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Ligue 1Ligue 1· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers: 5-1 result and AI prediction review

Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 295 – 1AngersAngers

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Stade Brestois 29 5-1 Angers. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Angers (45%), while victory for Stade Brestois 29 was rated at only 33%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (68%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (69%): correct.

Match analysis

Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers was played on Saturday, October 10, 2026 (Ligue 1, matchday 6). Venue: Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest. Before kick-off, our model gave Stade Brestois 29 a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Angers 45%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (9.1%), ahead of 1-2 (8.7%) and 2-1 (7.3%).

Stade Brestois 29 have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Angers have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Stade Brestois 29 score 1.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Angers score 1.20 and concede 1.00. In the table, Stade Brestois 29 sit 12th with 5 points from 5 games, Angers 8th with 7 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Stade Brestois 29 have averaged 1.75 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.77 for Angers.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Stade Brestois 29, 1 for Angers and 1 draw. The most recent ended Stade Brestois 29 1-1 Angers (May 17, 2026). Stade Brestois 29 out or doubtful: B. Chardonnet, R. Le Guen, G. Versini and M. Diambou (doubtful). Angers: U. Simbakoli (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Stade Brestois 29 or draw" stands at 55%, "Angers or draw" at 67% and "no draw" at 78%.

In short : Our model backs Angers to edge Stade Brestois 29 (45% probability). In the table, Stade Brestois 29 (12th, 5 pts) host Angers (8th, 7 pts). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 69%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

33%
Stade Brestois 29 (Win)
22%
Draw
45%
Angers (Win)

Double chance

55%
Stade Brestois 29 or draw
67%
Angers or draw
78%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Stade Brestois 29 – Angers. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 38% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Stade Brestois 29 1-1 Angers9.1%
Stade Brestois 29 1-2 Angers8.7%
Stade Brestois 29 2-1 Angers7.3%
Stade Brestois 29 2-2 Angers7.0%
Stade Brestois 29 0-1 Angers5.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.53 goals in total (1.62 for Stade Brestois 29, 1.91 for Angers): over 2.5 goals has a 69% probability and both teams to score 68%. Everything points to an open game. Stade Brestois 29 keep a clean sheet in 15% of scenarios, Angers in 20%.

Probability
Stade Brestois 29 expected goals1.62
Angers expected goals1.91
Both teams to score68%
Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Stade Brestois 29 clean sheet15%
Angers clean sheet20%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Stade Brestois 29

DateOpponentScore
Oct 3, 2026Monza · Club Friendlies2-2D
Sep 20, 2026Auxerre · Ligue 11-2L
Sep 13, 2026Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 10-1L
Sep 5, 2026Le Havre · Ligue 12-1W
Aug 29, 2026Toulouse · Ligue 12-2D

Angers

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Estac Troyes · Ligue 12-0W
Sep 12, 2026Le Havre · Ligue 10-0D
Sep 6, 2026Rennes · Ligue 11-2L
Aug 29, 2026Auxerre · Ligue 13-1W
Aug 23, 2026Lille · Ligue 10-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Stade Brestois 291255
Angers875

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Stade Brestois 29 1-1 AngersLigue 1
Sep 28, 2025Angers 0-2 Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
Mar 9, 2025Stade Brestois 29 2-0 AngersLigue 1
Jan 5, 2025Angers 2-0 Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
Jan 6, 2024Stade Brestois 29 1-0 AngersCoupe de France

Out and doubtful

Stade Brestois 29

  • B. Chardonnet (out)
  • R. Le Guen (out)
  • G. Versini (out)
  • M. Diambou (doubtful)

Angers

  • U. Simbakoli (doubtful)

Most regular starters

Stade Brestois 29

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Locko5/5
  • G. Lloris5/5
  • J. Chotard5/5
  • L. Ajorque5/5
  • E. Selvik4/5
  • H. Magnetti4/5
  • K. Doumbia4/5
  • K. Lala4/5
  • P. Mboup4/5
  • R. Le Guen4/5
  • G. Versini2/5

Angers

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Anthony Lopes5/5
  • Amine El Ouazzani4/5
  • Amine Sbai4/5
  • Branco Van den Boomen4/5
  • Jim Allevinah4/5
  • Jordan Lefort4/5
  • Ousmane Camara4/5
  • Yassin Belkhdim4/5
  • Anthony Bermont3/5
  • Carlens Arcus3/5
  • Joseph Kalulu3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Stade Brestois 29 a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Angers 45%. Angers are therefore favourites. Final score: 5-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers?

1-1 (9.1%), followed by 1-2 (8.7%), 2-1 (7.3%), 2-2 (7.0%) and 0-1 (5.6%).

Will both teams score in Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers?

The probability that both Stade Brestois 29 and Angers score is 68%. Stade Brestois 29 have a 15% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Angers 20%.

How many goals should we expect in Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers?

The model expects 3.53 goals (1.62 for Stade Brestois 29, 1.91 for Angers). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 87%, over 2.5 goals 69%, over 3.5 goals 47%.

When and where is Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers played?

Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 6. Venue: Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest.

What form are Stade Brestois 29 and Angers in?

Stade Brestois 29: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded). Angers: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Stade Brestois 29 and Angers?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Stade Brestois 29, 1 for Angers and 1 draw. The most recent ended Stade Brestois 29 1-1 Angers (May 17, 2026).

What was the Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Stade Brestois 29 5-1 Angers. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Angers (45%), while victory for Stade Brestois 29 was rated at only 33%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (68%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (69%): correct.

How is the Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.62 for Stade Brestois 29, 1.91 for Angers) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained