Liga MX· Kick-off : Sunday, September 27, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
U.N.A.M. - Pumas take on Atletico San Luis on Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), a Liga MX fixture. Venue: Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City. With a 64% win probability, U.N.A.M. - Pumas go in as strong favourites against Atletico San Luis (15%), with the draw rated at 21%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.8%), ahead of 2-0 (11.7%) and 1-1 (9.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, U.N.A.M. - Pumas have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Atletico San Luis have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 13. Recent momentum is clearly with U.N.A.M. - Pumas. On average U.N.A.M. - Pumas score 1.60 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Atletico San Luis score 1.40 and concede 2.60. In the table, U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 12th with 12 points from 9 games, Atletico San Luis 13th with 9 points from 9. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for U.N.A.M. - Pumas, 1 for Atletico San Luis and 0 draws. The most recent ended Atletico San Luis 0-2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (Apr 18, 2026). In double chance terms, "U.N.A.M. - Pumas or draw" stands at 85%, "Atletico San Luis or draw" at 36% and "no draw" at 79%.
In short : U.N.A.M. - Pumas are favourites for this U.N.A.M. - Pumas v Atletico San Luis, with a 64% win probability from our model. In the table, U.N.A.M. - Pumas (12th, 12 pts) host Atletico San Luis (13th, 9 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as U.N.A.M. - Pumas – Atletico San Luis. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-0 Atletico San Luis | 11.8% |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2-0 Atletico San Luis | 11.7% |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-1 Atletico San Luis | 9.9% |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2-1 Atletico San Luis | 9.8% |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-0 Atletico San Luis | 7.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.82 goals in total (1.98 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas, 0.84 for Atletico San Luis): over 2.5 goals has a 54% probability and both teams to score 49%. U.N.A.M. - Pumas keep a clean sheet in 43% of scenarios, Atletico San Luis in 14%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected goals | 1.98 |
| Atletico San Luis expected goals | 0.84 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas clean sheet | 43% |
| Atletico San Luis clean sheet | 14% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Columbus Crew · Leagues Cup | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Cincinnati · Leagues Cup | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Charlotte · Leagues Cup | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Juarez · Liga MX | 5-1 | W |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Toluca · Liga MX | 2-1 | W |
Atletico San Luis
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | Nashville SC · Leagues Cup | 1-4 | L |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Inter Miami · Leagues Cup | 2-4 | L |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Club Tijuana · Liga MX | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Tigres UANL · Liga MX | 2-2 | D |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Cruz Azul · Liga MX | 2-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 12 | 12 | 9 |
| Atletico San Luis | 13 | 9 | 9 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Atletico San Luis 0-2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| Oct 23, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0-1 Atletico San Luis | Liga MX |
Out and doubtful
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
No absences reported.
Atletico San Luis
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Nathan Silva5/5
- A. Angulo4/5
- Juninho4/5
- K. Navas4/5
- P. Vite4/5
- R. Lopez4/5
- V. Arteaga4/5
- R. Duarte3/5
- U. Antuna3/5
- A. Carrasquilla2/5
- L. Herrera2/5
Atletico San Luis
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Sanchez4/5
- D. Rodriguez4/5
- E. Aguila4/5
- Lucas Esteves4/5
- O. Macias4/5
- R. Llorente4/5
- R. Torres4/5
- S. Salles-Lamonge4/5
- L. Flores3/5
- M. Garcia3/5
- Robson Bambu3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Atlante FC – MonterreySep 26, 2026
- Club Tijuana – AtlasSep 26, 2026
- Cruz Azul – TolucaSep 26, 2026
- Guadalajara Chivas – Club QueretaroSep 27, 2026
- Santos Laguna – CF PachucaSep 27, 2026
- Tigres UANL – PueblaSep 27, 2026
- Leon – FC JuarezSep 28, 2026
- Necaxa – Club AmericaSep 28, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis prediction?
Our AI gives U.N.A.M. - Pumas a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atletico San Luis 15%. U.N.A.M. - Pumas are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis?
1-0 (11.8%), followed by 2-0 (11.7%), 1-1 (9.9%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 3-0 (7.7%).
Will both teams score in U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis?
The probability that both U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Atletico San Luis score is 49%. U.N.A.M. - Pumas have a 43% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Atletico San Luis 14%.
How many goals should we expect in U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis?
The model expects 2.82 goals (1.98 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas, 0.84 for Atletico San Luis). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 31%.
When and where is U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis played?
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City.
What form are U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Atletico San Luis in?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 8 conceded). Atletico San Luis: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 13 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Atletico San Luis?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for U.N.A.M. - Pumas, 1 for Atletico San Luis and 0 draws. The most recent ended Atletico San Luis 0-2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (Apr 18, 2026).
How is the U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.98 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas, 0.84 for Atletico San Luis) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All U.N.A.M. - Pumas predictions
- All Atletico San Luis predictions
- Liga MX predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology