Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 16:15 (UK time)
Rennes vs Auxerre prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Ligue 1, matchday 6: the Rennes vs Auxerre match is scheduled on Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 16:15 (UK time). Venue: Roazhon Park, Rennes. Our model makes Rennes clear favourites: a 66% chance of winning, against 20% for the draw and 14% for Auxerre. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.8%).
Over their last 5 matches, Rennes have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Auxerre have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Rennes score 0.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Auxerre score 1.80 and concede 2.00. In the table, Rennes sit 5th with 10 points from 5 games, Auxerre 10th with 6 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Rennes, 2 for Auxerre and 2 draws. The most recent ended Auxerre 0-3 Rennes (Feb 22, 2026). In double chance terms, "Rennes or draw" stands at 86%, "Auxerre or draw" at 34% and "no draw" at 80%.
In short : Rennes are favourites for this Rennes v Auxerre, with a 66% win probability from our model. On recent form, Rennes have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Auxerre have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Rennes – Auxerre. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Rennes 2-0 Auxerre | 11.9% |
| Rennes 1-0 Auxerre | 11.6% |
| Rennes 2-1 Auxerre | 9.8% |
| Rennes 1-1 Auxerre | 9.5% |
| Rennes 3-0 Auxerre | 8.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.06 expected goals for Rennes and 0.82 for Auxerre, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 55% and "both teams to score" at 49%. Rennes keep a clean sheet in 44% of scenarios, Auxerre in 13%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Rennes expected goals | 2.06 |
| Auxerre expected goals | 0.82 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Rennes clean sheet | 44% |
| Auxerre clean sheet | 13% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Rennes
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Laval · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lyon · Ligue 1 | 0-4 | L |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sturm Graz · UEFA Europa League | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Marseille · Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Angers · Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
Auxerre
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Clermont Foot · Club Friendlies | 4-3 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nice · Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Lyon · Ligue 1 | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Angers · Ligue 1 | 1-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes | 5 | 10 | 5 |
| Auxerre | 10 | 6 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Auxerre 0-3 Rennes | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Rennes 2-2 Auxerre | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Rennes 0-1 Auxerre | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Auxerre 4-0 Rennes | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Auxerre 0-0 Rennes | Ligue 1 |
Out and doubtful
Rennes
No absences reported.
Auxerre
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Rennes
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Cresswell5/5
- M. Camara5/5
- A. Rouault4/5
- A. Thomasson4/5
- B. Samba4/5
- V. Rongier4/5
- E. Lepaul3/5
- L. Blas3/5
- P. Frankowski3/5
- Q. Merlin3/5
- A. Nordin2/5
Auxerre
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Piedfort4/4
- C. Akpa4/4
- D. Namaso4/4
- K. Danois4/4
- L. Sy4/4
- M. Diop4/4
- R. Labeau Lascary4/4
- C. Archer3/4
- C. Makosso3/4
- A. Tuanzebe2/4
- E. Legros2/4
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Lens – LyonOct 9, 2026
- Lille – Le HavreOct 10, 2026
- Stade Brestois 29 – AngersOct 10, 2026
- Lorient – Paris FCOct 10, 2026
- Paris Saint Germain – Le MansOct 10, 2026
- Monaco – ToulouseOct 10, 2026
- Nice – StrasbourgOct 11, 2026
- Estac Troyes – MarseilleOct 11, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Rennes vs Auxerre prediction?
Our AI gives Rennes a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Auxerre 14%. Rennes are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Rennes vs Auxerre?
2-0 (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.6%), 2-1 (9.8%), 1-1 (9.5%) and 3-0 (8.2%).
Will both teams score in Rennes vs Auxerre?
The probability that both Rennes and Auxerre score is 49%. Rennes have a 44% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Auxerre 13%.
How many goals should we expect in Rennes vs Auxerre?
The model expects 2.88 goals (2.06 for Rennes, 0.82 for Auxerre). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 55%, over 3.5 goals 33%.
When and where is Rennes vs Auxerre played?
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 16:15 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 6. Venue: Roazhon Park, Rennes.
What form are Rennes and Auxerre in?
Rennes: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 6 conceded). Auxerre: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Rennes and Auxerre?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Rennes, 2 for Auxerre and 2 draws. The most recent ended Auxerre 0-3 Rennes (Feb 22, 2026).
How is the Rennes vs Auxerre prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.06 for Rennes, 0.82 for Auxerre) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.