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Ligue 1Ligue 1· Kick-off : Saturday, September 12, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Le Havre vs Angers: 0-0 result and AI prediction review

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Le Havre 0-0 Angers. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Angers (58%), while a draw was rated at only 22%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (5.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (55%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): missed.

Match analysis

Le Havre and Angers met on Saturday, September 12, 2026, a Ligue 1, matchday 4 fixture. Venue: Stade Océane, Le Havre. Before kick-off, our model gave Le Havre a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Angers 58%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (10.4%), followed by 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.9%).

Le Havre have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Angers have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Angers therefore arrive in far better shape than Le Havre. On average Le Havre score 1.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Angers score 1.80 and concede 1.60. In the table, Le Havre sit 16th with 1 points from 3 games, Angers 12th with 3 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Le Havre have averaged 1.10 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.77 for Angers.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Le Havre, 0 for Angers and 1 draw. The most recent ended Angers 1-1 Le Havre (Apr 18, 2026). Le Havre out or doubtful: P. Argney, F. Mambimbi, L. Mpasi-Nzau, J. Mwanga and R. Ndiaye. Angers: H. Belkebla and L. Mouton. In double chance terms, "Le Havre or draw" stands at 42%, "Angers or draw" at 80% and "no draw" at 78%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

20%
Le Havre (Win)
22%
Draw
58%
Angers (Win)

Double chance

42%
Le Havre or draw
80%
Angers or draw
78%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Le Havre – Angers. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (10.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 46% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Le Havre 1-1 Angers10.4%
Le Havre 0-1 Angers10.1%
Le Havre 1-2 Angers9.9%
Le Havre 0-2 Angers9.6%
Le Havre 1-3 Angers6.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.03 expected goals for Le Havre and 1.90 for Angers, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 56% and "both teams to score" at 55%. Le Havre keep a clean sheet in 15% of scenarios, Angers in 36%.

Probability
Le Havre expected goals1.03
Angers expected goals1.90
Both teams to score55%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Le Havre clean sheet15%
Angers clean sheet36%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Le Havre

DateOpponentScore
Sep 5, 2026Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 11-2L
Aug 29, 2026Lyon · Ligue 11-1D
Aug 23, 2026Monaco · Ligue 10-1L
Aug 15, 2026Le Mans · Club Friendlies1-0W
Aug 8, 2026Oviedo · Club Friendlies2-3L

Angers

DateOpponentScore
Sep 6, 2026Rennes · Ligue 11-2L
Aug 29, 2026Auxerre · Ligue 13-1W
Aug 23, 2026Lille · Ligue 10-2L
Aug 15, 2026Paris FC · Club Friendlies3-2W
Aug 8, 2026Lorient · Club Friendlies2-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Le Havre1613
Angers1233

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Angers 1-1 Le HavreLigue 1
Jan 4, 2026Le Havre 2-1 AngersLigue 1

Out and doubtful

Le Havre

  • P. Argney (out)
  • F. Mambimbi (out)
  • L. Mpasi-Nzau (out)
  • J. Mwanga (out)
  • R. Ndiaye (out)

Angers

  • H. Belkebla (out)
  • L. Mouton (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Le Havre vs Angers prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Le Havre a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Angers 58%. Angers are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Le Havre vs Angers?

1-1 (10.4%), followed by 0-1 (10.1%), 1-2 (9.9%), 0-2 (9.6%) and 1-3 (6.3%).

Will both teams score in Le Havre vs Angers?

The probability that both Le Havre and Angers score is 55%. Le Havre have a 15% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Angers 36%.

How many goals should we expect in Le Havre vs Angers?

The model expects 2.93 goals (1.03 for Le Havre, 1.90 for Angers). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 56%, over 3.5 goals 34%.

When and where is Le Havre vs Angers played?

Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 4. Venue: Stade Océane, Le Havre.

What form are Le Havre and Angers in?

Le Havre: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded). Angers: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Le Havre and Angers?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Le Havre, 0 for Angers and 1 draw. The most recent ended Angers 1-1 Le Havre (Apr 18, 2026).

What was the Le Havre vs Angers result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Le Havre 0-0 Angers. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Angers (58%), while a draw was rated at only 22%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (5.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (55%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): missed.

How is the Le Havre vs Angers prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.03 for Le Havre, 1.90 for Angers) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained