms, "Santos Laguna or draw" stands at 61%, "CF Pachuca or draw" at 66% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : Santos Laguna host CF Pachuca in a tight contest where a draw stays on the table (27%). On recent form, Santos Laguna are struggling (4 losses in 5) while CF Pachuca are struggling (4 losses in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Santos Laguna – CF Pachuca. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Santos Laguna 1-1 CF Pachuca | 12.6% |
| Santos Laguna 0-1 CF Pachuca | 10.2% |
| Santos Laguna 1-0 CF Pachuca | 9.4% |
| Santos Laguna 1-2 CF Pachuca | 8.4% |
| Santos Laguna 2-1 CF Pachuca | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.24 expected goals for Santos Laguna and 1.34 for CF Pachuca, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Santos Laguna keep a clean sheet in 26% of scenarios, CF Pachuca in 29%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Santos Laguna expected goals | 1.24 |
| CF Pachuca expected goals | 1.34 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Santos Laguna clean sheet | 26% |
| CF Pachuca clean sheet | 29% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Santos Laguna
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Philadelphia Union · Leagues Cup | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Chicago Fire · Leagues Cup | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 7, 2026 | New York City FC · Leagues Cup | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Club America · Liga MX | 0-3 | L |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Atlas · Liga MX | 0-1 | L |
CF Pachuca
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Columbus Crew · Leagues Cup | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Cincinnati · Leagues Cup | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Leon · Liga MX | 0-1 | L |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Club Queretaro · Liga MX | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 19, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas · Liga MX | 3-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santos Laguna | 17 | 7 | 9 |
| CF Pachuca | 11 | 12 | 9 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | CF Pachuca 4-2 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Santos Laguna 1-0 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
Out and doubtful
Santos Laguna
No absences reported.
CF Pachuca
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Santos Laguna
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Acevedo4/4
- E. Echeverria4/4
- F. Sanchez4/4
- F. Villalba4/4
- M. Cuevas4/4
- A. Lopez3/4
- E. Aguirre3/4
- E. Bullaude3/4
- F. Pardo3/4
- S. Mariscal Murra3/4
- C. Gruezo2/4
CF Pachuca
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Moreno5/5
- C. Rivera5/5
- Eduardo Bauermann5/5
- O. Idrissi5/5
- S. D. Barreto5/5
- S. Rondon5/5
- A. Mozo4/5
- E. Montiel4/5
- F. Venegas3/5
- Kenedy3/5
- R. Pizarro3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Guadalajara Chivas – Club QueretaroSep 27, 2026
- Tigres UANL – PueblaSep 27, 2026
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas – Atletico San LuisSep 27, 2026
- Leon – FC JuarezSep 28, 2026
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca prediction?
Our AI gives Santos Laguna a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CF Pachuca 39%. CF Pachuca are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca?
1-1 (12.6%), followed by 0-1 (10.2%), 1-0 (9.4%), 1-2 (8.4%) and 2-1 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca?
The probability that both Santos Laguna and CF Pachuca score is 53%. Santos Laguna have a 26% chance of keeping a clean sheet, CF Pachuca 29%.
How many goals should we expect in Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca?
The model expects 2.58 goals (1.24 for Santos Laguna, 1.34 for CF Pachuca). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca played?
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 04:05 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio TSM Corona, Torreon.
What form are Santos Laguna and CF Pachuca in?
Santos Laguna: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 9 conceded). CF Pachuca: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Santos Laguna and CF Pachuca?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Santos Laguna, 1 for CF Pachuca and 0 draws. The most recent ended CF Pachuca 4-2 Santos Laguna (Apr 12, 2026).
How is the Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.24 for Santos Laguna, 1.34 for CF Pachuca) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Santos Laguna predictions
- All CF Pachuca predictions
- Liga MX predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology