Ligue 1· Kick-off : Saturday, September 12, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Le Havre vs Angers: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Le Havre 0-0 Angers. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Angers (58%), while a draw was rated at only 22%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (5.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (55%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): missed.
Match analysis
Le Havre and Angers met on Saturday, September 12, 2026, a Ligue 1, matchday 4 fixture. Venue: Stade Océane, Le Havre. Before kick-off, our model gave Le Havre a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Angers 58%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (10.4%), followed by 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.9%).
Le Havre have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Angers have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Angers therefore arrive in far better shape than Le Havre. On average Le Havre score 1.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Angers score 1.80 and concede 1.60. In the table, Le Havre sit 16th with 1 points from 3 games, Angers 12th with 3 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Le Havre have averaged 1.10 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.77 for Angers.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Le Havre, 0 for Angers and 1 draw. The most recent ended Angers 1-1 Le Havre (Apr 18, 2026). Le Havre out or doubtful: P. Argney, F. Mambimbi, L. Mpasi-Nzau, J. Mwanga and R. Ndiaye. Angers: H. Belkebla and L. Mouton. In double chance terms, "Le Havre or draw" stands at 42%, "Angers or draw" at 80% and "no draw" at 78%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Le Havre – Angers. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (10.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 46% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Le Havre 1-1 Angers | 10.4% |
| Le Havre 0-1 Angers | 10.1% |
| Le Havre 1-2 Angers | 9.9% |
| Le Havre 0-2 Angers | 9.6% |
| Le Havre 1-3 Angers | 6.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.03 expected goals for Le Havre and 1.90 for Angers, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 56% and "both teams to score" at 55%. Le Havre keep a clean sheet in 15% of scenarios, Angers in 36%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Le Havre expected goals | 1.03 |
| Angers expected goals | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Le Havre clean sheet | 15% |
| Angers clean sheet | 36% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Le Havre
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lyon · Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Monaco · Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Le Mans · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oviedo · Club Friendlies | 2-3 | L |
Angers
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rennes · Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Auxerre · Ligue 1 | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lille · Ligue 1 | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Paris FC · Club Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lorient · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | 16 | 1 | 3 |
| Angers | 12 | 3 | 3 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Angers 1-1 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Le Havre 2-1 Angers | Ligue 1 |
Out and doubtful
Le Havre
- P. Argney (out)
- F. Mambimbi (out)
- L. Mpasi-Nzau (out)
- J. Mwanga (out)
- R. Ndiaye (out)
Angers
- H. Belkebla (out)
- L. Mouton (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Rennes 1-0 MarseilleSep 11, 2026
- Strasbourg 1-1 MonacoSep 12, 2026
- Paris FC 0-0 LyonSep 12, 2026
- Auxerre 1-0 NiceSep 12, 2026
- Lorient 2-2 ToulouseSep 12, 2026
- Lille 2-0 Estac TroyesSep 13, 2026
- Le Mans 2-2 LensSep 13, 2026
- Stade Brestois 29 0-1 Paris Saint GermainSep 13, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Le Havre vs Angers prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Le Havre a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Angers 58%. Angers are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Le Havre vs Angers?
1-1 (10.4%), followed by 0-1 (10.1%), 1-2 (9.9%), 0-2 (9.6%) and 1-3 (6.3%).
Will both teams score in Le Havre vs Angers?
The probability that both Le Havre and Angers score is 55%. Le Havre have a 15% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Angers 36%.
How many goals should we expect in Le Havre vs Angers?
The model expects 2.93 goals (1.03 for Le Havre, 1.90 for Angers). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 56%, over 3.5 goals 34%.
When and where is Le Havre vs Angers played?
Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 4. Venue: Stade Océane, Le Havre.
What form are Le Havre and Angers in?
Le Havre: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded). Angers: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Le Havre and Angers?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Le Havre, 0 for Angers and 1 draw. The most recent ended Angers 1-1 Le Havre (Apr 18, 2026).
What was the Le Havre vs Angers result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Le Havre 0-0 Angers. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Angers (58%), while a draw was rated at only 22%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (5.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (55%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): missed.
How is the Le Havre vs Angers prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.03 for Le Havre, 1.90 for Angers) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

