Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Nice vs Strasbourg prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Ligue 1, matchday 6: Nice vs Strasbourg kicks off on Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time). Venue: Allianz Riviera, Nice. Strasbourg start as favourites with a 55% chance of victory; Nice are given 22% and the draw 23%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.0%), followed by 0-1 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.8%).
Nice have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Strasbourg have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Nice score 0.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Strasbourg score 2.00 and concede 2.00. In the table, Nice sit 14th with 5 points from 5 games, Strasbourg 8th with 7 points from 5. 6 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Nice have averaged 1.11 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.65 for Strasbourg.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Nice, 1 for Strasbourg and 2 draws. The most recent ended Strasbourg 0-2 Nice (Apr 22, 2026). In double chance terms, "Nice or draw" stands at 45%, "Strasbourg or draw" at 78% and "no draw" at 77%.
In short : Our model backs Strasbourg to edge Nice (55% probability). On recent form, Nice have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Strasbourg have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 54%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Nice – Strasbourg. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 47% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Nice 1-1 Strasbourg | 11.0% |
| Nice 0-1 Strasbourg | 10.7% |
| Nice 1-2 Strasbourg | 9.8% |
| Nice 0-2 Strasbourg | 9.5% |
| Nice 1-0 Strasbourg | 6.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.03 expected goals for Nice and 1.78 for Strasbourg, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 53% and "both teams to score" at 54%. Nice keep a clean sheet in 17% of scenarios, Strasbourg in 36%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Nice expected goals | 1.03 |
| Strasbourg expected goals | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score | 54% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Nice clean sheet | 17% |
| Strasbourg clean sheet | 36% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Nice
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lille · Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Auxerre · Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Le Mans · Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Paris FC · Ligue 1 | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lorient · Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
Strasbourg
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Paris FC · Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Monaco · Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Estac Troyes · Ligue 1 | 6-2 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lens · Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Marseille · Ligue 1 | 0-4 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 14 | 5 | 5 |
| Strasbourg | 8 | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Strasbourg 0-2 Nice | Coupe de France |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Strasbourg 3-1 Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Nice 1-1 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Strasbourg 2-2 Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Nice 2-1 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
Out and doubtful
Nice
No absences reported.
Strasbourg
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Nice
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Coulibaly5/5
- J. Clauss5/5
- X. Mandza Tsiendi5/5
- Y. Diouf5/5
- Y. Ndayishimiye5/5
- A. Witsel4/5
- G. Hein4/5
- M. Abdelmonem4/5
- E. Wahi3/5
- N. Nkounkou3/5
- S. Diop3/5
Strasbourg
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Sousa5/5
- F. Jorgensen5/5
- G. Antwi5/5
- G. Yassine5/5
- S. Nanasi5/5
- G. Reyna4/5
- J. Mitchell4/5
- J. Ortega4/5
- I. Doukoure3/5
- Oso3/5
- P. Demba3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Lens – LyonOct 9, 2026
- Lille – Le HavreOct 10, 2026
- Stade Brestois 29 – AngersOct 10, 2026
- Lorient – Paris FCOct 10, 2026
- Paris Saint Germain – Le MansOct 10, 2026
- Monaco – ToulouseOct 10, 2026
- Rennes – AuxerreOct 11, 2026
- Estac Troyes – MarseilleOct 11, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Nice vs Strasbourg prediction?
Our AI gives Nice a 22% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Strasbourg 55%. Strasbourg are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Nice vs Strasbourg?
1-1 (11.0%), followed by 0-1 (10.7%), 1-2 (9.8%), 0-2 (9.5%) and 1-0 (6.2%).
Will both teams score in Nice vs Strasbourg?
The probability that both Nice and Strasbourg score is 54%. Nice have a 17% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Strasbourg 36%.
How many goals should we expect in Nice vs Strasbourg?
The model expects 2.81 goals (1.03 for Nice, 1.78 for Strasbourg). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 53%, over 3.5 goals 31%.
When and where is Nice vs Strasbourg played?
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 6. Venue: Allianz Riviera, Nice.
What form are Nice and Strasbourg in?
Nice: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 6 conceded). Strasbourg: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Nice and Strasbourg?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Nice, 1 for Strasbourg and 2 draws. The most recent ended Strasbourg 0-2 Nice (Apr 22, 2026).
How is the Nice vs Strasbourg prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.03 for Nice, 1.78 for Strasbourg) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.