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Ligue 1Ligue 1· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Ligue 1, matchday 6: Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers kicks off on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Venue: Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Stade Brestois 29 37%, Angers 41% and the draw 22%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (8.4%), ahead of 1-2 (8.0%) and 2-1 (7.6%).

Stade Brestois 29 have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Angers have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Stade Brestois 29 score 1.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Angers score 1.20 and concede 1.00. In the table, Stade Brestois 29 sit 11th with 5 points from 5 games, Angers 7th with 7 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Stade Brestois 29 have averaged 1.94 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.77 for Angers.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Stade Brestois 29, 1 for Angers and 1 draw. The most recent ended Stade Brestois 29 1-1 Angers (May 17, 2026). Stade Brestois 29 out or doubtful: R. Cagnon, B. Chardonnet, M. Diambou and N. Edjouma. Angers: L. Mouton. In double chance terms, "Stade Brestois 29 or draw" stands at 59%, "Angers or draw" at 63% and "no draw" at 78%.

In short : An evenly-matched game between Stade Brestois 29 and Angers: our model sees no clear favourite. In the table, Stade Brestois 29 (11th, 5 pts) host Angers (7th, 7 pts). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 72%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

37%
Stade Brestois 29 (Win)
22%
Draw
41%
Angers (Win)

Double chance

59%
Stade Brestois 29 or draw
63%
Angers or draw
78%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Stade Brestois 29 – Angers. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (8.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 36% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Stade Brestois 29 1-1 Angers8.4%
Stade Brestois 29 1-2 Angers8.0%
Stade Brestois 29 2-1 Angers7.6%
Stade Brestois 29 2-2 Angers7.2%
Stade Brestois 29 1-3 Angers5.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.71 goals in total (1.80 for Stade Brestois 29, 1.91 for Angers): over 2.5 goals has a 72% probability and both teams to score 71%. Everything points to an open game. Stade Brestois 29 keep a clean sheet in 15% of scenarios, Angers in 17%.

Probability
Stade Brestois 29 expected goals1.80
Angers expected goals1.91
Both teams to score71%
Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Stade Brestois 29 clean sheet15%
Angers clean sheet17%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Stade Brestois 29

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Auxerre · Ligue 11-2L
Sep 13, 2026Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 10-1L
Sep 5, 2026Le Havre · Ligue 12-1W
Aug 29, 2026Toulouse · Ligue 12-2D
Aug 22, 2026Le Mans · Ligue 12-2D

Angers

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Estac Troyes · Ligue 12-0W
Sep 12, 2026Le Havre · Ligue 10-0D
Sep 6, 2026Rennes · Ligue 11-2L
Aug 29, 2026Auxerre · Ligue 13-1W
Aug 23, 2026Lille · Ligue 10-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Stade Brestois 291155
Angers775

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Stade Brestois 29 1-1 AngersLigue 1
Sep 28, 2025Angers 0-2 Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
Mar 9, 2025Stade Brestois 29 2-0 AngersLigue 1
Jan 5, 2025Angers 2-0 Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
Jan 6, 2024Stade Brestois 29 1-0 AngersCoupe de France

Out and doubtful

Stade Brestois 29

  • R. Cagnon (out)
  • B. Chardonnet (out)
  • M. Diambou (out)
  • N. Edjouma (out)

Angers

  • L. Mouton (out)

Most regular starters

Stade Brestois 29

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Bradley Locko4/5
  • Egil Selvik4/5
  • Joris Chotard4/5
  • Kamory Doumbia4/5
  • Kenny Lala4/5
  • Ludovic Ajorque4/5
  • Pathé Mboup4/5
  • Raphaël Le Guen4/5
  • Gautier Lloris3/5
  • Hugo Magnetti2/5
  • Romain Del Castillo2/5

Angers

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Anthony Lopes5/5
  • Amine El Ouazzani4/5
  • Amine Sbai4/5
  • Branco Van den Boomen4/5
  • Jim Allevinah4/5
  • Jordan Lefort4/5
  • Ousmane Camara4/5
  • Yassin Belkhdim4/5
  • Anthony Bermont3/5
  • Carlens Arcus3/5
  • Joseph Kalulu3/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers prediction?

Our AI gives Stade Brestois 29 a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Angers 41%. Angers are therefore slight favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers?

1-1 (8.4%), followed by 1-2 (8.0%), 2-1 (7.6%), 2-2 (7.2%) and 1-3 (5.1%).

Will both teams score in Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers?

The probability that both Stade Brestois 29 and Angers score is 71%. Stade Brestois 29 have a 15% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Angers 17%.

How many goals should we expect in Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers?

The model expects 3.71 goals (1.80 for Stade Brestois 29, 1.91 for Angers). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 89%, over 2.5 goals 72%, over 3.5 goals 51%.

When and where is Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers played?

Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 6. Venue: Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest.

What form are Stade Brestois 29 and Angers in?

Stade Brestois 29: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded). Angers: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Stade Brestois 29 and Angers?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Stade Brestois 29, 1 for Angers and 1 draw. The most recent ended Stade Brestois 29 1-1 Angers (May 17, 2026).

How is the Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.80 for Stade Brestois 29, 1.91 for Angers) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained