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Ligue 1Ligue 1· Kick-off : Saturday, September 12, 2026, 16:15 (UK time)

Strasbourg vs Monaco: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

StrasbourgStrasbourg1 – 1MonacoMonaco

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score foundMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Strasbourg 1-1 Monaco. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Strasbourg (44%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (57%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): missed.

Match analysis

Strasbourg vs Monaco was played on Saturday, September 12, 2026 (Ligue 1, matchday 4). Venue: Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg. Before kick-off, our model gave Strasbourg a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Monaco 31%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.6%), ahead of 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (9.1%).

Over their last 5 matches, Strasbourg have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Monaco are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 12 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with Monaco. On average Strasbourg score 1.80 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Monaco score 2.40 and concede 0.80. In the table, Strasbourg sit 6th with 6 points from 3 games, Monaco 2nd with 9 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Strasbourg have averaged 1.65 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.21 for Monaco.

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Strasbourg, 1 for Monaco and 0 draws. The most recent ended Strasbourg 5-4 Monaco (May 17, 2026). Strasbourg out or doubtful: M. Godo and J. Panichelli. Monaco: F. Balogun, M. Coulibaly, A. Fati, M. Salisu and J. Teze. In double chance terms, "Strasbourg or draw" stands at 69%, "Monaco or draw" at 56% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

44%
Strasbourg (Win)
25%
Draw
31%
Monaco (Win)

Double chance

69%
Strasbourg or draw
56%
Monaco or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Strasbourg – Monaco. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 45% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Strasbourg 1-1 Monaco11.6%
Strasbourg 1-0 Monaco9.2%
Strasbourg 2-1 Monaco9.1%
Strasbourg 0-1 Monaco7.4%
Strasbourg 1-2 Monaco7.4%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.84 goals in total (1.57 for Strasbourg, 1.27 for Monaco): over 2.5 goals has a 54% probability and both teams to score 57%. Strasbourg keep a clean sheet in 28% of scenarios, Monaco in 21%.

Probability
Strasbourg expected goals1.57
Monaco expected goals1.27
Both teams to score57%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Strasbourg clean sheet28%
Monaco clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Strasbourg

DateOpponentScore
Sep 6, 2026Estac Troyes · Ligue 16-2W
Aug 29, 2026Lens · Ligue 12-1W
Aug 21, 2026Marseille · Ligue 10-4L
Aug 16, 2026Newcastle · Club Friendlies1-1D
Aug 8, 2026SC Freiburg · Club Friendlies0-2L

Monaco

DateOpponentScore
Sep 4, 2026Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 12-1W
Aug 30, 2026Marseille · Ligue 12-0W
Aug 27, 2026Gornik Zabrze · UEFA Conference League4-1W
Aug 23, 2026Le Havre · Ligue 11-0W
Aug 20, 2026Gornik Zabrze · UEFA Conference League3-2W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Strasbourg663
Monaco293

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Strasbourg 5-4 MonacoLigue 1
Feb 5, 2026Strasbourg 3-1 MonacoCoupe de France
Aug 31, 2025Monaco 3-2 StrasbourgLigue 1

Out and doubtful

Strasbourg

  • M. Godo (out)
  • J. Panichelli (out)

Monaco

  • F. Balogun (out)
  • M. Coulibaly (out)
  • A. Fati (out)
  • M. Salisu (out)
  • J. Teze (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Strasbourg vs Monaco prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Strasbourg a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Monaco 31%. Strasbourg are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Strasbourg vs Monaco?

1-1 (11.6%), followed by 1-0 (9.2%), 2-1 (9.1%), 0-1 (7.4%) and 1-2 (7.4%).

Will both teams score in Strasbourg vs Monaco?

The probability that both Strasbourg and Monaco score is 57%. Strasbourg have a 28% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Monaco 21%.

How many goals should we expect in Strasbourg vs Monaco?

The model expects 2.84 goals (1.57 for Strasbourg, 1.27 for Monaco). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 32%.

When and where is Strasbourg vs Monaco played?

Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 16:15 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 4. Venue: Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg.

What form are Strasbourg and Monaco in?

Strasbourg: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 10 conceded). Monaco: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Strasbourg and Monaco?

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Strasbourg, 1 for Monaco and 0 draws. The most recent ended Strasbourg 5-4 Monaco (May 17, 2026).

What was the Strasbourg vs Monaco result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Strasbourg 1-1 Monaco. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Strasbourg (44%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (57%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): missed.

How is the Strasbourg vs Monaco prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.57 for Strasbourg, 1.27 for Monaco) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained